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Non-Invasive Risk Stratification for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in HCV-Related Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease Following Sustained Virological Response: Validation of the aMAP Score (HCV-aMAP)

1. juli 2026 oppdatert av: Tawesak Tanwandee, Siriraj Hospital

Prediction of Risk of Hepatic Decompensation and Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Advanced Fibrotic or Cirrhotic Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C After Sustained Virologic Response

This retrospective cohort study evaluated the performance of non-invasive risk scores for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma in adults with hepatitis C virus-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease who achieved sustained virological response after sofosbuvir-based direct-acting antiviral therapy. Patients treated at Siriraj Hospital between 2013 and 2023 were included if they had compensated advanced chronic liver disease and documented SVR12. The study compared FIB-4, APRI, ALBI, and aMAP scores calculated at SVR12 for prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma during long-term follow-up. The primary aim was to identify a very-low-risk subgroup in whom hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance might potentially be de-escalated.

Studieoversikt

Detaljert beskrivelse

This was a single-center retrospective cohort study conducted at Siriraj Hospital, Thailand. Consecutive adult patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection and compensated advanced chronic liver disease who initiated interferon-free sofosbuvir-based direct-acting antiviral therapy between 2013 and 2023 and achieved sustained virological response at 12 weeks after treatment completion were included. Compensated advanced chronic liver disease was defined according to Baveno VII criteria, including histologic F3/F4 fibrosis, vibration-controlled transient elastography greater than 10 kPa, or clinical evidence of portal hypertension.

Baseline demographic, clinical, laboratory, and transient elastography data were collected from electronic medical records. The FIB-4, APRI, ALBI, and aMAP scores were calculated using laboratory values at SVR12. Patients with known or suspected hepatocellular carcinoma before direct-acting antiviral therapy, failure to achieve SVR12, or incomplete medical records precluding outcome assessment were excluded.

The primary outcome was de novo hepatocellular carcinoma during follow-up. Predictive performance of the non-invasive scores was assessed using time-to-event analysis, Kaplan-Meier methods, Cox proportional hazards regression, and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves at 1, 3, 5, and 8 years.

Studietype

Observasjonsmessig

Registrering (Faktiske)

571

Kontakter og plasseringer

Denne delen inneholder kontaktinformasjon for de som utfører studien, og informasjon om hvor denne studien blir utført.

Studiesteder

    • Bangkok
      • Bangkok, Bangkok, Thailand, 10700
        • Siriraj Hospital

Deltakelseskriterier

Forskere ser etter personer som passer til en bestemt beskrivelse, kalt kvalifikasjonskriterier. Noen eksempler på disse kriteriene er en persons generelle helsetilstand eller tidligere behandlinger.

Kvalifikasjonskriterier

Alder som er kvalifisert for studier

  • Voksen
  • Eldre voksen

Tar imot friske frivillige

Nei

Prøvetakingsmetode

Ikke-sannsynlighetsprøve

Studiepopulasjon

Adult patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection and compensated advanced chronic liver disease who initiated sofosbuvir-based direct-acting antiviral therapy at Siriraj Hospital between 2013 and 2023 and achieved sustained virological response at 12 weeks after treatment completion.

Beskrivelse

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Age 18 years or older
  • Chronic hepatitis C virus infection treated with direct-acting antiviral therapy
  • Documented sustained virological response at 12 weeks after treatment completion
  • Evidence of compensated advanced chronic liver disease before direct-acting antiviral therapy, defined by at least one of the following: histologic F3 or F4 fibrosis, vibration-controlled transient elastography >10 kPa, radiologic features compatible with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis, or clinical or endoscopic evidence of portal hypertension
  • Minimum follow-up of 12 months after sustained virological response

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Incomplete or missing medical records precluding outcome assessment
  • Known or suspected hepatocellular carcinoma before initiating direct-acting antiviral therapy
  • Failure to achieve sustained virological response at 12 weeks

Studieplan

Denne delen gir detaljer om studieplanen, inkludert hvordan studien er utformet og hva studien måler.

Hvordan er studiet utformet?

Designdetaljer

Kohorter og intervensjoner

Gruppe / Kohort
Intervensjon / Behandling
HCV-related cACLD After SVR
Adults with hepatitis C virus-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease who achieved sustained virological response at 12 weeks after sofosbuvir-based direct-acting antiviral therapy and were followed for de novo hepatocellular carcinoma.
FIB-4, APRI, ALBI, and aMAP scores were calculated using laboratory values at SVR12 to evaluate their performance for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma during follow-up.

Hva måler studien?

Primære resultatmål

Resultatmål
Tiltaksbeskrivelse
Tidsramme
Development of de novo hepatocellular carcinoma
Tidsramme: From SVR12 until diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma, last follow-up, or up to 8 years after SVR12.
Occurrence of newly diagnosed hepatocellular carcinoma after achievement of sustained virological response (SVR12). Patients with known or suspected hepatocellular carcinoma before direct-acting antiviral therapy were excluded.
From SVR12 until diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma, last follow-up, or up to 8 years after SVR12.

Sekundære resultatmål

Resultatmål
Tiltaksbeskrivelse
Tidsramme
Predictive accuracy of the FIB-4 score for de novo hepatocellular carcinoma
Tidsramme: At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the FIB-4 score for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma.
At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
Predictive accuracy of the APRI score for de novo hepatocellular carcinoma
Tidsramme: At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the APRI score for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma.
At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
Predictive accuracy of the ALBI score for de novo hepatocellular carcinoma
Tidsramme: At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the ALBI score for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma.
At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
Predictive accuracy of the aMAP score for de novo hepatocellular carcinoma
Tidsramme: At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12
Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the aMAP score for predicting de novo hepatocellular carcinoma.
At 1, 3, 5, and 8 years after SVR12

Samarbeidspartnere og etterforskere

Det er her du vil finne personer og organisasjoner som er involvert i denne studien.

Etterforskere

  • Hovedetterforsker: Tawesak Tanwandee, MD, Siriraj Hospital

Publikasjoner og nyttige lenker

Den som er ansvarlig for å legge inn informasjon om studien leverer frivillig disse publikasjonene. Disse kan handle om alt relatert til studiet.

Studierekorddatoer

Disse datoene sporer fremdriften for innsending av studieposter og sammendragsresultater til ClinicalTrials.gov. Studieposter og rapporterte resultater gjennomgås av National Library of Medicine (NLM) for å sikre at de oppfyller spesifikke kvalitetskontrollstandarder før de legges ut på det offentlige nettstedet.

Studer hoveddatoer

Studiestart (Faktiske)

1. januar 2013

Primær fullføring (Faktiske)

31. juli 2023

Studiet fullført (Faktiske)

31. juli 2023

Datoer for studieregistrering

Først innsendt

25. juni 2026

Først innsendt som oppfylte QC-kriteriene

1. juli 2026

Først lagt ut (Faktiske)

7. juli 2026

Oppdateringer av studieposter

Sist oppdatering lagt ut (Faktiske)

7. juli 2026

Siste oppdatering sendt inn som oppfylte QC-kriteriene

1. juli 2026

Sist bekreftet

1. juli 2026

Mer informasjon

Begreper knyttet til denne studien

Plan for individuelle deltakerdata (IPD)

Planlegger du å dele individuelle deltakerdata (IPD)?

JA

IPD-planbeskrivelse

De-identified individual participant data underlying the results reported in this study may be made available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request, subject to approval by the investigators and applicable institutional and ethical regulations.

IPD-delingstidsramme

Beginning after publication of the study results; no fixed end date.

Tilgangskriterier for IPD-deling

Data will be shared with researchers who provide a methodologically sound proposal for purposes consistent with the approved study protocol and applicable ethical regulations. Requests should be directed to the corresponding author.

Legemiddel- og utstyrsinformasjon, studiedokumenter

Studerer et amerikansk FDA-regulert medikamentprodukt

Nei

Studerer et amerikansk FDA-regulert enhetsprodukt

Nei

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