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Real-Time Acute Kidney Injury Perioperative Prediction Clinical Trial (ML-AKI)

19 mei 2026 bijgewerkt door: University of California, San Francisco

Prediction of Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) After Surgery: A Pragmatic Three-Arm Cluster-Randomized Trial

This investigator-initiated, pragmatic trial evaluates whether displaying a machine learning (ML)- derived perioperative AKI risk score-alone or paired with an interruptive Best/Our Practice Advisory (BPA/OPA)-improves kidney-protective care and reduces kidney injury after non-obstetric surgery at UCSF. Approximately 75-100 attending anesthesiologists (clusters) are randomized 1:1:1 to: (a) Control (risk score hidden), (b) Score Only (visible preoperative AKI risk probability with passive KDIGO bundle recommendation), or (c) Score + BPA (visible risk plus interruptive KDIGO prompt for high-risk patients). CRNAs/residents follow their attending' s assignment. Adult inpatients (age ≥18) with expected overnight stay and eGFR ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m² are included; obstetrics, chronic dialysis, and kidney transplant patients are excluded. The underlying preoperative model was prospectively validated at UCSF and outperforms anesthesiologist risk estimation reported in the literature. The model was reviewed and approved by the AI Oversight Committee at UCSF. Primary endpoint is the continuous change in serum creatinine (mg/dL) from baseline to POD 1-2. Secondary outcomes include KDIGO-defined AKI, adherence to bundle elements (hemodynamics, balanced fluids, nephrotoxin avoidance, glycemic control), intraoperative hypotension time, fluid volumes, nephrotoxin exposure, perioperative hyperglycemia, length of stay, unplanned ICU transfer, readmission, dialysis, and in-hospital mortality. Data are obtained from the EHR; analysts are blinded. No direct subject interaction is planned; the investigators will request a waiver of patient consent. The study aims to demonstrate that ML-enabled, workflow-embedded decision support can safely and feasibly improve guideline concordant care and decrease early postoperative kidney injury.

Studie Overzicht

Toestand

Nog niet aan het werven

Conditie

Interventie / Behandeling

Studietype

Ingrijpend

Inschrijving (Geschat)

25518

Fase

  • Niet toepasbaar

Contacten en locaties

In dit gedeelte vindt u de contactgegevens van degenen die het onderzoek uitvoeren en informatie over waar dit onderzoek wordt uitgevoerd.

Studiecontact

Studie Locaties

  • Verenigde Staten
    • California
      • San Francisco, California, Verenigde Staten, 94158
        • University of California, San Francisco

Deelname Criteria

Onderzoekers zoeken naar mensen die aan een bepaalde beschrijving voldoen, de zogenaamde geschiktheidscriteria. Enkele voorbeelden van deze criteria zijn iemands algemene gezondheidstoestand of eerdere behandelingen.

Geschiktheidscriteria

Leeftijden die in aanmerking komen voor studie

  • Volwassen
  • Oudere volwassene

Accepteert gezonde vrijwilligers

Ja

Beschrijving

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Adults ≥18 years undergoing non-obstetric surgery at UCSF.
  • Inpatient cases with expected overnight stay.
  • Baseline eGFR ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m².
  • Managed by an attending anesthesiologist randomized to one of three arms (CRNAs/residents follow attending).
  • Data available in the UCSF EHR for risk scoring and outcomes.

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Obstetric procedures.
  • Chronic dialysis patients.
  • Kidney transplant recipients.
  • Cases without baseline creatinine/eGFR or missing essential EHR elements needed for scoring/outcomes (operational exclusions).
  • Outpatient procedures without expected overnight stay.

Studie plan

Dit gedeelte bevat details van het studieplan, inclusief hoe de studie is opgezet en wat de studie meet.

Hoe is de studie opgezet?

Ontwerpdetails

  • Primair doel: Screening
  • Toewijzing: Gerandomiseerd
  • Interventioneel model: Parallelle opdracht
  • Masker: Geen (open label)

Wapens en interventies

Deelnemersgroep / Arm
Interventie / Behandeling
Geen tussenkomst: Control Arm
Participants receive usual perioperative care with a placeholder blank display without the machine learning-derived acute kidney injury (AKI) risk score. The clinical decision support tool remains hidden in the electronic health record, and no alerts or recommendations related to the study are shown.
Experimenteel: Acute Kidney Injury Risk Score Only
A machine learning-derived preoperative AKI risk score is displayed within the electronic health record for high-risk patients. A passive recommendation indicating that the patient may benefit from a KDIGO-based kidney-protective bundle is provided. The information is advisory only, and no interruptive alerts are used.
Apparaat: EHR-Embedded AKI Risk Score
A non-adaptive, machine learning-based clinical decision support tool integrated into the electronic health record that generates a preoperative probability of acute kidney injury (AKI) using routinely collected patient data. For patients identified as high risk, the tool displays the risk estimate to anesthesia providers without an accompanying Best Practice Advisory (BPA) recommending consideration of a KDIGO-based kidney-protective bundle. The intervention is advisory only, does not mandate clinical actions, and is designed to support provider decision-making within the existing clinical workflow.
Andere namen:
  • EHR-Embedded AKI Clinical Decision Support Tool
Experimenteel: Acute Kidney Injury Risk Score with Best Practice Advisory
The machine learning-derived AKI risk score is displayed within the electronic health record for high-risk patients, accompanied by an interruptive Best Practice Advisory (BPA) that notifies providers that the patient may benefit from a KDIGO-based kidney-protective bundle. The alert is advisory only and does not mandate clinical actions.
Apparaat: EHR-Embedded AKI Risk Score with Best Practice Advisory
A non-adaptive, machine learning-based clinical decision support tool integrated into the electronic health record that generates a preoperative probability of acute kidney injury (AKI) using routinely collected patient data. For patients identified as high risk, the tool displays the risk estimate to anesthesia providers with an accompanying Best Practice Advisory (BPA) recommending consideration of a KDIGO-based kidney-protective bundle. The intervention is advisory only, does not mandate clinical actions, and is designed to support provider decision-making within the existing clinical workflow.
Andere namen:
  • EHR-Embedded AKI Clinical Decision Support Tool

Wat meet het onderzoek?

Primaire uitkomstmaten

Uitkomstmaat
Maatregel Beschrijving
Tijdsspanne
Post-operative Change in Creatinine
Tijdsspanne: From pre-operative baseline to 1-2 days post-operative level
Maximum continuous change in serum creatinine (mg/dL) from baseline to post-operative day 1-2
From pre-operative baseline to 1-2 days post-operative level

Secundaire uitkomstmaten

Uitkomstmaat
Maatregel Beschrijving
Tijdsspanne
Acute Kidney Injury
Tijdsspanne: Operation to Post-operative Day 7
Acute Kidney Injury as defined by KDIGO
Operation to Post-operative Day 7
KDIGO Bundle Adherence
Tijdsspanne: Intra-operative
Measurement of provider adherence to KDIGO components
Intra-operative
Intra-Operative Time and Severity of Hypotension
Tijdsspanne: Intra-operative
Intra-Operative Time and Severity (meaning how far below the threshold) where patient is in hypotension, defined as systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg and mean arterial pressure <65 mmHg during surgery
Intra-operative
Total intra-operative intravenous fluid volume administered (mL)
Tijdsspanne: Intra-operative
Provider administration of intravenous fluids during the intra-operative period, measured in milliliters (mL). Intravenous fluids include normal saline, lactated Ringer's, Plasma-Lyte, other balanced crystalloids, and colloid solutions such as albumin.
Intra-operative
Length of Stay
Tijdsspanne: Operation to Post-operative Day 180
Duration of patient admission in hospital in days
Operation to Post-operative Day 180
Intra-operative Hyperglycemic Events
Tijdsspanne: Intra-operative
Number of intra-operative hyperglycemic events, defined as the number of recorded blood glucose measurements exceeding 180 mg/dL.
Intra-operative
Intra-operative Nephrotoxin Exposure
Tijdsspanne: Intra-operative
Number of nephrotoxic medications administered intra-operatively and duration of intra-operative exposure
Intra-operative
In-Hospital Mortality
Tijdsspanne: Operation to Post-operative Day 180
Patient death while admitted in the hospital
Operation to Post-operative Day 180
ICU Transfer and total time in the ICU
Tijdsspanne: Postoperative
Any transfers to the ICU while admitted and the total time the patient spends in the ICU
Postoperative
Hospital Readmission
Tijdsspanne: Operation to Post-operative Day 180
Readmission back to a UCSF hospital following operation
Operation to Post-operative Day 180
Dialysis Requirement
Tijdsspanne: Operation to Post-operative Day 180
Patients requiring dialysis following surgery
Operation to Post-operative Day 180
Dilution Corrected KDIGO AKI measurement (Stage 1 or higher)
Tijdsspanne: AKI is defined per KDIGO as corrected creatinine increase ≥0.3 mg/dL within 48 hours or ≥1.5× baseline within 7 days. This measure captures "hidden AKI" - kidney injury masked by fluid dilution that would be missed using standard uncorrected creatinine.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) assessed using KDIGO creatinine criteria applied to dilution-corrected postoperative serum creatinine. Creatinine is corrected for hemodilution from perioperative fluid retention using the formula:

Corrected Creatinine (mg/dL) = Measured Creatinine × (1 + Net Fluid Balance / Total Body Water)

Where:

  • Net Fluid Balance (L) = Fluid inputs - urine output - blood loss - other outputs
  • Total Body Water (L) = 0.6 × weight (kg) for males; 0.5 × weight (kg) for females
AKI is defined per KDIGO as corrected creatinine increase ≥0.3 mg/dL within 48 hours or ≥1.5× baseline within 7 days. This measure captures "hidden AKI" - kidney injury masked by fluid dilution that would be missed using standard uncorrected creatinine.
Total intra-operative packed red blood cells administered (units transfused)
Tijdsspanne: intraoperative
Provider administration of packed red blood cells during the intra-operative period, measured as total units transfused.
intraoperative
Total intra-operative fresh frozen plasma administered (units transfused)
Tijdsspanne: intraoperative
Provider administration of fresh frozen plasma during the intra-operative period, measured as total units transfused.
intraoperative
Total intra-operative platelets administered (units transfused)
Tijdsspanne: intraoperative
Provider administration of platelets during the intra-operative period, measured as total units transfused.
intraoperative
Total intra-operative cryoprecipitate administered (units transfused)
Tijdsspanne: intraoperative
Provider administration of cryoprecipitate during the intra-operative period, measured as total units transfused.
intraoperative

Medewerkers en onderzoekers

Hier vindt u mensen en organisaties die betrokken zijn bij dit onderzoek.

Sponsor

University of California, San Francisco

Medewerkers

National Institute of General Medical Sciences (NIGMS)

Onderzoekers

  • Hoofdonderzoeker: Andrew Bishara, MD, University of California, San Francisco

Publicaties en nuttige links

De persoon die verantwoordelijk is voor het invoeren van informatie over het onderzoek stelt deze publicaties vrijwillig ter beschikking. Dit kan gaan over alles wat met het onderzoek te maken heeft.

Algemene publicaties

Studie record data

Deze datums volgen de voortgang van het onderzoeksdossier en de samenvatting van de ingediende resultaten bij ClinicalTrials.gov. Studieverslagen en gerapporteerde resultaten worden beoordeeld door de National Library of Medicine (NLM) om er zeker van te zijn dat ze voldoen aan specifieke kwaliteitscontrolenormen voordat ze op de openbare website worden geplaatst.

Bestudeer belangrijke data

Studie start (Geschat)

15 oktober 2026

Primaire voltooiing (Geschat)

15 oktober 2027

Studie voltooiing (Geschat)

15 december 2027

Studieregistratiedata

Eerst ingediend

9 april 2026

Eerst ingediend dat voldeed aan de QC-criteria

19 mei 2026

Eerst geplaatst (Werkelijk)

22 mei 2026

Updates van studierecords

Laatste update geplaatst (Werkelijk)

22 mei 2026

Laatste update ingediend die voldeed aan QC-criteria

19 mei 2026

Laatst geverifieerd

1 mei 2026

Meer informatie

Termen gerelateerd aan deze studie

Trefwoorden

Aanvullende relevante MeSH-voorwaarden

Andere studie-ID-nummers

  • 22-37005
  • K23GM151611-03 (Subsidie/contract van de Amerikaanse NIH)

Plan Individuele Deelnemersgegevens (IPD)

Bent u van plan om gegevens van individuele deelnemers (IPD) te delen?

NEE

Informatie over medicijnen en apparaten, studiedocumenten

Bestudeert een door de Amerikaanse FDA gereguleerd geneesmiddel

Nee

Bestudeert een door de Amerikaanse FDA gereguleerd apparaatproduct

Ja

product vervaardigd in en geëxporteerd uit de V.S.

Ja

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