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Ultrasound Prediction of Esophageal Variceal Bleeding Risk

4 de mayo de 2026 actualizado por: Mireille Maged Emile Hanna, Assiut University

Splenic Size and Portal Vein Diameter on Ultrasound in Predicting Esophageal Variceal Bleeding Risk

This prospective observational study aims to evaluate the accuracy of using routine abdominal ultrasound to predict the risk of esophageal variceal bleeding in adult patients with liver cirrhosis. Esophageal variceal bleeding is a serious complication of chronic liver disease. While upper gastrointestinal endoscopy is the current standard for diagnosing and grading these varices, it is an invasive procedure.

In this study, researchers will use ultrasound to measure the patient's spleen size and portal vein diameter. These non-invasive measurements will then be compared to the results of a standard upper endoscopy performed within 48 to 72 hours. The goal is to determine if these simple ultrasound measurements can reliably predict the presence, grade, and bleeding risk of esophageal varices, which could potentially reduce the need for routine invasive endoscopic screenings in the future.

Descripción general del estudio

Descripción detallada

Background and Rationale:

Esophageal variceal bleeding is a life-threatening complication of portal hypertension in patients with chronic liver disease. While upper gastrointestinal endoscopy remains the gold standard for diagnosing and grading esophageal varices, it is an invasive procedure. Recent studies demonstrate that non-invasive parameters, specifically ultrasonographic measurements like portal vein diameter and splenic size, have emerged as independent predictors of variceal presence and bleeding risk. Despite these findings, there is limited data from Egyptian populations, particularly from Upper Egypt. This study aims to assess the diagnostic accuracy of these measurements and establish optimal cutoff values for non-invasive parameters in this population.

Study Design and Setting:

This is a prospective cross-sectional observational study conducted at the Department of Tropical Medicine and Gastroenterology and the Department of Diagnostic Radiology at AL-Rajhi University Hospital, Assiut University, Egypt. The study aims to recruit 165 adult patients with liver cirrhosis.

Study Procedures:

All enrolled participants will undergo the following assessments:

Clinical and Laboratory Assessment: Participants will undergo comprehensive history taking and physical examinations, alongside the calculation of Child-Pugh and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores. Blood samples will be evaluated for complete blood count (focusing on platelets), liver and renal function tests, and prothrombin time/INR.

Abdominal Ultrasound: A high-resolution ultrasound using a 3.5-5 MHz convex transducer will be performed to measure the longest craniocaudal splenic diameter, splenic width and thickness, and portal vein diameter at the porta hepatis. Additional assessments include splenic vein diameter, ascites, liver echotexture, and the calculation of the platelet count/spleen diameter ratio.

Upper Gastrointestinal Endoscopy: Within 48-72 hours of the ultrasound, an endoscopy will be performed. Investigators will grade the varices (Grade I-III), assess for red color signs (indicating high bleeding risk), and document any gastric varices or portal hypertensive gastropathy.

Tipo de estudio

De observación

Inscripción (Estimado)

165

Criterios de participación

Los investigadores buscan personas que se ajusten a una determinada descripción, denominada criterio de elegibilidad. Algunos ejemplos de estos criterios son el estado de salud general de una persona o tratamientos previos.

Criterio de elegibilidad

Edades elegibles para estudiar

  • Adulto
  • Adulto Mayor

Acepta Voluntarios Saludables

N/A

Método de muestreo

Muestra no probabilística

Población de estudio

Adult patients (aged 18 years and older) with chronic liver disease and established liver cirrhosis (including both compensated and decompensated, Child-Pugh classes A, B, and C) who are scheduled for an upper gastrointestinal endoscopy at AL-Rajhi University Hospital, Assiut University, Egypt.

Descripción

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Adult patients (age ≥18 years) with chronic liver disease and clinical/laboratory/radiological evidence of liver cirrhosis
  • Both compensated and decompensated cirrhosis (Child-Pugh classes A, B, and C)
  • Patients scheduled for upper gastrointestinal endoscopy
  • Patients who provide informed consent

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Previous history of endoscopic variceal band ligation or sclerotherapy
  • Prior surgical portosystemic shunt procedures or transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS)
  • Hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein thrombosis
  • Previous splenectomy
  • Patients receiving beta-blockers for variceal bleeding prophylaxis
  • Poor quality ultrasound images due to obesity or ascites
  • Refusal to participate in the study

Plan de estudios

Esta sección proporciona detalles del plan de estudio, incluido cómo está diseñado el estudio y qué mide el estudio.

¿Cómo está diseñado el estudio?

Detalles de diseño

¿Qué mide el estudio?

Medidas de resultado primarias

Medida de resultado
Medida Descripción
Periodo de tiempo
Grade of esophageal varices
Periodo de tiempo: Baseline (at the time of upper gastrointestinal endoscopy, performed within 48 to 72 hours of the ultrasound examination)
Assessed during upper gastrointestinal endoscopy and classified according to the General Rules for Recording Endoscopic Findings: Grade I (small, straight varices), Grade II (enlarged, tortuous varices occupying <1/3 of lumen), and Grade III (large, coil-shaped varices occupying >1/3 of lumen).
Baseline (at the time of upper gastrointestinal endoscopy, performed within 48 to 72 hours of the ultrasound examination)

Colaboradores e Investigadores

Aquí es donde encontrará personas y organizaciones involucradas en este estudio.

Patrocinador

Fechas de registro del estudio

Estas fechas rastrean el progreso del registro del estudio y los envíos de resultados resumidos a ClinicalTrials.gov. Los registros del estudio y los resultados informados son revisados ​​por la Biblioteca Nacional de Medicina (NLM) para asegurarse de que cumplan con los estándares de control de calidad específicos antes de publicarlos en el sitio web público.

Fechas importantes del estudio

Inicio del estudio (Estimado)

1 de abril de 2026

Finalización primaria (Estimado)

1 de abril de 2027

Finalización del estudio (Estimado)

1 de mayo de 2027

Fechas de registro del estudio

Enviado por primera vez

4 de marzo de 2026

Primero enviado que cumplió con los criterios de control de calidad

4 de mayo de 2026

Publicado por primera vez (Actual)

6 de mayo de 2026

Actualizaciones de registros de estudio

Última actualización publicada (Actual)

6 de mayo de 2026

Última actualización enviada que cumplió con los criterios de control de calidad

4 de mayo de 2026

Última verificación

1 de mayo de 2026

Más información

Esta información se obtuvo directamente del sitio web clinicaltrials.gov sin cambios. Si tiene alguna solicitud para cambiar, eliminar o actualizar los detalles de su estudio, comuníquese con register@clinicaltrials.gov. Tan pronto como se implemente un cambio en clinicaltrials.gov, también se actualizará automáticamente en nuestro sitio web. .

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