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Tirzepatide vs Semaglutide in Individuals at Cardiovascular Risk But Without Diabetes.

8 de julio de 2026 actualizado por: Shirley Vichy Wang, Brigham and Women's Hospital

Comparative Effectiveness of Tirzepatide and Semaglutide in Patients at Cardiovascular Risk With Overweight or Obesity But Without Diabetes

Investigators are building an empirical evidence base for real world data through large-scale emulation of randomized controlled trials. The investigators' goal is to understand for what types of clinical questions real world data analyses can be conducted with confidence and how to implement such studies.

Descripción general del estudio

Estado

Terminado

Condiciones

Intervención / Tratamiento

Descripción detallada

This is a non-randomized, non-interventional study that is part of the Randomized Controlled Trials Duplicated Using Prospective Longitudinal Insurance Claims: Applying Techniques of Epidemiology (RCT-DUPLICATE) initiative (www.rctduplicate.org) of the Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School. It is intended to assess the comparative effectiveness of tirzepatide vs semaglutide on cardiovascular outcomes among patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.

The SELECT trial (NCT03574597) demonstrated that semaglutide reduces major adverse cardiovascular events in individuals with established cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity but without diabetes. Whether tirzepatide provides similar cardiovascular benefit in patients without diabetes is being evaluated in the ongoing placebo-controlled SURMOUNT-MMO trial (NCT05556512), with results expected in late 2027. Although SURMOUNT-MMO will assess the cardiovascular efficacy of tirzepatide in individuals without diabetes, evidence to inform treatment choices among available incretin-based therapies in clinical practice is urgently needed. Therefore, this study examines the comparative effectiveness of tirzepatide vs semaglutide among patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes in clinical practice.

Although many features of the target trial cannot be directly replicated in healthcare claims, key design features, including outcomes, exposures, and inclusion/exclusion criteria, were selected to proxy those features from the target trial. Randomization cannot be achieved in healthcare claims data but was proxied through a statistical balancing of measured covariates according to standard practice.

The database study will be a new-user active-comparative study, conducted using 3 national United States claims databases, where we compare the effect of tirzepatide vs semaglutide on the composite end point of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke. Clinical guidelines during the study period recommended both tirzepatide and semaglutide for the same indications of glucose lowering and weight reduction.

Tipo de estudio

De observación

Inscripción (Actual)

100000

Contactos y Ubicaciones

Esta sección proporciona los datos de contacto de quienes realizan el estudio e información sobre dónde se lleva a cabo este estudio.

Ubicaciones de estudio

    • Massachusetts
      • Boston, Massachusetts, Estados Unidos, 02120
        • Brigham and Women's Hospital

Criterios de participación

Los investigadores buscan personas que se ajusten a una determinada descripción, denominada criterio de elegibilidad. Algunos ejemplos de estos criterios son el estado de salud general de una persona o tratamientos previos.

Criterio de elegibilidad

Edades elegibles para estudiar

  • Adulto
  • Adulto Mayor

Acepta Voluntarios Saludables

No

Método de muestreo

Muestra no probabilística

Población de estudio

Individuals aged 18 years or older at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice

Descripción

Study period:

Optum: Eligible cohort entry period between May 13, 2022 to November 30, 2025. MarketScan: Eligible cohort entry period between May 13, 2022 to September 30, 2023.

Medicare: Eligible cohort entry period between May 13, 2022 to September 30, 2024.

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Men or women aged 18 years or older
  • History of myocardial infarction, stroke, any surgical or percutaneous revascularization procedure
  • Use of antihypertensive or lipid-lowering drugs
  • Coronary, carotid, or peripheral artery disease
  • BMI greater than or equal to 25.0 mg/m2

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Medullary thyroid carcinoma
  • MEN syndrome type 2
  • Malignancy
  • Type 1 diabetes
  • Type 2 diabetes
  • Secondary diabetes
  • End-stage renal disease or dialysis
  • Pregnancy
  • History of bariatric surgery
  • Prior use of pramlintide or any GLP-1-RA, except tirzepatide or semaglutide
  • Cardiovascular event or intervention in the last 7 days

Plan de estudios

Esta sección proporciona detalles del plan de estudio, incluido cómo está diseñado el estudio y qué mide el estudio.

¿Cómo está diseñado el estudio?

Detalles de diseño

Cohortes e Intervenciones

Grupo / Cohorte
Intervención / Tratamiento
Tirzepatide
Grupo de exposición
Initiation of tirzepatide described in electronic health records is used as the exposure.
Injectable semaglutide
Reference group
Initiation of injectable semaglutide described in electronic health records is used as the reference.

¿Qué mide el estudio?

Medidas de resultado primarias

Medida de resultado
Medida Descripción
Periodo de tiempo
Composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke.
Periodo de tiempo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the composite of death, myocardial infarction, or stroke in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA

Medidas de resultado secundarias

Medida de resultado
Medida Descripción
Periodo de tiempo
Individual components of the primary endpoint, i.e., all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke
Periodo de tiempo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the individual components of the primary endpoint, i.e., death, myocardial infarction, or stroke in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina, coronary revascularization, or hospitalization for heart failure
Periodo de tiempo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina, coronary revascularization, or hospitalization for heart failure in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Hospitalization for heart failure
Periodo de tiempo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the occurrence of heart failure hospitalizations in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Hospitalization for unstable angina
Periodo de tiempo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the occurrence of hospitalizations for unstable angina in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Coronary revascularization
Periodo de tiempo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the occurrence of coronary revascularization in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA

Otras medidas de resultado

Medida de resultado
Medida Descripción
Periodo de tiempo
Urinary tract infections
Periodo de tiempo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the safety outcome of urinary tract infections in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Serious infections
Periodo de tiempo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the safety outcome of serious infections in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Gastrointestinal adverse events
Periodo de tiempo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the safety outcome of gastrointestinal adverse events in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Hernia
Periodo de tiempo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the negative control outcome of hernia in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
Lumbar radiculopathy
Periodo de tiempo: 1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA
To evaluate the comparative effect of tirzepatide vs injectable semaglutide on the negative control outcome of lumbar radiculopathy in patients at cardiovascular risk with overweight or obesity but without diabetes treated in clinical practice.
1 day after prescription fill of exposure or comparator until outcome, end of data, end of study period, death, discontinuation (45 day grace, risk-window), nursing home admission, augmentation/additional exposure or switch to comparator or other GLP1-RA

Colaboradores e Investigadores

Aquí es donde encontrará personas y organizaciones involucradas en este estudio.

Investigadores

  • Investigador principal: Shirley Wang, PhD, ScM, Brigham and Women's Hospital
  • Investigador principal: Nils Krüger, MD, Brigham and Women's Hospital

Fechas de registro del estudio

Estas fechas rastrean el progreso del registro del estudio y los envíos de resultados resumidos a ClinicalTrials.gov. Los registros del estudio y los resultados informados son revisados ​​por la Biblioteca Nacional de Medicina (NLM) para asegurarse de que cumplan con los estándares de control de calidad específicos antes de publicarlos en el sitio web público.

Fechas importantes del estudio

Inicio del estudio (Actual)

10 de febrero de 2026

Finalización primaria (Actual)

1 de junio de 2026

Finalización del estudio (Actual)

1 de junio de 2026

Fechas de registro del estudio

Enviado por primera vez

23 de mayo de 2026

Primero enviado que cumplió con los criterios de control de calidad

23 de mayo de 2026

Publicado por primera vez (Actual)

2 de junio de 2026

Actualizaciones de registros de estudio

Última actualización publicada (Actual)

9 de julio de 2026

Última actualización enviada que cumplió con los criterios de control de calidad

8 de julio de 2026

Última verificación

1 de mayo de 2026

Más información

Términos relacionados con este estudio

Información sobre medicamentos y dispositivos, documentos del estudio

Estudia un producto farmacéutico regulado por la FDA de EE. UU.

Sí

Estudia un producto de dispositivo regulado por la FDA de EE. UU.

No

producto fabricado y exportado desde los EE. UU.

No

Esta información se obtuvo directamente del sitio web clinicaltrials.gov sin cambios. Si tiene alguna solicitud para cambiar, eliminar o actualizar los detalles de su estudio, comuníquese con register@clinicaltrials.gov. Tan pronto como se implemente un cambio en clinicaltrials.gov, también se actualizará automáticamente en nuestro sitio web. .

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