Verification of Novel Survival Prediction Algorithm for Patients With NSCLC Spinal Metastasis

October 6, 2020 updated by: Yuhui Shen, Ruijin Hospital

An Observational Study of Novel Survival Prediction Algorithm as Clinical Decision Support for Patients With Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Spinal Metastasis

The purpose of this study is to learn whether our own made predictive algorithm can be used as a clinical practical decision support for patients with NSCLC spinal metastasis. The scoring system consists of the use of EGFR-TKI, KPS, Age, SCC, CA125 and smoking history. By predicting survival doctors could determine which patients are suitable for palliative therapy.

Study Overview

Detailed Description

Investigators have performed a retrospective study on 176 patients with NSCLC spinal metastasis under the oversight of hospital's ethics committee, and investigators found that the use of EGFR-TKI, KPS, Age, SCC, CA125 and smoking history had significant association with survival. Then investigators built a simple, easy to use scoring system based on the features mentioned above. The score was calculated as 1 (for patients didn't receive EGFR-TKI), +2 (for KPS <50%), +1 (for KPS 50-70%), +1 (Age >60years), 2 (SCC ≥1.5ng/ml), +3 (CA125 ≥35 U/ml), +1 (smoking history 1-10/day), +2 (smoking history >10/day), and 0 otherwise. This algorithm was used to divide the patients into low risk (0-3), intermediate risk (4-6), high risk groups (7-10) to predict survival and determine which patients are suitable for palliative therapy. Now investigators wish to register this study to do a further research, in order to verify the accuracy and sensitivity of this algorithm.

Study Type

Observational

Enrollment (Anticipated)

140

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Locations

    • Shanghai
      • Shanghai, Shanghai, China, 200025
        • Recruiting
        • Ruijin Hospital Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine
        • Contact:
          • Yuhui Shen, Ph.D., M.D.
          • Phone Number: +8613918209875
          • Email: yuhuiss@163.com
        • Principal Investigator:
          • Yuhui Shen, Ph.D., M.D.
        • Principal Investigator:
          • Weibin Zhang, Ph.D., M.D.
        • Sub-Investigator:
          • Shizhao Zang, M.D.
        • Sub-Investigator:
          • Qiyuan Bao, Ph.D., M.D.

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

18 years to 75 years (Adult, Older Adult)

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Genders Eligible for Study

All

Sampling Method

Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

patients with NSCLC spinal metastasis aged 18-75.

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Diagnosis by biopsy: Non-small-cell lung cancer, including non-squamous carcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma.
  • Diagnosis through both nucleotide bone scan and MRI or PET-CT: spinal metastasis.
  • Age 18-75 years.
  • Have been or is about to be treated according to NCCN panel recommendation.

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Diagnosis by biopsy: other tumors.
  • Irregular follow-up and lost follow-up
  • Withdraw from the study for any reason

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort
Low risk
For NSCLC spinal metastasis patients with 0-3 of novel survival prediction algorithm.
Intermediate risk
For NSCLC spinal metastasis patients with 4-6 of novel survival prediction algorithm.
High risk
For NSCLC spinal metastasis patients with 7-10 of novel survival prediction algorithm.

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Survival
Time Frame: Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Accuracy and sensitivity of novel survival prediction algorithm derived from differences between the predicted and actual survival of NSCLC spinal metastasis patients from 3 different risk groups.
Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Primary and Metastatic Lesions
Time Frame: Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Differences in the primary and metastatic lesions after therapy according to NCCN suggestion of NSCLC spinal metastasis patients from 3 different risk groups.
Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Serum Markers
Time Frame: Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Differences in the serum markers after therapy according to NCCN suggestion of NSCLC spinal metastasis patients from 3 different risk groups.
Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Visceral Metastasis
Time Frame: Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
The correlation between visceral metastasis and overall survival (OS) of NSCLC spinal metastasis patients
Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Visual Analogue Scale (VAS)
Time Frame: Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Assessment of pain level (1-10, higher value represents more pain)
Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Ambulatory Status
Time Frame: Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Assessment of walking ability
Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
EORTC Quality of Life Questionnaire (QLQ) Bone metastasis (BM) 22,
Time Frame: Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Assessment of quality of life (22-88, higher value represents worse quality of life)
Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Modified Frankel grade
Time Frame: Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Assessment of neurological function (A-E, higher value represents better function)
Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
The Spinal Instability Neoplastic Score (SINS)
Time Frame: Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years
Assessment of spinal instability (0-18, higher value represents worse instability)
Every 6 months from date of diagnosis of NSCLC spinal metastasis until the date of death from any cause, assessed up to 3 years

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Sponsor

Publications and helpful links

The person responsible for entering information about the study voluntarily provides these publications. These may be about anything related to the study.

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

November 1, 2017

Primary Completion (Anticipated)

November 1, 2022

Study Completion (Anticipated)

November 1, 2022

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

November 25, 2017

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

November 30, 2017

First Posted (Actual)

December 6, 2017

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

October 8, 2020

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

October 6, 2020

Last Verified

October 1, 2020

More Information

Terms related to this study

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

NO

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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