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Prediction of Labor Induction Outcome in Nulliparous Women (PREDISS)

17 de julio de 2026 actualizado por: Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Paris

Evaluation of Biomarkers in Term Labor Induction in Low-Risk Nulliparous Patients: Toward Better Prediction of Induction Outcomes

Labor induction rates are increasing worldwide, yet nulliparous patients remain at high risk of failed induction and intrapartum cesarean delivery as well as prolonged labor which are associated with increased maternal morbidity, adverse outcomes in future pregnancies, increased neonatal morbidity and negative childbirth experience. This study aims to evaluate whether macrophage activation biomarkers in cervicovaginal secretions can predict successful labor induction in low-risk nulliparous women at term with an unfavorable cervix (Bishop score <6).

The study focuses on three patented biomarkers of "imminence of delivery" (MCP1, CD14, and CD163), previously shown to be markedly elevated during spontaneous labor. We hypothesize that higher biomarker concentrations reflect biological readiness for labor and are associated with successful induction, defined as entry into the active phase of labor (cervical dilation ≥6 cm). Secondary objectives include evaluating the association between biomarker concentrations and labor progression. Identifying reliable predictive biomarkers could improve patient selection for induction and optimize obstetrical management in nulliparous women.

Descripción general del estudio

Descripción detallada

The aim of labor induction is to reduce maternal and/or fetal complications associated with continuation of pregnancy while enabling vaginal delivery.

The investigators hypothesize that, at the time of induction, some key biological changes may already have occurred, thereby facilitating the initiation and progression of labor.

Our objective is to evaluate the association between the concentration of three macrophage activation biomarkers (referred to as "imminence of delivery" biomarkers) in cervicovaginal secretions (MCP1, CD14, and CD163) and successful labor induction among low-risk nulliparous women with an unfavorable cervix (Bishop score <6) at ≥39 weeks of gestation. We hypothesize that high biomarker concentrations will predict successful induction.

Pregnant women ≥ 39 weeks of gestation admitted to the maternity unit for labor induction who are eligible for the study will be approached to participate. The study procedures will be explained by the clinician (obstetrician-gynaecologist or midwife) in charge of the patient. In the absence of objection, the clinician who provided the information will complete the non-opposition form required for the patient's inclusion in the study. A cervicovaginal swab for biomarker measurement will be collected prior to labor induction.

A non-parametric Kruskal-Wallis test will be used to compare biomarker concentrations between patients who underwent caesarean delivery before 6 cm of cervical dilation and those whose labor progressed beyond 6 cm. The predictive value of biomarkers for induction success will be assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The area under the curve (AUC) will be calculated with its 95% confidence interval, and the optimal threshold for each biomarker will be determined.

The predictive value of the three biomarkers will be assessed in the same manner for the following secondary outcomes: the rate of vaginal delivery within 24 hours of induction onset, the time from induction onset to delivery, and the time from induction onset to reaching 6 cm of cervical dilation.

In addition, patients will be offered the option of donating a sample of the placenta and fetal membranes (amniotic sac) following delivery. These tissues, which are not routinely preserved, will be analyzed with the aim of identifying potential new biomarkers of interest. The collection of a placental sample at delivery is not a prerequisite for participation in the study. Patients will be free to participate in the study (i.e. biomarker measurement in vaginal secretions) while objecting to the collection of a placental sample at delivery.

Tipo de estudio

De observación

Inscripción (Estimado)

190

Contactos y Ubicaciones

Esta sección proporciona los datos de contacto de quienes realizan el estudio e información sobre dónde se lleva a cabo este estudio.

Estudio Contacto

Copia de seguridad de contactos de estudio

  • Nombre: Maëlys NKOBETCHOU, Medical Degree
  • Número de teléfono: +33 01 58 41 38 18
  • Correo electrónico: maelys.nkobetchou@aphp.fr

Ubicaciones de estudio

    • Île-de-France Region
      • Paris, Île-de-France Region, Francia, 75014
        • AP-HP - Hôpital Cochin - Maternité Port-Royal

Criterios de participación

Los investigadores buscan personas que se ajusten a una determinada descripción, denominada criterio de elegibilidad. Algunos ejemplos de estos criterios son el estado de salud general de una persona o tratamientos previos.

Criterio de elegibilidad

Edades elegibles para estudiar

  • Adulto
  • Adulto Mayor

Acepta Voluntarios Saludables

No

Método de muestreo

Muestra no probabilística

Población de estudio

Nulliparous patients

Descripción

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Age ≥ 18 years
  • Singleton pregnancy
  • Gestational age ≥ 39 weeks
  • Nulliparous
  • Live foetus
  • Cephalic presentation
  • Intact membranes
  • Bishop score < 6
  • Willing to participate in the study

Exclusion Criteria

  • A minor or a protected adult (under guardianship or conservatorship)
  • Individuals who don't speak French or are not accompanied by a third party who speaks French
  • Suspected intrauterine fetal growth restriction (estimated fetal weight < 3rd percentile or < 10th percentile with abnormal fetal Doppler)
  • Presence of fetal malformations and/or genetic or chromosomal abnormalities

Plan de estudios

Esta sección proporciona detalles del plan de estudio, incluido cómo está diseñado el estudio y qué mide el estudio.

¿Cómo está diseñado el estudio?

Detalles de diseño

Cohortes e Intervenciones

Grupo / Cohorte
Intervención / Tratamiento
Nulliparous patients
In low-risk nulliparous patients with unfavourable cervix undergoing labor induction ≥39SA
A vaginal sample will be collected from 39 weeks of gestation onward, prior to labor induction. The vaginal swab for biomarker testing will be collected at the same time as the vaginal swab for Group B streptococcus screening (which is routinely performed as part of standard care, in accordance with clinical practice guidelines). Therefore, no additional procedure is required for this research.

¿Qué mide el estudio?

Medidas de resultado primarias

Medida de resultado
Periodo de tiempo
The primary outcome is successful labor induction, defined as entry into the active phase of labor (cervical dilation ≥6 cm).
Periodo de tiempo: Up to 7 days
Up to 7 days

Medidas de resultado secundarias

Medida de resultado
Periodo de tiempo
The rate of vaginal delivery within 24 hours of the start of induction
Periodo de tiempo: Within 24hours of the start of induction
Within 24hours of the start of induction
The time from the beginning of labour induction to vaginal delivery (in hours)
Periodo de tiempo: From the beginning of labour induction to vaginal delivery (in hours)
From the beginning of labour induction to vaginal delivery (in hours)
The time from the beginning of labour induction to 6 cm of dilation (entry into the active phase) (in hours)
Periodo de tiempo: From the beginning of labour induction to 6 cm of dilation
From the beginning of labour induction to 6 cm of dilation

Colaboradores e Investigadores

Aquí es donde encontrará personas y organizaciones involucradas en este estudio.

Publicaciones y enlaces útiles

La persona responsable de ingresar información sobre el estudio proporciona voluntariamente estas publicaciones. Estos pueden ser sobre cualquier cosa relacionada con el estudio.

Publicaciones Generales

Fechas de registro del estudio

Estas fechas rastrean el progreso del registro del estudio y los envíos de resultados resumidos a ClinicalTrials.gov. Los registros del estudio y los resultados informados son revisados ​​por la Biblioteca Nacional de Medicina (NLM) para asegurarse de que cumplan con los estándares de control de calidad específicos antes de publicarlos en el sitio web público.

Fechas importantes del estudio

Inicio del estudio (Estimado)

1 de junio de 2026

Finalización primaria (Estimado)

1 de julio de 2027

Finalización del estudio (Estimado)

1 de enero de 2028

Fechas de registro del estudio

Enviado por primera vez

18 de mayo de 2026

Primero enviado que cumplió con los criterios de control de calidad

4 de junio de 2026

Publicado por primera vez (Actual)

9 de junio de 2026

Actualizaciones de registros de estudio

Última actualización publicada (Actual)

20 de julio de 2026

Última actualización enviada que cumplió con los criterios de control de calidad

17 de julio de 2026

Última verificación

1 de julio de 2026

Más información

Términos relacionados con este estudio

Otros números de identificación del estudio

  • APHP251724
  • IDRCB (Otro identificador: 2025-A02589-40)

Información sobre medicamentos y dispositivos, documentos del estudio

Estudia un producto farmacéutico regulado por la FDA de EE. UU.

No

Estudia un producto de dispositivo regulado por la FDA de EE. UU.

No

Esta información se obtuvo directamente del sitio web clinicaltrials.gov sin cambios. Si tiene alguna solicitud para cambiar, eliminar o actualizar los detalles de su estudio, comuníquese con register@clinicaltrials.gov. Tan pronto como se implemente un cambio en clinicaltrials.gov, también se actualizará automáticamente en nuestro sitio web. .

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