- ICH GCP
- US Clinical Trials Registry
- Clinical Trial NCT07695376
CARAMEL Observational Study (CARAMEL-OS)
CArdiovascular Risk Assessment Via Multimodal Data Analysis Enabling Personalised Prevention Strategies Targeting MEnopausaL Women - Observational Study
CARAMEL is a project funded by the European Commission under the Horizon Europe programme. Its aim is to develop a personalized prevention approach based on state-of-the-art artificial intelligence models for cardiovascular risk stratification in women aged 40-60 years. These models are trained using large amounts of multi-source data and complemented by digital self-assessment and self-management tools. The CARAMEL consortium brings together a diverse group of 25 organizations, including technology companies and research centers, clinical institutions, as well as experts in ethics, law, and communication.
The CARAMEL-OS study is an observational study aimed at prospectively completing the proposed personalized cardiovascular risk stratification model for women aged 40-60 years that will be developed during the earlier phases of the overall CARAMEL project (https://www.caramel-project.eu/).
The study has a purely observational design, and patient stratification will not entail any clinical intervention. The data collected will be used to complete the design of the personalized stratification model, as well as to develop and validate the performance of the predictive models in an independent prospective cohort, distinct from the retrospective cohort initially used. The performance of the models developed using retrospective data will be assessed in terms of accuracy, discrimination, calibration, and other relevant metrics. In addition, the study will enable the development of new predictive models with short-term prediction horizons, incorporating additional variables that are not available retrospectively.
The study population will be recruited in four European Union countries: Croatia, Spain (Andalusia and The Basque Country - Gipuzkoa), Greece and Lithuania; and in Colombia. A prospective cohort of 3,000 women aged 40-60 will be recruited, with each partner contributing 500 participants.
Study Overview
Status
Detailed Description
Study Type
Enrollment (Estimated)
Contacts and Locations
Study Contact
- Name: Primary Care - OSIs Research Unit
- Phone Number: (+34)943006086
- Email: unidadinvestigaciongip@osakidetza.eus
Study Locations
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Bogotá, Colombia
- Not yet recruiting
- Keralty SAS
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Contact:
- Kelly R Chacon
- Phone Number: 5714599 (+57)6252111
- Email: krchacon@keralty.com
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Krapinske Toplice, Croatia
- Not yet recruiting
- Magdalena - Klinika Za Kardiovaskularne Bolesti Medicinskog Fakultetasveucilista J.J. Strossmayera U Osijeku Ustanova
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Contact:
- CARAMEL Project Manager
- Phone Number: (+385)915611387
- Email: caramel@magdalena.hr
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Athens, Greece
- Recruiting
- Ethniko Kai Kapodistriako Panepistimio Athinon
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Contact:
- Irene Lambrinoudaki
- Phone Number: 3 (+30)2107462002
- Email: ilambrinoudaki@hotmail.com
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Vilnius, Lithuania
- Not yet recruiting
- Viesoji Istaiga Vilniaus Universiteto Ligonine Santaros Klinikos
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Contact:
- Zaneta Petrulioniene
- Phone Number: (+37)061839391
- Email: zaneta.petrulioniene@santa.lt
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San Sebastián, Spain
- Recruiting
- Biogipuzkoa Health Research Institute
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Contact:
- Project Manager Primary Care - OSIs Research Unit
- Phone Number: +34943006112
- Email: unidadinvestigaciongip@osakidetza.eus
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Seville, Spain
- Recruiting
- Fundacion Para La Gestion de La Investigacion En Salud de Sevilla
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Contact:
- Luis G Luque Romero
- Phone Number: (+34)600143635
- Email: investigacion.daljsevn.sspa@juntadeandalucia.es
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Participation Criteria
Eligibility Criteria
Ages Eligible for Study
- Adult
Accepts Healthy Volunteers
Sampling Method
Study Population
The study population will be recruited in four European Union countries: Croatia, Spain (Andalusia and The Basque Country - Gipuzkoa), Greece and Lithuania; and in Colombia. A prospective cohort of 3,000 women aged 40-60 will be recruited, with each partner contributing 500 participants.
Eligible women may be invited to participate by their regular healthcare provider or may express their interest independently. To maximize representativeness, information about the study will be disseminated via multiple communication channels, including social media platforms (e.g., LinkedIn, Facebook, Bluesky, X). Women who express interest will be contacted by the CARAMEL research team, and detailed study documentation will be provided.
Description
Inclusion Criteria:
- Women 40 to 60 years of age, at recruitment.
- Ability to understand and complete the required informed consent for the study.
- Women who are covered by the corresponding healthcare system operating at each clinical site.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Severe comorbidity with less than 24 months life expectancy.
- Lack of basic digital skills to use or carry a smartphone and wearable devices.
Study Plan
How is the study designed?
Design Details
Cohorts and Interventions
Group / Cohort |
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3,000 women aged 40-60 recruited in four European Union countries and Colombia.
The study population will be recruited in five sites belonging to four European Union countries: Croatia, Spain (Andalusia and The Basque Country - Gipuzkoa), Greece and Lithuania; and one South America country that is Colombia.
A prospective cohort of 3,000 women aged 40-60 will be recruited, with each partner contributing 500 participants.
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What is the study measuring?
Primary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
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Incidence of hypertension
Time Frame: From enrollment to program completion, spanning 21-24 months depending on the enrollment date.
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Incidence of hypertension will be assessed by measuring blood pressure during the baseline and final study visits, as well as by reviewing the diagnosis of hypertension recorded in the electronic health records.
Participants enrolled during a self-monitoring month will be asked to measure their blood pressure twice daily throughout 1 month.
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From enrollment to program completion, spanning 21-24 months depending on the enrollment date.
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Incidence of dyslipidaemia
Time Frame: From enrollment to program completion, lasting 21-24 months depending on the enrollment date.
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Incidence of dyslipidaemia will be assessed through blood tests measuring HDL cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, total cholesterol, and triglyceride levels at the baseline and final study visits, as well as by reviewing diagnoses of dyslipidaemia recorded in the electronic health records.
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From enrollment to program completion, lasting 21-24 months depending on the enrollment date.
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Incidence of diabetes mellitus
Time Frame: From enrollment to program completion, lasting 21-24 months depending on the enrollment date.
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Incidence of diabetes mellitus will be assessed through blood tests measuring glomerular filtration rate, albumin-to-creatinine ratio, glucose and glycated hemoglobin levels at the baseline and final study visits, as well as by reviewing diagnoses of diabetes mellitus recorded in the electronic health records.
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From enrollment to program completion, lasting 21-24 months depending on the enrollment date.
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Incidence of cardiovascular disease
Time Frame: From enrollment to program completion, spanning 21-24 months depending on the enrollment date.
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The incidence of cardiovascular disease will be assessed through the diagnosis of the following conditions: myocardial infarction, chronic coronary syndrome, peripheral arterial disease, and stroke.
This information will be collected through a structured medical history interview and by reviewing the electronic health records.
These data will be collected during the baseline visit and the final visit.
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From enrollment to program completion, spanning 21-24 months depending on the enrollment date.
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Secondary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
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Mortality of cardiovascular events.
Time Frame: From enrollment to program completion, spanning 21-24 months depending on the enrollment date.
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Mortality of cardiovascular events will be assessed through review of electronic health records, collecting information on new cardiovascular events and mortality occurring during the follow-up period and identified at the final assessment.
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From enrollment to program completion, spanning 21-24 months depending on the enrollment date.
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Collaborators and Investigators
Collaborators
Publications and helpful links
General Publications
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- Kouz K, Monge Garcia MI, Cerutti E, Lisanti I, Draisci G, Frassanito L, Sander M, Ali Akbari A, Frey UH, Grundmann CD, Davies SJ, Donati A, Ripolles-Melchor J, Garcia-Lopez D, Vojnar B, Gayat E, Noll E, Bramlage P, Saugel B. Intraoperative hypotension when using hypotension prediction index software during major noncardiac surgery: a European multicentre prospective observational registry (EU HYPROTECT). BJA Open. 2023 May 4;6:100140. doi: 10.1016/j.bjao.2023.100140. eCollection 2023 Jun.
- Mach F, Baigent C, Catapano AL, Koskinas KC, Casula M, Badimon L, Chapman MJ, De Backer GG, Delgado V, Ference BA, Graham IM, Halliday A, Landmesser U, Mihaylova B, Pedersen TR, Riccardi G, Richter DJ, Sabatine MS, Taskinen MR, Tokgozoglu L, Wiklund O; ESC Scientific Document Group. 2019 ESC/EAS Guidelines for the management of dyslipidaemias: lipid modification to reduce cardiovascular risk. Eur Heart J. 2020 Jan 1;41(1):111-188. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehz455. No abstract available.
- McCarthy CP, Bruno RM, McEvoy JW, Touyz RM. 2024 ESC Guidelines for the management of elevated blood pressure and hypertension: what is new in pharmacotherapy? Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Pharmacother. 2025 Feb 8;11(1):7-9. doi: 10.1093/ehjcvp/pvae084. No abstract available.
- SCORE2-Diabetes Working Group and the ESC Cardiovascular Risk Collaboration. SCORE2-Diabetes: 10-year cardiovascular risk estimation in type 2 diabetes in Europe. Eur Heart J. 2023 Jul 21;44(28):2544-2556. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehad260.
- American Diabetes Association Professional Practice Committee. 1. Improving Care and Promoting Health in Populations: Standards of Care in Diabetes-2025. Diabetes Care. 2025 Jan 1;48(1 Suppl 1):S14-S26. doi: 10.2337/dc25-S001.
- Cherla A, Kyriopoulos I, Pearcy P, Tsangalidou Z, Hajrulahovic H, Theodorakis P, Andersson CE, Mehra MR, Mossialos E. Trends in avoidable mortality from cardiovascular diseases in the European Union, 1995-2020: a retrospective secondary data analysis. Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2024 Sep 27;47:101079. doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101079. eCollection 2024 Dec.
- Lopez-Lopez JP, Garcia-Pena AA, Martinez-Bello D, Gonzalez AM, Perez-Mayorga M, Munoz Velandia OM, Ruiz-Uribe G, Campo A, Rangarajan S, Yusuf S, Lopez-Jaramillo P. External validation and comparison of six cardiovascular risk prediction models in the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE)-Colombia study. Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2025 May 12;32(7):564-572. doi: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwae242.
- Goldenholz DM, Sun H, Ganglberger W, Westover MB. Sample Size Analysis for Machine Learning Clinical Validation Studies. Biomedicines. 2023 Feb 23;11(3):685. doi: 10.3390/biomedicines11030685.
- NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC). Worldwide trends in hypertension prevalence and progress in treatment and control from 1990 to 2019: a pooled analysis of 1201 population-representative studies with 104 million participants. Lancet. 2021 Sep 11;398(10304):957-980. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01330-1. Epub 2021 Aug 24.
- Liu W, Laranjo L, Klimis H, Chiang J, Yue J, Marschner S, Quiroz JC, Jorm L, Chow CK. Machine-learning versus traditional approaches for atherosclerotic cardiovascular risk prognostication in primary prevention cohorts: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes. 2023 Jun 21;9(4):310-322. doi: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcad017.
- Ballena-Caicedo J, Zuzunaga-Montoya FE, Loayza-Castro JA, Vasquez-Romero LEM, Tapia-Limonchi R, De Carrillo CIG, Vera-Ponce VJ. Global prevalence of dyslipidemias in the general adult population: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Health Popul Nutr. 2025 Aug 26;44(1):308. doi: 10.1186/s41043-025-01054-3.
- Diabetes Atlas. Country [Internet]. 2025 [cited 2025 Nov 1]. Available from: https://diabetesatlas.org/data-by-location/country/
- Evolución de la prevalencia de la diabetes mellitus en España (1999-2014) - ClinicalKey [Internet]. 2018 [cited 2025 Nov 1]. Available from: https://www.clinicalkey.es/#!/content/playContent/1-s2.0-S253001641830171X?returnurl=https:%2F%2Flinkinghub.elsevier.com%2Fretrieve%2Fpii%2FS253001641830171X%3Fshowall%3Dtrue&referrer=
- Banegas JR, Sanchez-Martinez M, Gijon-Conde T, Lopez-Garcia E, Graciani A, Guallar-Castillon P, Garcia-Puig J, Rodriguez-Artalejo F. Numerical values and impact of hypertension in Spain. Rev Esp Cardiol (Engl Ed). 2024 Sep;77(9):767-778. doi: 10.1016/j.rec.2024.03.011. Epub 2024 May 1. English, Spanish.
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- Ashina M, Mitsikostas DD, Amin FM, Kokturk P, Schankin CJ, Sahin G, Pozo-Rosich P, Dorman PJ, Nezadal T, Poole AC, Martins IP, Sumelahti ML, Ramirez Campos V, Ahn AH, Lyras L, Tassorelli C. Real-world effectiveness of fremanezumab for the preventive treatment of migraine: Interim analysis of the pan-European, prospective, observational, phase 4 PEARL study. Cephalalgia. 2023 Nov;43(11):3331024231214987. doi: 10.1177/03331024231214987.
- Savulescu C, Krizova P, Valentiner-Branth P, Ladhani S, Rinta-Kokko H, Levy C, Mereckiene J, Knol M, Winje BA, Ciruela P, de Miguel S, Guevara M, MacDonald L, Kozakova J, Slotved HC, Fry NK, Pekka Nuorti J, Danis K, Corcoran M, van der Ende A, Vestrheim DF, Munoz-Almagro C, Sanz JC, Castilla J, Smith A, Colzani E, Pastore Celentano L, Hanquet G; SpIDnet VE study group. Effectiveness of 10 and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines against invasive pneumococcal disease in European children: SpIDnet observational multicentre study. Vaccine. 2022 Jun 23;40(29):3963-3974. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.05.011. Epub 2022 May 28.
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Study record dates
Study Major Dates
Study Start (Actual)
Primary Completion (Estimated)
Study Completion (Estimated)
Study Registration Dates
First Submitted
First Submitted That Met QC Criteria
First Posted (Actual)
Study Record Updates
Last Update Posted (Actual)
Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria
Last Verified
More Information
Terms related to this study
Keywords
Other Study ID Numbers
- PI2025166 (PS)
Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)
Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?
Drug and device information, study documents
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product
This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.
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