이 페이지는 자동 번역되었으며 번역의 정확성을 보장하지 않습니다. 참조하십시오 영문판 원본 텍스트의 경우.

Human Observatory Study (HOS)

2026년 9월 2일 업데이트: William Brandenburg, MD, Longevity Metrics, Inc.

The Human Observatory: A Prospective Individual and Population-Level Study of Aging, Health, and Longevity

The Human Observatory Study is a prospective observational and ecological surveillance study building a continuously-updating world model for human health, disease, and death at the individual and population level. Individual multi-system clinical data from enrolled participants are linked to a continuously-ingested ecological data infrastructure spanning environmental exposures, social determinants, genealogical and family history records, mortality data, and population health databases at geographic resolutions from home address to global scale and beyond. The resulting model generates individual screening recommendations informed by population-level causal estimates, and population-level causal forecasts anchored by present-timepoint individual clinical biology. This linkage creates a feedback architecture designed to improve both simultaneously.

연구 개요

상세 설명

Existing approaches to human health prediction face a structural limitation: individual clinical studies measure biology without capturing the environment, while population epidemiology captures the environment without individual biological ground truth. The Human Observatory Study resolves this by operating at both levels simultaneously through a linked dual-layer architecture.

At the individual level, participants enrolled in the 100-Year Human Aging Study contribute comprehensive multi-system health measurements. This includes clinical, physiological, cognitive, behavioral, social, occupational, and environmental data collected at fixed and mobile clinical sites. These measurements provide the biological present timepoint that historical population data alone cannot supply.

At the population level, the Observatory continuously ingests ecological data from public and private registries across multiple input domains. This includes air quality, water and chemical contaminants, wildfire and smoke exposure, altitude and terrain, climate, satellite earth observation, occupational and industrial exposure, mortality and vital statistics, demographics and social determinants, and clinical data networks at geographic resolutions from home address to global scale and beyond. This ecological layer captures the environmental and social causal structure of health and disease continuously and does not require individual enrollment.

A foundational input domain is genealogy and family history. Health and disease run in families across generations. The Observatory is designed to build and continuously expand a linked genealogical database connecting living and historical individuals to their family health histories. Information is obtained from public genealogical records, death registries, family history self-report, and genetic data where available. The long-term vision is a genealogical infrastructure of sufficient depth and breadth to trace familial health patterns across the full recorded human family tree. Therefore connecting individual present-timepoint biology to multigenerational patterns of disease, longevity, and environmental exposure that no existing biobank or longitudinal study has attempted to capture at this scale.

The linked architecture enables a feedback loop with two outputs: population-level causal estimates that inform individual screening recommendations, and individual clinical data that give population models a present biological anchor for prospective forecasting. The degree to which each input domain, alone and in combination, predicts health, disease, and death across geographic scales from neighborhood to global and beyond is the central scientific question the Observatory is designed to answer.

The Observatory launches in Colorado, chosen as the founding site for its exceptional natural variation in altitude, wildfire smoke corridors, mining and industrial chemical geographies, and frontier-to-urban socioeconomic gradient all within a compact, well-characterized geography with established academic research infrastructure. Colorado proves the model. The architecture then replicates geographically, with each new location enriching the world model for every other. The long-term vision is global coverage and beyond. Every geography will contribute its environmental, social, and biological signal to a world model that gets more accurate with every geography studied, every participant enrolled, every dataset ingested, and every causal analysis conducted.

The Human Observatory Study is conducted across all Longevity Metrics participation pathways, current and future: the Boulder fixed laboratory; all current and future fixed clinical sites; mobile screening units including the Health Ahead Bus; and an online participation pathway through which participants enroll and contribute structured data without in-person screening. Ecological data are ingested continuously from public and private registries independent of individual enrollment. All pathways operate under a single protocol with identical procedures, data management, informed consent, and safety standards.

This study is one of four that compound into one system. The 100-Year Human Aging Study (NCT07563777) supplies the clinical data and validates what it means for health, disease, disability, and death. The Health Ahead Comparative Effectiveness Study (NCT07669168) moves the screening toward increasing automation and mobility while maintaining quality. The Longevity Metrics AI/ML Development Study (NCT pending approval) builds the models that make automation, prediction, and broad utilization possible, and returns each model's geographic residuals here. This study does with sociodemographic and environmental data what the 100-Year study does with clinical data, and defines the validated envelope within which each model's output is labeled.

연구 유형

관찰

등록 (추정된)

1000000

연락처 및 위치

이 섹션에서는 연구를 수행하는 사람들의 연락처 정보와 이 연구가 수행되는 장소에 대한 정보를 제공합니다.

연구 연락처

연구 장소

참여기준

연구원은 적격성 기준이라는 특정 설명에 맞는 사람을 찾습니다. 이러한 기준의 몇 가지 예는 개인의 일반적인 건강 상태 또는 이전 치료입니다.

자격 기준

공부할 수 있는 나이

  • 성인
  • 고령자

건강한 자원 봉사자를 받아들입니다

예

샘플링 방법

비확률 샘플

연구 인구

Participants of all ages, health statuses, and demographic backgrounds enrolled in the 100-Year Human Aging Study at any fixed or mobile clinical site, plus participants completing the online health screener. No exclusions based on health status, geographic location, language, or population group. The ecological surveillance layer requires no individual enrollment.

설명

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Enrolled in the 100-Year Human Aging Study at any fixed or mobile clinical site; OR completion of online health screener with provision of geographic anchor data and consent.

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Age under 18 years (current protocol; pediatric amendment planned).

공부 계획

이 섹션에서는 연구 설계 방법과 연구가 측정하는 내용을 포함하여 연구 계획에 대한 세부 정보를 제공합니다.

연구는 어떻게 설계됩니까?

디자인 세부사항

연구는 무엇을 측정합니까?

주요 결과 측정

결과 측정
측정값 설명
기간
Life Expectancy Estimates by Geography
기간: From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Continuously-updated life expectancy point estimates with credible intervals generated at individual, neighborhood, ZIP code, county, state, national, global, and beyond-earth scales using individual clinical data linked to population mortality records, environmental context, and ecological data.
From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Geographic Disease Cluster and Outbreak Detection
기간: From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Statistically anomalous concentrations of incident disease, mortality spikes, or shared symptom patterns at neighborhood and community resolution.
From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years

2차 결과 측정

결과 측정
측정값 설명
기간
Individual Screening Recommendation Accuracy
기간: From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Concordance between population-level causal estimates used to generate individualized screening recommendations and actual individual health outcomes at longitudinal follow-up, assessed periodically as outcomes accrue.
From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Causal Effect Estimates for Modifiable Exposures
기간: From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Estimated attributable life-years gained or lost per unit change in modifiable environmental, occupational, and social exposures.
From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Geographic Variation in Disability-Free Life Expectancy
기간: From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Disability-free life expectancy stratified by geography, ascertained via the functional independence and disability survey instrument used across all three associated protocols.
From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Health Equity Characterization
기간: From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Life expectancy gaps and chronic disease disparities stratified by geography, income, race and ethnicity, educational attainment, and rural-urban classification.
From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Human Tree of Life Growth
기간: From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Total participants linked to genealogical record; multigenerational depth achieved; proportion of enrolled participants with identified biological relatives in the registry; total historical individuals linked across all genealogical databases.
From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Population Biological Age Acceleration
기간: From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Mean difference between chronological age and biological age estimate for repeat-visit participants, stratified by geographic and demographic characteristics.
From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Multi-Domain Predictor Modeling
기간: From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Assessment of individual and composite clinical, biological, behavioral, environmental, social, occupational, genealogical, and geographic measurements as predictors of all-cause mortality, life expectancy, and incident serious disease at population scale; analyses evaluate which domains are independently predictive, which are redundant, and which combinations provide additive or synergistic predictive value.
From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
Incident Serious Health Events and Chronic Disease
기간: From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years
New diagnosis of myocardial infarction, stroke, cancer, dementia, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, sepsis, venous thromboembolism, COPD, chronic hypoxia, major fracture, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, metabolic syndrome, or osteoporosis ascertained via periodic follow-up contact and health data network linkage.
From enrollment until death, assessed periodically, up to 100 years

공동 작업자 및 조사자

여기에서 이 연구와 관련된 사람과 조직을 찾을 수 있습니다.

수사관

  • 수석 연구원: William Brandenburg, MD, Longevity Metrics

간행물 및 유용한 링크

연구에 대한 정보 입력을 담당하는 사람이 자발적으로 이러한 간행물을 제공합니다. 이것은 연구와 관련된 모든 것에 관한 것일 수 있습니다.

유용한 링크

연구 기록 날짜

이 날짜는 ClinicalTrials.gov에 대한 연구 기록 및 요약 결과 제출의 진행 상황을 추적합니다. 연구 기록 및 보고된 결과는 공개 웹사이트에 게시되기 전에 특정 품질 관리 기준을 충족하는지 확인하기 위해 국립 의학 도서관(NLM)에서 검토합니다.

연구 주요 날짜

연구 시작 (실제)

2026년 4월 25일

기본 완료 (추정된)

2099년 12월 31일

연구 완료 (추정된)

2099년 12월 31일

연구 등록 날짜

최초 제출

2026년 6월 9일

QC 기준을 충족하는 최초 제출

2026년 6월 9일

처음 게시됨 (실제)

2026년 6월 15일

연구 기록 업데이트

마지막 업데이트 게시됨 (실제)

2026년 9월 8일

QC 기준을 충족하는 마지막 업데이트 제출

2026년 9월 2일

마지막으로 확인됨

2026년 9월 1일

추가 정보

이 연구와 관련된 용어

개별 참가자 데이터(IPD) 계획

개별 참가자 데이터(IPD)를 공유할 계획입니까?

아니요

IPD 계획 설명

Individual participant data are not shared. The complete participant record includes facial and voice recordings, genomic data, and neighborhood-resolution geography, and cannot be de-identified; it is never released. Identifiable data are accessed only by approved researchers working within Longevity Metrics secure facilities under data use agreements, with no data removed. Specific derived, aggregate, and statistical outputs are de-identified to HIPAA Safe Harbor standards and may be published, shared with collaborators, or contributed to open-access research databases. Models, risk estimates, and analytic findings derived from the research data may be provided to external organizations or used commercially; no participant record and no dataset containing participant data is transferred.

약물 및 장치 정보, 연구 문서

미국 FDA 규제 의약품 연구

아니

미국 FDA 규제 기기 제품 연구

아니

이 정보는 변경 없이 clinicaltrials.gov 웹사이트에서 직접 가져온 것입니다. 귀하의 연구 세부 정보를 변경, 제거 또는 업데이트하도록 요청하는 경우 register@clinicaltrials.gov. 문의하십시오. 변경 사항이 clinicaltrials.gov에 구현되는 즉시 저희 웹사이트에도 자동으로 업데이트됩니다. .

구독하다