Non-Invasive Risk Stratification for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in HCV-Related Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease Following Sustained Virological Response: Validation of the aMAP Score (HCV-aMAP)
2026年7月1日 更新者：Tawesak Tanwandee、Siriraj Hospital
Prediction of Risk of Hepatic Decompensation and Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Advanced Fibrotic or Cirrhotic Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C After Sustained Virologic Response
This retrospective cohort study evaluated the performance of non-invasive risk scores for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma in adults with hepatitis C virus-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease who achieved sustained virological response after sofosbuvir-based direct-acting antiviral therapy.
Patients treated at Siriraj Hospital between 2013 and 2023 were included if they had compensated advanced chronic liver disease and documented SVR12.
The study compared FIB-4, APRI, ALBI, and aMAP scores calculated at SVR12 for prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma during long-term follow-up.
The primary aim was to identify a very-low-risk subgroup in whom hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance might potentially be de-escalated.
調査の概要
詳細な説明
This was a single-center retrospective cohort study conducted at Siriraj Hospital, Thailand. Consecutive adult patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection and compensated advanced chronic liver disease who initiated interferon-free sofosbuvir-based direct-acting antiviral therapy between 2013 and 2023 and achieved sustained virological response at 12 weeks after treatment completion were included. Compensated advanced chronic liver disease was defined according to Baveno VII criteria, including histologic F3/F4 fibrosis, vibration-controlled transient elastography greater than 10 kPa, or clinical evidence of portal hypertension.
Baseline demographic, clinical, laboratory, and transient elastography data were collected from electronic medical records. The FIB-4, APRI, ALBI, and aMAP scores were calculated using laboratory values at SVR12. Patients with known or suspected hepatocellular carcinoma before direct-acting antiviral therapy, failure to achieve SVR12, or incomplete medical records precluding outcome assessment were excluded.
The primary outcome was de novo hepatocellular carcinoma during follow-up. Predictive performance of the non-invasive scores was assessed using time-to-event analysis, Kaplan-Meier methods, Cox proportional hazards regression, and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves at 1, 3, 5, and 8 years.
研究の種類
観察的
入学 (実際)
571
連絡先と場所
このセクションには、調査を実施する担当者の連絡先の詳細と、この調査が実施されている場所に関する情報が記載されています。
研究場所
-
-
Bangkok
-
Bangkok、Bangkok、タイ、10700
- Siriraj Hospital
-
-
参加基準
研究者は、適格基準と呼ばれる特定の説明に適合する人を探します。これらの基準のいくつかの例は、人の一般的な健康状態または以前の治療です。
適格基準
就学可能な年齢
- 大人
- 高齢者
健康ボランティアの受け入れ
いいえ
サンプリング方法
非確率サンプル
調査対象母集団
Adult patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection and compensated advanced chronic liver disease who initiated sofosbuvir-based direct-acting antiviral therapy at Siriraj Hospital between 2013 and 2023 and achieved sustained virological response at 12 weeks after treatment completion.
説明
Inclusion Criteria:
- Age 18 years or older
- Chronic hepatitis C virus infection treated with direct-acting antiviral therapy
- Documented sustained virological response at 12 weeks after treatment completion
- Evidence of compensated advanced chronic liver disease before direct-acting antiviral therapy, defined by at least one of the following: histologic F3 or F4 fibrosis, vibration-controlled transient elastography >10 kPa, radiologic features compatible with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis, or clinical or endoscopic evidence of portal hypertension
- Minimum follow-up of 12 months after sustained virological response
Exclusion Criteria:
- Incomplete or missing medical records precluding outcome assessment
- Known or suspected hepatocellular carcinoma before initiating direct-acting antiviral therapy
- Failure to achieve sustained virological response at 12 weeks
研究計画
このセクションでは、研究がどのように設計され、研究が何を測定しているかなど、研究計画の詳細を提供します。
研究はどのように設計されていますか？
デザインの詳細
コホートと介入
グループ/コホート |
介入・治療 |
|---|---|
|
HCV-related cACLD After SVR
Adults with hepatitis C virus-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease who achieved sustained virological response at 12 weeks after sofosbuvir-based direct-acting antiviral therapy and were followed for de novo hepatocellular carcinoma.
|
FIB-4, APRI, ALBI, and aMAP scores were calculated using laboratory values at SVR12 to evaluate their performance for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma during follow-up.
|
この研究は何を測定していますか？
主要な結果の測定
結果測定 |
メジャーの説明 |
時間枠 |
|---|---|---|
|
Development of de novo hepatocellular carcinoma
時間枠：From SVR12 until diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma, last follow-up, or up to 8 years after SVR12.
|
Occurrence of newly diagnosed hepatocellular carcinoma after achievement of sustained virological response (SVR12).
Patients with known or suspected hepatocellular carcinoma before direct-acting antiviral therapy were excluded.
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From SVR12 until diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma, last follow-up, or up to 8 years after SVR12.
|
二次結果の測定
結果測定 |
メジャーの説明 |
時間枠 |
|---|---|---|
|
Predictive accuracy of the FIB-4 score for de novo hepatocellular carcinoma
時間枠：At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
|
Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the FIB-4 score for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma.
|
At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
|
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Predictive accuracy of the APRI score for de novo hepatocellular carcinoma
時間枠：At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
|
Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the APRI score for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma.
|
At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
|
|
Predictive accuracy of the ALBI score for de novo hepatocellular carcinoma
時間枠：At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
|
Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the ALBI score for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma.
|
At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
|
|
Predictive accuracy of the aMAP score for de novo hepatocellular carcinoma
時間枠：At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
|
Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the aMAP score for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma.
|
At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
|
協力者と研究者
ここでは、この調査に関係する人々や組織を見つけることができます。
スポンサー
捜査官
- 主任研究者：Tawesak Tanwandee, MD、Siriraj Hospital
出版物と役立つリンク
研究に関する情報を入力する責任者は、自発的にこれらの出版物を提供します。これらは、研究に関連するあらゆるものに関するものである可能性があります。
一般刊行物
- Fan R, Papatheodoridis G, Sun J, Innes H, Toyoda H, Xie Q, Mo S, Sypsa V, Guha IN, Kumada T, Niu J, Dalekos G, Yasuda S, Barnes E, Lian J, Suri V, Idilman R, Barclay ST, Dou X, Berg T, Hayes PC, Flaherty JF, Zhou Y, Zhang Z, Buti M, Hutchinson SJ, Guo Y, Calleja JL, Lin L, Zhao L, Chen Y, Janssen HLA, Zhu C, Shi L, Tang X, Gaggar A, Wei L, Jia J, Irving WL, Johnson PJ, Lampertico P, Hou J. aMAP risk score predicts hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis. J Hepatol. 2020 Dec;73(6):1368-1378. doi: 10.1016/j.jhep.2020.07.025. Epub 2020 Jul 21.
- de Franchis R, Bosch J, Garcia-Tsao G, Reiberger T, Ripoll C; Baveno VII Faculty. Baveno VII - Renewing consensus in portal hypertension. J Hepatol. 2022 Apr;76(4):959-974. doi: 10.1016/j.jhep.2021.12.022. Epub 2021 Dec 30.
研究記録日
これらの日付は、ClinicalTrials.gov への研究記録と要約結果の提出の進捗状況を追跡します。研究記録と報告された結果は、国立医学図書館 (NLM) によって審査され、公開 Web サイトに掲載される前に、特定の品質管理基準を満たしていることが確認されます。
主要日程の研究
研究開始 (実際)
2013年1月1日
一次修了 (実際)
2023年7月31日
研究の完了 (実際)
2023年7月31日
試験登録日
最初に提出
2026年6月25日
QC基準を満たした最初の提出物
2026年7月1日
最初の投稿 (実際)
2026年7月7日
学習記録の更新
投稿された最後の更新 (実際)
2026年7月7日
QC基準を満たした最後の更新が送信されました
2026年7月1日
最終確認日
2026年7月1日
詳しくは
本研究に関する用語
追加の関連 MeSH 用語
その他の研究ID番号
- 984-2566-IRB1
- Si 034/2024 (その他の識別子：Siriraj Institutional Review Board, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University)
個々の参加者データ (IPD) の計画
個々の参加者データ (IPD) を共有する予定はありますか?
はい
IPD プランの説明
De-identified individual participant data underlying the results reported in this study may be made available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request, subject to approval by the investigators and applicable institutional and ethical regulations.
IPD 共有時間枠
Beginning after publication of the study results; no fixed end date.
IPD 共有アクセス基準
Data will be shared with researchers who provide a methodologically sound proposal for purposes consistent with the approved study protocol and applicable ethical regulations.
Requests should be directed to the corresponding author.
医薬品およびデバイス情報、研究文書
米国FDA規制医薬品の研究
いいえ
米国FDA規制機器製品の研究
いいえ
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