Influence of induction chemotherapy in trimodality therapy-eligible oesophageal cancer patients: secondary analysis of a randomised trial

Yusuke Shimodaira, Rebecca S Slack, Kazuto Harada, Hsiang-Chun Chen, Tara Sagebiel, Manoop S Bhutani, Jeffrey H Lee, Brian Weston, Elena Elimova, Quan Lin, Fatemeh G Amlashi, Dilsa Mizrak Kaya, Mariela A Blum, Jack A Roth, Stephen G Swisher, Heath D Skinner, Wayne L Hofstetter, Jane E Rogers, Jaennette Mares, Irene Thomas, Dipen M Maru, Ritsuko Komaki, Garrett Walsh, Jaffer A Ajani, Yusuke Shimodaira, Rebecca S Slack, Kazuto Harada, Hsiang-Chun Chen, Tara Sagebiel, Manoop S Bhutani, Jeffrey H Lee, Brian Weston, Elena Elimova, Quan Lin, Fatemeh G Amlashi, Dilsa Mizrak Kaya, Mariela A Blum, Jack A Roth, Stephen G Swisher, Heath D Skinner, Wayne L Hofstetter, Jane E Rogers, Jaennette Mares, Irene Thomas, Dipen M Maru, Ritsuko Komaki, Garrett Walsh, Jaffer A Ajani

Abstract

Background: A randomised phase 2 trial of trimodality with or without induction chemotherapy (IC) in oesophageal cancer (EC) patients showed no advantage in overall survival (OS) or pathologic complete response rate. To identify subsets that might benefit from IC, a secondary analysis was done.

Methods: The trial had accrued 126 patients (NCT 00525915). Recursive partitioning and proportional hazards regression with interactions were performed.

Results: The median follow-up of surviving patients was 6.7 years and the median OS duration was 3.8 years (95% confidence interval (CI), 2.6-5.8 years). OS was associated with tumour length (P=0.03), cT (P=0.02), cN (P=0.04), clinical stage (P=0.01), and tumour grade (P<0.001). The effect of IC differed according to tumour grade. Among patients with well or moderately differentiated (WMD) ECs (n=59), the 5-year survival rate was 74% with IC and 50% without IC, P=0.001. IC had no effect on OS of patients with poorly differentiated (PD) ECs (31% and 28%, respectively; interaction, P=0.04; IC, P=0.03). In the multivariate reduced model, WMD with IC was an independent prognosticator for better OS (HR=0.41, 95% CI, 0.25-0.67; P=<0.001). The following four EC phenotypes emerged for OS: (1) very high risk (PD, cN2/N3), (2) high risk (PD, cN0/N1, stage cIII), (3) moderate risk (PD, cN0/N1, stage cI/II or WMD without IC), and (4) low risk (WMD with IC). The 5-year survival rates were 11%, 27%, 48%, and 74%, respectively (P<0.001).

Conclusions: Our data show that IC significantly prolonged OS of WMD EC patients who undergo trimodality; prospective evaluation is needed.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00525915.

Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Kaplan–Meier OS curve. (A) OS for the entire patient population (B) OS by treatment arm. (C) OS by treatment arm and tumour grade. Well, well- to-moderately differentiated tumour; poor, poorly differentiated tumour.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Four subgroups based on risk differential. (A) Tree diagram of the patient subgroups based on risk differential identified using recursive partitioning analysis (RPA). (B) OS by Risk Groups Identified by RPA.

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Source: PubMed

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