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Tirzepatide vs Semaglutide in Individuals at Cardiovascular Risk But Without Diabetes.

8 de julho de 2026 atualizado por: Shirley Vichy Wang, Brigham and Women's Hospital

Comparative Effectiveness of Tirzepatide and Semaglutide in Patients at Cardiovascular Risk With Overweight or Obesity But Without Diabetes

Investigators are building an empirical evidence base for real world data through large-scale emulation of randomized controlled trials. The investigators' goal is to understand for what types of clinical questions real world data analyses can be conducted with confidence and how to implement such studies.

Visão geral do estudo

Status

Concluído

Descrição detalhada

This is a non-randomized, non-interventional study that is part of the Randomized Controlled Trials Duplicated Using Prospective Longitudinal Insurance Claims: Applying Techniques of Epidemiology (RCT-DUPLICATE) initiative (www.rctduplicate.org) of the Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School. It is intended to assess the comparative effectiveness of tirzepatide vs semaglutide on cardiovascular outcomes among patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.

The SELECT trial (NCT03574597) demonstrated that semaglutide reduces major adverse cardiovascular events in individuals with established cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity but without diabetes. Whether tirzepatide provides similar cardiovascular benefit in patients without diabetes is being evaluated in the ongoing placebo-controlled SURMOUNT-MMO trial (NCT05556512), with results expected in late 2027. Although SURMOUNT-MMO will assess the cardiovascular efficacy of tirzepatide in individuals without diabetes, evidence to inform treatment choices among available incretin-based therapies in clinical practice is urgently needed. Therefore, this study examines the comparative effectiveness of tirzepatide vs semaglutide among patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes in clinical practice.

Although many features of the target trial cannot be directly replicated in healthcare claims, key design features, including outcomes, exposures, and inclusion/exclusion criteria, were selected to proxy those features from the target trial. Randomization cannot be achieved in healthcare claims data but was proxied through a statistical balancing of measured covariates according to standard practice.

The database study will be a new-user active-comparative study, conducted using 3 national United States claims databases, where we compare the effect of tirzepatide vs semaglutide on the composite end point of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke. Clinical guidelines during the study period recommended both tirzepatide and semaglutide for the same indications of glucose lowering and weight reduction.

Tipo de estudo

Observacional

Inscrição (Real)

100000

Contactos e Locais

Esta seção fornece os detalhes de contato para aqueles que conduzem o estudo e informações sobre onde este estudo está sendo realizado.

Locais de estudo

    • Massachusetts
      • Boston, Massachusetts, Estados Unidos, 02120
        • Brigham and Women's Hospital

Critérios de participação

Os pesquisadores procuram pessoas que se encaixem em uma determinada descrição, chamada de critérios de elegibilidade. Alguns exemplos desses critérios são a condição geral de saúde de uma pessoa ou tratamentos anteriores.

Critérios de elegibilidade

Idades elegíveis para estudo

  • Adulto
  • Adulto mais velho

Aceita Voluntários Saudáveis

Não

Método de amostragem

Amostra Não Probabilística

População do estudo

Individuals aged 18 years or older at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice

Descrição

Study period:

Optum: Eligible cohort entry period between May 13, 2022 to November 30, 2025. MarketScan: Eligible cohort entry period between May 13, 2022 to September 30, 2023.

Medicare: Eligible cohort entry period between May 13, 2022 to September 30, 2024.

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Men or women aged 18 years or older
  • History of myocardial infarction, stroke, any surgical or percutaneous revascularization procedure
  • Use of antihypertensive or lipid-lowering drugs
  • Coronary, carotid, or peripheral artery disease
  • BMI greater than or equal to 25.0 mg/m2

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Medullary thyroid carcinoma
  • MEN syndrome type 2
  • Malignancy
  • Type 1 diabetes
  • Type 2 diabetes
  • Secondary diabetes
  • End-stage renal disease or dialysis
  • Pregnancy
  • History of bariatric surgery
  • Prior use of pramlintide or any GLP-1-RA, except tirzepatide or semaglutide
  • Cardiovascular event or intervention in the last 7 days

Plano de estudo

Esta seção fornece detalhes do plano de estudo, incluindo como o estudo é projetado e o que o estudo está medindo.

Como o estudo é projetado?

Detalhes do projeto

Coortes e Intervenções

Grupo / Coorte
Intervenção / Tratamento
Tirzepatide
Grupo de exposição
Initiation of tirzepatide described in electronic health records is used as the exposure.
Injectable semaglutide
Reference group
Initiation of injectable semaglutide described in electronic health records is used as the reference.

O que o estudo está medindo?

Medidas de resultados primários

Medida de resultado
Descrição da medida
Prazo
Composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke.
Prazo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the composite of death, myocardial infarction, or stroke in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA

Medidas de resultados secundários

Medida de resultado
Descrição da medida
Prazo
Individual components of the primary endpoint, i.e., all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke
Prazo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the individual components of the primary endpoint, i.e., death, myocardial infarction, or stroke in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina, coronary revascularization, or hospitalization for heart failure
Prazo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina, coronary revascularization, or hospitalization for heart failure in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Hospitalization for heart failure
Prazo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the occurrence of heart failure hospitalizations in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Hospitalization for unstable angina
Prazo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the occurrence of hospitalizations for unstable angina in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Coronary revascularization
Prazo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the occurrence of coronary revascularization in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA

Outras medidas de resultado

Medida de resultado
Descrição da medida
Prazo
Urinary tract infections
Prazo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the safety outcome of urinary tract infections in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Serious infections
Prazo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the safety outcome of serious infections in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Gastrointestinal adverse events
Prazo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the safety outcome of gastrointestinal adverse events in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Hernia
Prazo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the negative control outcome of hernia in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Lumbar radiculopathy
Prazo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the negative control outcome of lumbar radiculopathy in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA

Colaboradores e Investigadores

É aqui que você encontrará pessoas e organizações envolvidas com este estudo.

Investigadores

  • Investigador principal: Shirley Wang, PhD, ScM, Brigham and Women's Hospital
  • Investigador principal: Nils Krüger, MD, Brigham and Women's Hospital

Datas de registro do estudo

Essas datas acompanham o progresso do registro do estudo e os envios de resumo dos resultados para ClinicalTrials.gov. Os registros do estudo e os resultados relatados são revisados ​​pela National Library of Medicine (NLM) para garantir que atendam aos padrões específicos de controle de qualidade antes de serem publicados no site público.

Datas Principais do Estudo

Início do estudo (Real)

10 de fevereiro de 2026

Conclusão Primária (Real)

1 de junho de 2026

Conclusão do estudo (Real)

1 de junho de 2026

Datas de inscrição no estudo

Enviado pela primeira vez

23 de maio de 2026

Enviado pela primeira vez que atendeu aos critérios de CQ

23 de maio de 2026

Primeira postagem (Real)

2 de junho de 2026

Atualizações de registro de estudo

Última Atualização Postada (Real)

9 de julho de 2026

Última atualização enviada que atendeu aos critérios de controle de qualidade

8 de julho de 2026

Última verificação

1 de maio de 2026

Mais Informações

Termos relacionados a este estudo

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Sim

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Não

produto fabricado e exportado dos EUA

Não

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