AI-Assisted Personalized Heat-Risk Alerts (HEAT-CARE)
12 de setembro de 2026 atualizado por: Prof. Dr. Shamaila Mohsin, PhD, National University of Medical Sciences, Pakistan
Effectiveness of an Artificial Intelligence-Assisted Personalized Heat-Risk Alert System in Reducing Heat-Related Illness Among Adults With Chronic Conditions: A Randomized Controlled Trial in Pakistan
This two-arm randomized controlled trial will evaluate whether an artificial intelligence-assisted personalized heat-risk alert system reduces heat-related illness symptom burden among adults with chronic conditions.
The intervention will integrate prespecified clinical characteristics with the Pakistan Meteorological Department's same-day forecast maximum temperature to classify individual heat-related acute clinical-event risk and deliver personalized alerts through a mobile application.
The control group will receive a generic PMD heat-health advisory through the same application.
Visão geral do estudo
Status
Recrutamento
Condições
Descrição detalhada
Extreme heat poses increased health risks for adults living with chronic conditions. Conventional heat-health warning systems generally provide population-level advisories and may not account for individual clinical vulnerability. This study will evaluate an artificial intelligence-assisted personalized heat-risk alert system designed to integrate individual clinical characteristics with environmental exposure information.
The trial will enroll 120 adults with hypertension, type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, and/or obesity from the outpatient department of a selected tertiary-care hospital in Gujranwala, Pakistan. Participants will be randomized 1:1 to an intervention or control group and followed for six weeks.
On days when the Pakistan Meteorological Department same-day forecast maximum temperature is ≥36°C, the intervention system will process prespecified clinical characteristics and the temperature forecast through a locked AI Prediction Model. Participants will be classified into low, moderate, or high heat-related acute clinical-event risk categories, with corresponding personalized heat-health messaging. The control group will receive a generic PMD heat-health advisory through the same patient-facing mobile application without AI-based risk stratification or clinical personalization.
The primary outcome is Heat-Related Illness Symptom Score (HRISS) at Week 6. Secondary outcomes include heat-protective behaviors, heat-health knowledge, attitudes and practices, heat-related emergency department visits and hospital admissions, and application engagement. The AI model will be developed and internally validated using a separate historical hospital dataset containing heat-related emergency department visits/admissions and will be locked before intervention delivery.
Tipo de estudo
Intervencional
Inscrição (Estimado)
120
Estágio
- Não aplicável
Contactos e Locais
Esta seção fornece os detalhes de contato para aqueles que conduzem o estudo e informações sobre onde este estudo está sendo realizado.
Contato de estudo
- Nome: Mubra Noor, MS Public Health
- Número de telefone: +92- 321-6143378
- E-mail: mubranoor111@gmail.com
Locais de estudo
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Punjab Province
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Gujranwala, Punjab Province, Paquistão, 52250
- Recrutamento
- Gondal Medical Complex
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Critérios de participação
Os pesquisadores procuram pessoas que se encaixem em uma determinada descrição, chamada de critérios de elegibilidade. Alguns exemplos desses critérios são a condição geral de saúde de uma pessoa ou tratamentos anteriores.
Critérios de elegibilidade
Idades elegíveis para estudo
- Adulto
- Adulto mais velho
Aceita Voluntários Saudáveis
Não
Descrição
Inclusion Criteria:
- Adults aged 18 years or older attending the outpatient department of the selected tertiary-care hospital during the recruitment period.
- Have a documented diagnosis of at least one chronic non-communicable disease associated with increased susceptibility to heat-related illness, including hypertension, type 2 diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, or obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m²).
- Have access to a personal smartphone capable of receiving study heat-risk alert notifications.
- Be able to read Urdu or English, or have a household member/caregiver available to read and explain study alerts when required.
- Be willing and able to provide written informed consent.
- Intend to remain within the study catchment area for the duration of the six-week study period to facilitate follow-up.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Patients requiring immediate emergency treatment or hospital admission at the time of recruitment.
- Individuals with severe cognitive impairment, dementia, psychotic illness, or another medical condition that limits their ability to understand study procedures or provide informed consent.
- Patients with terminal illness or those receiving palliative care.
- Individuals with severe visual, hearing, or communication impairments that prevent effective receipt of the study alert intervention and outcome assessment without a reliable caregiver.
- Pregnant women, because pregnancy has distinct physiological responses to heat exposure and would require separate clinical risk stratification beyond the scope of this study.
- Participants currently enrolled in another clinical trial or structured behavioral intervention related to heat-health, climate adaptation, or chronic disease self-management.
- Participants who are unable or unwilling to comply with study procedures or complete the required follow-up assessment.
Plano de estudo
Esta seção fornece detalhes do plano de estudo, incluindo como o estudo é projetado e o que o estudo está medindo.
Como o estudo é projetado?
Detalhes do projeto
- Finalidade Principal: Cuidados de suporte
- Alocação: Randomizado
- Modelo Intervencional: Atribuição Paralela
- Mascaramento: Solteiro
Armas e Intervenções
Grupo de Participantes / Braço |
Intervenção / Tratamento |
|---|---|
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Experimental: AI-Assisted Personalized Heat-Risk Alert
Participants will receive AI-assisted personalized heat-risk alerts through the patient-facing mobile application on days when the Pakistan Meteorological Department's same-day forecast maximum temperature is ≥36°C.
A locked AI prediction model will integrate prespecified clinical characteristics and the same-day temperature forecast to classify heat-related acute clinical-event risk as low, moderate, or high.
Risk-category-specific heat-health messaging will then be delivered through the application.
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A mobile application-based heat-health alert system that uses a locked AI prediction engine to integrate prespecified individual clinical characteristics with the Pakistan Meteorological Department's same-day forecast maximum temperature (≥36°C) and classify participants into low, moderate, or high heat-related acute clinical-event risk categories.
The application delivers corresponding personalized heat-health messages.
|
|
Comparador Ativo: Generic PMD Heat-Health Advisory
Participants will receive a generic Pakistan Meteorological Department heat-health advisory through the same patient-facing mobile application on days when the same-day forecast maximum temperature is ≥36°C.
The control condition will not include AI-based risk stratification, individualized risk classification, or disease-specific personalization.
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Generic Pakistan Meteorological Department heat-health advisory delivered through the same patient-facing mobile application when the same-day forecast maximum temperature is ≥36°C, without AI-based risk stratification or individualized clinical personalization.
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O que o estudo está medindo?
Medidas de resultados primários
Medida de resultado |
Descrição da medida |
Prazo |
|---|---|---|
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Heat-Related Illness Symptom Score (HRISS)
Prazo: Baseline and six weeks after randomization
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The total HRISS score ranges from 0 to 20, based on 10 heat-related illness symptom items assessed for the preceding 7 days; higher scores indicate greater heat-related illness symptom burden.
HRISS will be assessed at baseline and Week 6, with the primary analysis comparing Week-6 HRISS between groups after adjustment for baseline HRISS.
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Baseline and six weeks after randomization
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Medidas de resultados secundários
Medida de resultado |
Descrição da medida |
Prazo |
|---|---|---|
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Heat-Health Protective Behavior Checklist (HPBC)
Prazo: Baseline and six weeks after randomization
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The total score on the 10-item Heat-Health Protective Behavior Checklist (HPBC) ranges from 0 to 10, with higher scores indicating greater adoption of heat-protective behaviors.
HPBC will be assessed at baseline and Week 6, with the between-group comparison based on the Week-6 score adjusted for baseline.
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Baseline and six weeks after randomization
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Heat-Health Knowledge, Attitudes and Practices (KAP) Score
Prazo: Baseline and six weeks after randomization
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Heat-health knowledge, attitudes, and practices will be assessed using the study's 20-item heat-health KAP questionnaire.
The questionnaire will be administered at baseline and Week 6, with the prespecified between-group comparison based on the Week 6 assessment, adjusted for baseline values.
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Baseline and six weeks after randomization
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Heat-related hospital admissions
Prazo: From randomization through six weeks
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Number of unplanned hospital admissions attributable to heat-related illness during the six-week intervention period.
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From randomization through six weeks
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Colaboradores e Investigadores
É aqui que você encontrará pessoas e organizações envolvidas com este estudo.
Patrocinador
Investigadores
- Investigador principal: Shamaila Mohsin, PhD Public Health, Armed Forces Post Graduate Medical Institute, AFPGMI, NUMS, Rawalpindi
Datas de registro do estudo
Essas datas acompanham o progresso do registro do estudo e os envios de resumo dos resultados para ClinicalTrials.gov. Os registros do estudo e os resultados relatados são revisados pela National Library of Medicine (NLM) para garantir que atendam aos padrões específicos de controle de qualidade antes de serem publicados no site público.
Datas Principais do Estudo
Início do estudo (Real)
1 de setembro de 2026
Conclusão Primária (Estimado)
13 de outubro de 2026
Conclusão do estudo (Estimado)
30 de outubro de 2026
Datas de inscrição no estudo
Enviado pela primeira vez
12 de setembro de 2026
Enviado pela primeira vez que atendeu aos critérios de CQ
12 de setembro de 2026
Primeira postagem (Real)
17 de setembro de 2026
Atualizações de registro de estudo
Última Atualização Postada (Real)
17 de setembro de 2026
Última atualização enviada que atendeu aos critérios de controle de qualidade
12 de setembro de 2026
Última verificação
1 de setembro de 2026
Mais Informações
Termos relacionados a este estudo
Palavras-chave
Termos MeSH relevantes adicionais
Outros números de identificação do estudo
- 757-AAA-ERC-AFPGMI
Plano para dados de participantes individuais (IPD)
Planeja compartilhar dados de participantes individuais (IPD)?
NÃO
Descrição do plano IPD
Individual participant-level data will not be made publicly available because the study involves sensitive clinical and health-related information from the participant population.
Data will be retained and managed in accordance with the approved study protocol, institutional requirements, and applicable ethical and privacy requirements.
De-identified aggregate findings will be reported in publications and other appropriate dissemination outputs.
Informações sobre medicamentos e dispositivos, documentos de estudo
Estuda um medicamento regulamentado pela FDA dos EUA
Não
Estuda um produto de dispositivo regulamentado pela FDA dos EUA
Não
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