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WB6Dim-LTSA: Can Workplace Well-Being Scores Predict Collective Absenteeism? (WB6Dim-LTSA)

2026年5月17日 更新者:Clover Link

Predictive Value of the Adaptive Load Index (ICA) Derived From the WB6Dim Instrument on Collective Absenteeism Rates at a 6-Month Horizon: A Prospective Multicenter Cohort Study

This prospective multicenter cohort study evaluates the predictive value of the Adaptive Load Index (ICA), a composite indicator derived from the WB6Dim well-being instrument, on long-duration sick leave (≥ 30 days) in French companies at a 6-month horizon. In France, 7% of sick leave episodes (those exceeding 6 months) account for 45% of total sickness benefit expenditure (Cour des Comptes 2024). Group disability insurance charges rose +24.4% in 2024 (France Assureurs 2025). Critically, a substantial proportion of long-duration sick leave occurs without prior escalation in administrative absence data - the 'cliff effect' - where presenteeism masks progressive deterioration (Gustafsson & Marklund 2011). Prediction models based solely on absence history plateau at AUC 0.65 for cumulative days (Roelen 2013), while composite psychometric instruments reach C-index 0.73-0.74 (Airaksinen et al. 2018, SJWEH). The WB6Dim is a validated 28-item psychometric tool measuring 9 dimensions of workplace well-being (NCT07301879, NCT07433764; test-retest ICA .904). The ICA classifies respondents into 4 adaptive load levels. Aggregated at the company level, the ICA distribution may detect deterioration during the presenteeism window, before costly sick leave materializes. The study collects 4 WB6Dim assessments over 6 months alongside company-level absence data stratified by duration (2024-2026) and individual self-reported absence data (duration and episode count). Six pre-registered hypotheses test whether ICA predicts long-duration leave, including an exploratory hypothesis targeting companies with no prior absence signal but degraded well-being scores.

研究概览

地位

尚未招聘

详细说明

BACKGROUND: In France, sickness benefit expenditure reached 10.2 billion euros in 2023, up 28% since 2019 (DREES/CNAM, Études & Résultats n°1321, 2024). The cost distribution follows a Pareto pattern: 7% of sick leave episodes (those exceeding 6 months) generate 45% of total expenditure (Cour des Comptes, RALFSS 2024). For group disability insurers (prévoyance collective), the pressure is acute: charges for incapacity-disability-dependence rose +24.4% in 2024, long-duration indemnified days increased +31% since 2020, and the claims-to-premiums ratio deteriorated to 56.9% (France Assureurs 2025). These 7% of episodes are the primary cost driver, yet current identification relies on retrospective administrative data - the signal arrives after the damage is done. The literature identifies two pathways to long-duration sick leave: (1) escalation from repeated short absences (≥3 episodes/year, RR 1.5-2.5; Koopmans 2008, Hultin 2012, Roelen 2018, Sørensen et al. 2025), where administrative data detect the pattern but often too late for effective prevention; and (2) the 'cliff effect' - sudden onset without prior absence signal, driven by prolonged presenteeism masking progressive deterioration (Gustafsson & Marklund 2011, Ahola 2009, López-Bueno & Clausen 2021). Administrative data are entirely blind to the second pathway. Composite psychometric instruments can detect risk during the presenteeism window: they reach C-index 0.73-0.74 vs 0.65 for absence-only models (Airaksinen et al. 2018; Roelen 2013), and combining questionnaire + administrative data reaches C-index 0.79 (Nyberg et al. 2023).

The WB6Dim (Well-Being 6 Dimensions) is a 28-item digital psychometric instrument assessing 9 well-being dimensions, validated on 808 participants across 4 cohorts with 2 pre-registered protocols (NCT07301879, NCT07433764). All 19 convergent validity hypotheses were confirmed against 10 international gold-standard scales (PSS-10, WHO-5, CBI, ISI-7, RSES, SAS-SV, MSPSS, UCLA-3, CFQ-13, BPNS). The test-retest reliability (ICA) reached .904 (excellent). The Adaptive Load Index (ICA) classifies each respondent into 4 levels: low-to-moderate load, high load, very high load, and critical load. The Environmental Attentional Dysregulation (DAE) further characterizes the dominant source of strain (internal, digital, relational, or mixed). No published study has tested the predictive value of a composite well-being index, measured at the collective level, on sick leave ≥30 days - the threshold triggering group disability insurance benefits.

DESIGN: Prospective multicenter cohort study with 4 measurement waves over 6 months (June-November 2026). The unit of analysis is the company (collective level). No individual diagnosis or prognosis is delivered. Data sources include: (1) company-level HR data on absenteeism stratified by duration (aggregated, anonymized) for 2024, 2025, and 2026; (2) individual self-reported absence integrated into the WB6Dim at T0, T2, and T3. The study includes two analytical components: a retrospective analysis correlating T0 WB6Dim scores with 2024-2025 absenteeism, and a concurrent analysis testing whether T0-T2 trajectories predict T2-T3 absenteeism. Six pre-registered hypotheses are tested, including an exploratory hypothesis (H6) targeting the added value of ICA for companies with no elevated absence history but degraded well-being scores - directly testing whether the WB6Dim can identify the costly 7% before administrative data show any signal.

研究类型

观察性的

注册 (估计的)

2000

联系人和位置

本节提供了进行研究的人员的详细联系信息,以及有关进行该研究的地点的信息。

学习联系方式

学习地点

参与标准

研究人员寻找符合特定描述的人,称为资格标准。这些标准的一些例子是一个人的一般健康状况或先前的治疗。

资格标准

适合学习的年龄

  • 成人
  • 年长者

接受健康志愿者

是的

取样方法

非概率样本

研究人群

Employees of French companies with 50 or more employees, recruited through employer participation agreements. Companies are sourced through occupational health networks and direct outreach. All employees meeting inclusion criteria within participating companies are eligible regardless of job type, contract status, or health condition.

描述

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Employee of a participating French company (≥ 50 employees)
  • Age 18 years or older
  • Access to a smartphone or computer to complete the digital questionnaire
  • Electronic informed consent provided at baseline

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Refusal to participate or withdrawal of consent
  • Inability to complete the questionnaire in French

学习计划

本节提供研究计划的详细信息,包括研究的设计方式和研究的衡量标准。

研究是如何设计的?

设计细节

队列和干预

团体/队列
Multi-company workforce cohort
Single-cohort design. All participants receive the same observational protocol: 4 WB6Dim assessments over 6 months. The predictive analysis is conducted at the company level, comparing companies above versus below the sample median of collective critical ICA proportion at T0. No group assignment is made at the individual level. Stratification is performed post-hoc based on observed ICA distributions.

研究衡量的是什么?

主要结果指标

结果测量
措施说明
大体时间
Company-level incidence rate of sick leave episodes ≥ 30 days over 6 months, as measured from aggregated HR records
大体时间:6 months post-enrollment
Company-level incidence of sick leave episodes lasting 30 days or more, measured from aggregated HR data provided by each participating company for the period June-November 2026. This threshold marks the transition from short-term to long-term sickness absence in the French social security system and is associated with sharply reduced return-to-work probability.
6 months post-enrollment

次要结果测量

结果测量
措施说明
大体时间
Company-level incidence rate of sick leave episodes ≥ 90 days over 6 months, as measured from aggregated HR records
大体时间:6 months post-enrollment
Company-level incidence of sick leave episodes lasting 90 days or more, corresponding to long-term illness (affection de longue durée) classification and elevated risk of permanent disability transition.
6 months post-enrollment
Number of employees with ≥ 3 distinct absence episodes within 6 months per company, as measured from aggregated HR records
大体时间:6 months post-enrollment
Company-level count of employees with 3 or more distinct absence episodes within a 6-month period. Repeated short absences are an established early marker of subsequent long-duration leave (Koopmans 2008, RR=1.9; Hultin 2012, OR=2.0).
6 months post-enrollment
Self-reported cumulative absence duration and episode count, as measured by WB6Dim questionnaire items
大体时间:Baseline, 3 months, and 6 months post-enrollment
Self-reported work absence collected via two items in the WB6Dim questionnaire. Item 1: cumulative duration (0 / 1-7 days / 8-30 days / 31-90 days / >90 days). Item 2: number of separate episodes (0 / 1 / 2 / 3+). Each assessment covers the period since the previous measurement.
Baseline, 3 months, and 6 months post-enrollment
Change in collective ICA distribution from baseline to 3 months as a predictor of sick leave ≥ 30 days between 3 and 6 months
大体时间:Baseline and 3 months (predictor); 3 to 6 months post-enrollment (outcome)
Change in collective ICA distribution between baseline and 3 months (slope of degradation) as a predictor of sick leave ≥ 30 days observed between 3 and 6 months post-enrollment. Tests whether longitudinal worsening of collective well-being adds predictive value beyond static baseline measurement.
Baseline and 3 months (predictor); 3 to 6 months post-enrollment (outcome)
Change in predictive model AUC when adding DAE profile distribution to the ICA-based model for sick leave ≥ 30 days
大体时间:6 months post-enrollment
Improvement in predictive model discrimination (AUC) when adding DAE profile distribution (internal, digital, relational, mixed) to the ICA-based model. Tests whether characterizing the dominant source of strain improves identification of at-risk companies beyond overall load level.
6 months post-enrollment
Agreement (Cohen's kappa) between aggregated self-reported absence and company-level HR absence data, stratified by duration class
大体时间:6 months post-enrollment
Agreement between aggregated individual self-reports and company-level HR data, assessed using Cohen's kappa at the company level. Stratified by duration class. Validates the use of self-reported absence as a complementary data source when HR records are unavailable.
6 months post-enrollment

合作者和调查者

在这里您可以找到参与这项研究的人员和组织。

赞助

调查人员

  • 学习椅:Frédérique RETORNAZ, MD, PhD、European Hospital, Unit of Care and Research in Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases.

出版物和有用的链接

负责输入研究信息的人员自愿提供这些出版物。这些可能与研究有关。

研究记录日期

这些日期跟踪向 ClinicalTrials.gov 提交研究记录和摘要结果的进度。研究记录和报告的结果由国家医学图书馆 (NLM) 审查,以确保它们在发布到公共网站之前符合特定的质量控制标准。

研究主要日期

学习开始 (估计的)

2026年6月1日

初级完成 (估计的)

2026年11月15日

研究完成 (估计的)

2026年11月30日

研究注册日期

首次提交

2026年5月17日

首先提交符合 QC 标准的

2026年5月17日

首次发布 (实际的)

2026年5月26日

研究记录更新

最后更新发布 (实际的)

2026年5月26日

上次提交的符合 QC 标准的更新

2026年5月17日

最后验证

2026年5月1日

更多信息

与本研究相关的术语

其他研究编号

  • WB6DIM-LTSA-2026-01

计划个人参与者数据 (IPD)

计划共享个人参与者数据 (IPD)?

不

IPD 计划说明

Individual participant data will not be shared. The study analyzes company-level aggregated indicators only. No individual diagnosis or prognosis is delivered. Sharing individual-level data would conflict with GDPR requirements and the anonymization commitments made to participants and employers in the informed consent. De-identified, aggregated company-level datasets may be made available to qualified researchers upon reasonable request and approval by the data protection officer.

药物和器械信息、研究文件

研究美国 FDA 监管的药品

不

研究美国 FDA 监管的设备产品

不

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