Progression and predictors of mild cognitive impairment in Chinese elderly: A prospective follow-up in the Shanghai Aging Study

Ding Ding, Qianhua Zhao, Qihao Guo, Xiaoniu Liang, Jianfeng Luo, Lirong Yu, Li Zheng, Zhen Hong, Shanghai Aging Study (SAS), Ding Ding, Qianhua Zhao, Qihao Guo, Xiaoniu Liang, Jianfeng Luo, Lirong Yu, Li Zheng, Zhen Hong, Shanghai Aging Study (SAS)

Abstract

Introduction: The Shanghai Aging Study is a community-based study aiming to investigate the incidence and progression of cognitive decline in Chinese elderly, with the operational procedures and diagnostic criteria similar to cohort studies in developed countries.

Methods: We prospectively evaluated 362 individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) diagnosed at baseline through a clinical and neuropsychological interview. Diagnoses of dementia and MCI were made using standard criteria via consensus diagnosis.

Results: The conversion rate to dementia was 6.0 per 100 person-years, while the reversion rate to cognitive normal was 7.8 per 100 person-years. Amnestic MCI multiple domains was the most risky type for dementia (conversion rate: 14.2 per 100 person-years). Older age (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.09), apolipoprotein E (APOE ε4) (HR = 2.15), and low MMSE score (HR = 1.18) were predictors for dementia.

Discussion: Approximately 6% of elderly with MCI progress to dementia annually. Prospective studies are needed to further examine risk and protective predictors and to seek proper interventions for cognitive decline.

Keywords: Aging; Conversion; Dementia; Mild cognitive impairment; Progression; Risk factor; prospective study.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Flow chart of the follow-up study for individuals with mild cognitive impairment diagnosed at the baseline. Abbreviations: MCI, mild cognitive impairment; aMCI, amnestic mild cognitive impairment; naMCI, nonamnestic mild cognitive impairment.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Annual conversion rate from MCI to dementia (A) and reversion rate from MCI to cognitive normal (B) in individuals with different age groups. Abbreviations: MCI, mild cognitive impairment; aMCI-SD, amnestic mild cognitive impairment single domain; aMCI-MD, amnestic mild cognitive impairment multiple domains; naMCI-SD, nonamnestic mild cognitive impairment single domain; naMCI-MD, nonamnestic mild cognitive impairment multiple domains.
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Cumulative conversion rate from MCI to dementia (A) and cumulative reversion rate from MCI to cognitive normal (B) in individuals with 4 MCI subtypes. Abbreviations: MCI, mild cognitive impairment; aMCI-SD, amnestic mild cognitive impairment single domain; aMCI-MD, amnestic mild cognitive impairment multiple domains; naMCI-SD, nonamnestic mild cognitive impairment single domain; naMCI-MD, nonamnestic mild cognitive impairment multiple domains.

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Source: PubMed

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