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HBV Reactivation Prediction Model in Allo-HSCT (HBV-post HSCT)

2026年6月8日 更新者:Xiao Hui Zhang

Development and External Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Hepatitis B Virus Reactivation in HBsAg-Negative/Anti-HBc-Positive Patients Undergoing Allogeneic Haematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation: A Multicentre Prospective Study

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation is a serious complication after allogeneic haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT), particularly in patients with resolved HBV infection (HBsAg-negative, anti-HBc-positive). The incidence ranges from 10% to 40%, and severe reactivation can lead to hepatitis flare, hepatic failure, and death.

Several risk factors have been identified: low recipient anti-HBs titre, donor anti-HBs negativity, recipient age ≥50 years, chronic GVHD, and use of rituximab. However, no validated clinical prediction model exists for this specific population. The only available study (Zhang et al., BBMT 2020) performed risk factor analysis but did not develop a predictive nomogram, and the sample size was limited (only 16 reactivation events). Therefore, we aim to develop and externally validate a robust nomogram using a large multicentre retrospective cohort and then validate its performance in a prospective cohort

調査の概要

状態

まだ募集していません

研究の種類

観察的

入学 (推定)

300

連絡先と場所

このセクションには、調査を実施する担当者の連絡先の詳細と、この調査が実施されている場所に関する情報が記載されています。

研究連絡先

  • 名前:Yun He
  • 電話番号:+8615201099254
  • メール:heyun04@126.com

参加基準

研究者は、適格基準と呼ばれる特定の説明に適合する人を探します。これらの基準のいくつかの例は、人の一般的な健康状態または以前の治療です。

適格基準

就学可能な年齢

  • 子
  • 大人
  • 高齢者

健康ボランティアの受け入れ

いいえ

サンプリング方法

非確率サンプル

調査対象母集団

he study population will include HBsAg-negative/anti-HBc-positive patients undergoing first allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation at the participating centers. Patients will be prospectively enrolled before conditioning and followed for subsequent hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation (defined as HBsAg reappearance and/or HBV DNA ≥10 IU/mL) and post-transplant outcomes, including hepatitis due to HBV reactivation, hepatic failure, HBV-related mortality, and HBsAg seroclearance after reactivation. Baseline recipient/donor HBV serology (anti-HBs titers, anti-HBc titers), antiviral prophylaxis practice, graft-versus-host disease, and cytomegalovirus reactivation will be collected to describe the incidence, timing, risk factors, and clinical course of HBV reactivation in this high-risk population.

説明

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Patients must meet all of the following criteria to be enrolled in the study:

Planned allogeneic HSCT: Scheduled to undergo first allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) for any hematologic malignancy or non-malignant hematologic disorder. Any donor type is permitted.

Resolved HBV infection: Documentation of both of the following serological markers on a blood sample collected within 30 days prior to the start of conditioning:

Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg): negative Antibody to hepatitis B core antigen (anti-HBc): positive Note: Patients may be either positive or negative for anti-HBs at baseline. Willingness to follow protocol-defined monitoring: Patients (or legally authorized representatives) must agree to adhere to the study-specific HBV monitoring schedule as outlined in the protocol.

Informed consent: Written informed consent obtained from the patient or a legally authorized representative prior to any study-related procedures.

Exclusion Criteria:

Patients meeting any of the following criteria will be excluded from the study:

Co-infection with other hepatotropic viruses:

Positive serology for hepatitis C virus (HCV) (anti-HCV antibody positive with detectable HCV RNA) Positive serology for hepatitis D virus (HDV) (anti-HDV antibody positive) Positive serology for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)

Pre-existing advanced liver disease:

Clinical or histological evidence of liver cirrhosis (METAVIR stage F4, or imaging showing nodular liver surface/splenomegaly/varices) History of hepatic encephalopathy or variceal bleeding History of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) Prior solid organ transplantation (including kidney, liver, heart, or lung transplantation).

Previous allogeneic HSCT (patients receiving a second or subsequent allo-HSCT are excluded; prior autologous HSCT is allowed).

Active uncontrolled infection at the time of enrollment that, in the opinion of the treating physician, would preclude safe participation.

Pregnancy or lactation at the time of enrollment. Female patients of childbearing potential must have a negative pregnancy test within 7 days before starting conditioning.

Life expectancy <6 months due to underlying disease or comorbid conditions, as judged by the treating physician.

Inability to comply with follow-up due to geographic, psychiatric, or social reasons.

Enrollment in another interventional trial that prohibits co-enrollment in observational studies (at the discretion of the principal investigator).

研究計画

このセクションでは、研究がどのように設計され、研究が何を測定しているかなど、研究計画の詳細を提供します。

研究はどのように設計されていますか?

デザインの詳細

コホートと介入

グループ/コホート
介入・治療
Multicenter prospective observational cohort
This is a multicenter, prospective, observational cohort study. Patients who are HBsAg-negative and anti-HBc-positive prior to allo-HSCT will be enrolled from multiple clinical centers and prospectively followed. Resolved HBV infection will be confirmed by two separate negative HBsAg tests and positive anti-HBc before initiation of conditioning. No investigational intervention is assigned; all participants receive routine clinical care per local practice. Baseline data include demographic characteristics, transplant-related variables (conditioning regimen, donor type, GVHD prophylaxis), recipient and donor HBV serological markers (anti-HBs titre, anti-HBc titre, HBeAg/anti-HBe, HBV DNA). Post-transplant complications (acute and chronic GVHD, CMV reactivation) and subsequent HBV reactivation (defined as reappearance of HBsAg and/or detectable HBV DNA ≥10 IU/mL) will be recorded. All patients will be followed for at least 36 months af
No study-specific intervention will be administered. Participants will receive standard clinical care after allo-HSCTaccording to institutional practice and treating physician discretion. This multicenter study will prospectively collect observational data on HBV reactivation and associated clinical outcomes in HBsAg-negative/anti-HBc-positive patients for at least 36 months post-transplant.

この研究は何を測定していますか?

主要な結果の測定

結果測定
メジャーの説明
時間枠
Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) Reactivation
時間枠:Within 36 months after allo-HSCT

HBV reactivation is defined according to the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) 2018 guidance as the occurrence of any of the following events in patients who are HBsAg-negative/anti-HBc-positive at baseline:

Serological reactivation: Reappearance of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) from negative to positive (confirmed by two consecutive tests at least one week apart); OR Virological reactivation: Reappearance of detectable HBV DNA (≥10 IU/mL) in a patient who had undetectable HBV DNA at baseline; OR Virological flare: In patients with detectable HBV DNA at baseline, an increase in HBV DNA level of ≥10-fold (1 log₁₀ IU/mL) above baseline level, confirmed on two consecutive measurements within a 2-week period.

For patients receiving preemptive or prophylactic antiviral therapy, reactivation is defined as above, with the additional requirement that HBV DNA ≥10 IU/mL is confirmed on at least two consecutive measurements to exclude transient low-level dete

Within 36 months after allo-HSCT

二次結果の測定

結果測定
メジャーの説明
時間枠
Time to HBV Reactivation
時間枠:From date of allo-HSCT until date of first documented HBV reactivation (as defined in primary outcome), assessed up to 36 months
The time interval (in days) from the date of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) to the date of first occurrence of HBV reactivation. Patients without reactivation are censored at the date of last follow-up, death, or 36 months post-HSCT, whichever occurs first.
From date of allo-HSCT until date of first documented HBV reactivation (as defined in primary outcome), assessed up to 36 months
Hepatitis Due to HBV Reactivation
時間枠:Within 36 months after allo-HSCT

Hepatitis due to HBV reactivation is defined as the occurrence of all of the following criteria in a patient with documented HBV reactivation (as defined in the primary outcome):

Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevation >3 times the upper limit of normal (ULN) or >3 times baseline value if baseline was already elevated;

Exclusion of other causes of liver injury, including:

Acute or chronic graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) involving the liver (requires histologic confirmation or typical clinical presentation with other organ involvement);Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) - assessed by Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment Method (RUCAM) score; Cytomegalovirus (CMV) or Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) hepatitis; Hepatic veno-occlusive disease (VOD)/sinusoidal obstruction syndrome (SOS); Iron overload; Sepsis or ischemic hepatopathy.

Within 36 months after allo-HSCT
HBV-Related Mortality
時間枠:Within 36 months after allo-HSCT

Death directly attributable to HBV reactivation or its hepatic complications, including:

Death from hepatic failure as defined above; Death from cirrhosis-related complications (variceal hemorrhage, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatorenal syndrome) occurring after HBV reactivation; Death from hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosed after HBV reactivation (if no other etiology identified).

Deaths from other causes (relapse of underlying hematologic disease, infection, GVHD, etc.) will be considered competing events.

Within 36 months after allo-HSCT
HBsAg Seroclearance After HBV Reactivation
時間枠:Within 36 months after HBV reactivation

In patients who experience HBV reactivation and receive antiviral treatment (entecavir, tenofovir, or other nucleos[t]ide analogues), HBsAg seroclearance is defined as:

Two consecutive negative HBsAg tests at least 4 weeks apart; and Confirmation by a third negative test at 12 weeks after the first negative test.

The proportion of patients achieving HBsAg seroclearance among those with HBV reactivation will be reported, along with the median time from reactivation to seroclearance.

Within 36 months after HBV reactivation
Comparison of HBV Reactivation Incidence by Prophylaxis Status
時間枠:Within 36 months after allo-HSCT

The cumulative incidence of HBV reactivation will be compared between:

Patients receiving antiviral prophylaxis (entecavir, tenofovir, or lamivudine) started at or before conditioning; versus Patients not receiving antiviral prophylaxis.

The analysis will adjust for baseline differences using propensity score matching or multivariable regression. The types, doses, and durations of prophylaxis will be descriptively summarized.

Within 36 months after allo-HSCT
Overall Survival (OS) and Non-Relapse Mortality (NRM)
時間枠:At 1, 2, and 3 years after allo-HSCT

Overall Survival: Time from allo-HSCT to death from any cause. Non-Relapse Mortality: Death from any cause other than relapse of the underlying hematologic malignancy. NRM will be estimated using cumulative incidence functions treating relapse as a competing risk.

These outcomes will be compared between patients with and without HBV reactivation.

At 1, 2, and 3 years after allo-HSCT

協力者と研究者

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研究記録日

これらの日付は、ClinicalTrials.gov への研究記録と要約結果の提出の進捗状況を追跡します。研究記録と報告された結果は、国立医学図書館 (NLM) によって審査され、公開 Web サイトに掲載される前に、特定の品質管理基準を満たしていることが確認されます。

主要日程の研究

研究開始 (推定)

2026年6月20日

一次修了 (推定)

2028年7月30日

研究の完了 (推定)

2029年6月30日

試験登録日

最初に提出

2026年6月8日

QC基準を満たした最初の提出物

2026年6月8日

最初の投稿 (実際)

2026年6月12日

学習記録の更新

投稿された最後の更新 (実際)

2026年6月12日

QC基準を満たした最後の更新が送信されました

2026年6月8日

最終確認日

2026年6月1日

詳しくは

本研究に関する用語

その他の研究ID番号

  • HBV-HSCT

医薬品およびデバイス情報、研究文書

米国FDA規制医薬品の研究

いいえ

米国FDA規制機器製品の研究

いいえ

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