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Tirzepatide vs Semaglutide in Individuals at Cardiovascular Risk But Without Diabetes.

8 juli 2026 uppdaterad av: Shirley Vichy Wang, Brigham and Women's Hospital

Comparative Effectiveness of Tirzepatide and Semaglutide in Patients at Cardiovascular Risk With Overweight or Obesity But Without Diabetes

Investigators are building an empirical evidence base for real world data through large-scale emulation of randomized controlled trials. The investigators' goal is to understand for what types of clinical questions real world data analyses can be conducted with confidence and how to implement such studies.

Studieöversikt

Status

Avslutad

Betingelser

Detaljerad beskrivning

This is a non-randomized, non-interventional study that is part of the Randomized Controlled Trials Duplicated Using Prospective Longitudinal Insurance Claims: Applying Techniques of Epidemiology (RCT-DUPLICATE) initiative (www.rctduplicate.org) of the Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School. It is intended to assess the comparative effectiveness of tirzepatide vs semaglutide on cardiovascular outcomes among patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.

The SELECT trial (NCT03574597) demonstrated that semaglutide reduces major adverse cardiovascular events in individuals with established cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity but without diabetes. Whether tirzepatide provides similar cardiovascular benefit in patients without diabetes is being evaluated in the ongoing placebo-controlled SURMOUNT-MMO trial (NCT05556512), with results expected in late 2027. Although SURMOUNT-MMO will assess the cardiovascular efficacy of tirzepatide in individuals without diabetes, evidence to inform treatment choices among available incretin-based therapies in clinical practice is urgently needed. Therefore, this study examines the comparative effectiveness of tirzepatide vs semaglutide among patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes in clinical practice.

Although many features of the target trial cannot be directly replicated in healthcare claims, key design features, including outcomes, exposures, and inclusion/exclusion criteria, were selected to proxy those features from the target trial. Randomization cannot be achieved in healthcare claims data but was proxied through a statistical balancing of measured covariates according to standard practice.

The database study will be a new-user active-comparative study, conducted using 3 national United States claims databases, where we compare the effect of tirzepatide vs semaglutide on the composite end point of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke. Clinical guidelines during the study period recommended both tirzepatide and semaglutide for the same indications of glucose lowering and weight reduction.

Studietyp

Observationell

Inskrivning (Faktisk)

100000

Kontakter och platser

Det här avsnittet innehåller kontaktuppgifter för dem som genomför studien och information om var denna studie genomförs.

Studieorter

    • Massachusetts
      • Boston, Massachusetts, Förenta staterna, 02120
        • Brigham and Women's Hospital

Deltagandekriterier

Forskare letar efter personer som passar en viss beskrivning, så kallade behörighetskriterier. Några exempel på dessa kriterier är en persons allmänna hälsotillstånd eller tidigare behandlingar.

Urvalskriterier

Åldrar som är berättigade till studier

  • Vuxen
  • Äldre vuxen

Tar emot friska volontärer

Nej

Testmetod

Icke-sannolikhetsprov

Studera befolkning

Individuals aged 18 years or older at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice

Beskrivning

Study period:

Optum: Eligible cohort entry period between May 13, 2022 to November 30, 2025. MarketScan: Eligible cohort entry period between May 13, 2022 to September 30, 2023.

Medicare: Eligible cohort entry period between May 13, 2022 to September 30, 2024.

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Men or women aged 18 years or older
  • History of myocardial infarction, stroke, any surgical or percutaneous revascularization procedure
  • Use of antihypertensive or lipid-lowering drugs
  • Coronary, carotid, or peripheral artery disease
  • BMI greater than or equal to 25.0 mg/m2

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Medullary thyroid carcinoma
  • MEN syndrome type 2
  • Malignancy
  • Type 1 diabetes
  • Type 2 diabetes
  • Secondary diabetes
  • End-stage renal disease or dialysis
  • Pregnancy
  • History of bariatric surgery
  • Prior use of pramlintide or any GLP-1-RA, except tirzepatide or semaglutide
  • Cardiovascular event or intervention in the last 7 days

Studieplan

Det här avsnittet ger detaljer om studieplanen, inklusive hur studien är utformad och vad studien mäter.

Hur är studien utformad?

Designdetaljer

Kohorter och interventioner

Grupp / Kohort
Intervention / Behandling
Tirzepatid
Exponeringsgrupp
Initiation of tirzepatide described in electronic health records is used as the exposure.
Injectable semaglutide
Reference group
Initiation of injectable semaglutide described in electronic health records is used as the reference.

Vad mäter studien?

Primära resultatmått

Resultatmått
Åtgärdsbeskrivning
Tidsram
Composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke.
Tidsram: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the composite of death, myocardial infarction, or stroke in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA

Sekundära resultatmått

Resultatmått
Åtgärdsbeskrivning
Tidsram
Individual components of the primary endpoint, i.e., all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke
Tidsram: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the individual components of the primary endpoint, i.e., death, myocardial infarction, or stroke in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina, coronary revascularization, or hospitalization for heart failure
Tidsram: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina, coronary revascularization, or hospitalization for heart failure in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Hospitalization for heart failure
Tidsram: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the occurrence of heart failure hospitalizations in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Hospitalization for unstable angina
Tidsram: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the occurrence of hospitalizations for unstable angina in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Coronary revascularization
Tidsram: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the occurrence of coronary revascularization in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA

Andra resultatmått

Resultatmått
Åtgärdsbeskrivning
Tidsram
Urinary tract infections
Tidsram: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the safety outcome of urinary tract infections in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Serious infections
Tidsram: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the safety outcome of serious infections in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Gastrointestinal adverse events
Tidsram: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the safety outcome of gastrointestinal adverse events in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Hernia
Tidsram: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the negative control outcome of hernia in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Lumbar radiculopathy
Tidsram: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the negative control outcome of lumbar radiculopathy in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA

Samarbetspartners och utredare

Det är här du hittar personer och organisationer som är involverade i denna studie.

Utredare

  • Huvudutredare: Shirley Wang, PhD, ScM, Brigham and Women's Hospital
  • Huvudutredare: Nils Krüger, MD, Brigham and Women's Hospital

Studieavstämningsdatum

Dessa datum spårar framstegen för inlämningar av studieposter och sammanfattande resultat till ClinicalTrials.gov. Studieposter och rapporterade resultat granskas av National Library of Medicine (NLM) för att säkerställa att de uppfyller specifika kvalitetskontrollstandarder innan de publiceras på den offentliga webbplatsen.

Studera stora datum

Studiestart (Faktisk)

10 februari 2026

Primärt slutförande (Faktisk)

1 juni 2026

Avslutad studie (Faktisk)

1 juni 2026

Studieregistreringsdatum

Först inskickad

23 maj 2026

Först inskickad som uppfyllde QC-kriterierna

23 maj 2026

Första postat (Faktisk)

2 juni 2026

Uppdateringar av studier

Senaste uppdatering publicerad (Faktisk)

9 juli 2026

Senaste inskickade uppdateringen som uppfyllde QC-kriterierna

8 juli 2026

Senast verifierad

1 maj 2026

Mer information

Termer relaterade till denna studie

Läkemedels- och apparatinformation, studiedokument

Studerar en amerikansk FDA-reglerad läkemedelsprodukt

Ja

Studerar en amerikansk FDA-reglerad produktprodukt

Nej

produkt tillverkad i och exporterad från U.S.A.

Nej

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