Development and Validation of the Prediction Model for Cognitive Impairment
Development and Validation of the Prediction Model for Cognitive Impairment in Elderly Patients After Acute Ischemic Stroke
According to the "Chinese Stroke Report" released in 2020, the incidence of stroke in China is 1114.8/100,000, acute ischemic stroke (AIS) accounts for 70% to 80% of the total number of stroke population, and elderly stroke patients are up to 2/3. About 1/3 of stroke patients would experience post-stroke cognitive impairment (PSCI), which seriously affected patients' quality of life and survival time, and increases disease and economic burden. Therefore, early identification, assessment, prevention and intervention of PSCI, and improvement of patients' quality of life and prognosis have become the focus of clinical research.
This is a prospective cohort study. We intend to: (1) continuously collect elderly AIS patients who will be admitted to the Department of Neurology, The Department of Rehabilitation and the Department of Gerontology of Shenzhen Second People's Hospital from 2022 year to 2024 year; (2) collect baseline and follow-up data, and build a prediction model for cognitive impairment in elderly AIS patients; (3) internal validation using Bootstrap model; (4) collect the data of the elderly AIS patients who will be admitted to Shenzhen Longhua District People's Hospital andShenzhen Longgang Central Hospital, and conduct external validation; (5) evaluate the predictive efficacy of the model.
調査の概要
状態
条件
詳細な説明
This study consists of two parts. The first part is to develop a predictive model for cognitive impairment in elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke. Continuously collect the baseline data and follow-up data of elderly AIS patients admitted to the Shenzhen Second People's Hospital from September 2022 to December 2023, including general demographic data, laboratory examination indicators, imaging indicators and assessment scales. Take the occurrence of PSCI as the dependent variable and the risk factors of PSCI in elderly AIS patients will be analyzed. Multivariate Cox regression will be used to develop a prediction model for cognitive impairment in elderly AIS patients.
The second part is to do clinical evaluation of prediction model of cognitive impairment in elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke. Bootstrap method will be used for internal validation of the model. Continuously collect the data of elderly AIS patients from January 2024 to December 2024 from the other two hospitals in Guangdong Province, China. Externally validate the model and evaluate the clinical application effect of PSCI prediction model in elderly AIS patients using C-index, reclassification index, calibration curve, time-dependent ROC curve and other indicators. Finally, the model is presented by nomogram.
研究の種類
入学 (予想される)
連絡先と場所
研究連絡先
- 名前：Xiaohua Xie, master
- 電話番号：+86 13560779836
- メール：13560779836@163.com
研究連絡先のバックアップ
- 名前：Simin Cao, master
- 電話番号：15625063093
- メール：Symina_2021@163.com
参加基準
適格基準
就学可能な年齢
健康ボランティアの受け入れ
受講資格のある性別
サンプリング方法
調査対象母集団
説明
Inclusion Criteria:
- Patients age 60 years or older.
- Stroke occurring within 7 days.
- Meet the diagnostic criteria of Chinese Guidelines for the Diagnosis and Treatment of Acute ischemic Stroke 2018.
- Informed consent.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Incomplete main clinical data;
- Patients with transient ischemic attack;
- Patients had cognitive dysfunction before enrollment.
研究計画
研究はどのように設計されていますか？
デザインの詳細
この研究は何を測定していますか？
主要な結果の測定
結果測定 |
メジャーの説明 |
時間枠 |
|---|---|---|
|
MMSE score
時間枠：From July 1, 2022 to May 31, 2025
|
The primary outcome will be assessed by the Mini-mental State Examination(MMSE) scale
|
From July 1, 2022 to May 31, 2025
|
協力者と研究者
捜査官
- 主任研究者：Xiaohua Xie, master、Shenzhen Second People's Hospital
研究記録日
主要日程の研究
研究開始 (予想される)
一次修了 (予想される)
研究の完了 (予想される)
試験登録日
最初に提出
QC基準を満たした最初の提出物
最初の投稿 (実際)
学習記録の更新
投稿された最後の更新 (実際)
QC基準を満たした最後の更新が送信されました
最終確認日
詳しくは
この情報は、Web サイト clinicaltrials.gov から変更なしで直接取得したものです。研究の詳細を変更、削除、または更新するリクエストがある場合は、register@clinicaltrials.gov。 までご連絡ください。 clinicaltrials.gov に変更が加えられるとすぐに、ウェブサイトでも自動的に更新されます。