Multistate Relative Survival Model (MRS)
Multistate Relative Survival Modeling of Colorectal Cancer Progression and Mortality
Colorectal cancer (CRC) has high incidence and is associated with high case fatality. In France, the 5-year survival, pooled across all cancer stages at diagnosis, ranges from 57% in men to 60% in women. About one third of patients diagnosed with CRC will develop a metachronous recurrence during the following years. It is of paramount importance to accurately identify factors associated with the increased risk of progression and death, in order to develop effective follow-up and treatment strategies. However, to accurately assess the role of patients' specific characteristics in the progression of cancer several methodological challenges need to be overcome.
One difficulty, common to prognostic studies of cancer, concerns the need to separate the effects of prognostic factors on different clinical endpoints, such as disease recurrence vs recurrence-free death. Another difficulty, encountered in prognostic studies, is that the cause of death is not available or not accurately coded. Yet, some patients are likely to die of causes not related to the disease of primary interest, especially in cancers with longer survival and in those that affect older subjects. Until recently, the existing statistical methodology was not able to simultaneously, deal with both difficulties, i.e. to account for (i) possibly different effects of prognostic factors on death vs recurrence, and (ii) unknown causes of death. However, this challenge has been addressed by the recent development of the Markov relative survival model (MRS) , which extends the Markov multi-state model to incorporate relative survival modelling. Simulations demonstrate that MRS is able to accurately estimate different effects of prognostic factors on the risk of each of several events, including separate effects on disease-specific vs other causes of death. To date, the MRS had not been applied in clinical or epidemiological studies.
The aim of this study was to assess the potential advantages of the new multi-state relative survival model (MRS), proposed by Huszti et al. (2012), in a prognostic cancer study. To this end, we compared the MRS results with those obtained with two more conventional analyses, based on Cox's proportional hazards model, and the multi-state Markov model proposed by Alioum and Commenges (2001). The three models were applied to explore the impact of prognostic factors on cancer-specific mortality and recurrence, in a large population-based French registry of colorectal cancer, with up to 25 years of follow-up.
調査の概要
状態
条件
研究の種類
入学 (実際)
連絡先と場所
研究場所
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Dijon、フランス、21079
- Chu Dijon Bourgogne
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参加基準
適格基準
就学可能な年齢
- 子
- 大人
- 高齢者
健康ボランティアの受け入れ
受講資格のある性別
サンプリング方法
調査対象母集団
説明
Inclusion Criteria:
patient with primary digestive cancer between 1985 and 2000, TNM I-III, resected for cure, residing in Burgundy or Calvados, France
Exclusion Criteria:
metastatic cancer, non adenocarcinoma, recurrence within 6 month
研究計画
研究はどのように設計されていますか?
デザインの詳細
この研究は何を測定していますか?
主要な結果の測定
結果測定 |
時間枠 |
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death due to cancer
時間枠:10 years after resection
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10 years after resection
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death due to recurrence
時間枠:10 years after resection
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10 years after resection
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協力者と研究者
研究記録日
主要日程の研究
研究開始
一次修了 (実際)
試験登録日
最初に提出
QC基準を満たした最初の提出物
最初の投稿 (見積もり)
学習記録の更新
投稿された最後の更新 (見積もり)
QC基準を満たした最後の更新が送信されました
最終確認日
詳しくは
この情報は、Web サイト clinicaltrials.gov から変更なしで直接取得したものです。研究の詳細を変更、削除、または更新するリクエストがある場合は、register@clinicaltrials.gov。 までご連絡ください。 clinicaltrials.gov に変更が加えられるとすぐに、ウェブサイトでも自動的に更新されます。
大腸がんの臨床試験
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