NT-proBNP: is it a more significant risk factor for mortality than troponin T in incident hemodialysis patients?

Hyung Jung Oh, Mi Jung Lee, Hye Sun Lee, Jung Tak Park, Seung Hyeok Han, Tae-Hyun Yoo, Yong-Lim Kim, Yon Su Kim, Chul Woo Yang, Nam-Ho Kim, Shin-Wook Kang, Hyung Jung Oh, Mi Jung Lee, Hye Sun Lee, Jung Tak Park, Seung Hyeok Han, Tae-Hyun Yoo, Yong-Lim Kim, Yon Su Kim, Chul Woo Yang, Nam-Ho Kim, Shin-Wook Kang

Abstract

Numerous studies have demonstrated that cardiac biomarkers are significant predictors of cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality in ESRD patients, but most of the studies were retrospective or included small numbers of patients, only prevalent dialysis patients, or measured 1 or 2 biomarkers. This study was to analyze the association between 3 cardiac biomarkers and mortality in incident HD patients. A prospective cohort of 864 incident HD patients was followed for 30 months. Based on the median values of baseline NT-proBNP, cTnT, and hsCRP, the patients were divided into "high" and "low" groups, and CV and all-cause mortality were compared between each group. Additionally, time-dependent ROC curves were constructed, and the NRI and IDI of the models with various biomarkers were calculated. The CV survival rates were significantly lower in the "high" NT-proBNP and cTnT groups compared to the corresponding "low" groups, while there was no significant difference in CV survival rate between the 2 hsCRP groups. However, all-cause mortality rates were significantly higher in all 3 "high" groups compared to each lower group. In multivariate analyses, only Ln NT-proBNP was found to be an independent predictor of mortality. Moreover, NT-proBNP was a more prognostic marker for mortality compared to cTnT. In conclusion, NT-proBNP is the biomarker that results in the most added prognostic value on top of traditional risk factors for CV and all-cause mortality in incident HD patients.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00931970.

Conflict of interest statement

The authors have no funding and conflicts of interest to disclose.

Figures

FIGURE 1
FIGURE 1
Kaplan–Meier survival curves for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality based on the median baseline values of NT-proBNP (A/D), cTnT (B/E), and hsCRP (C/F). The CV survival rates were significantly lower in the “high” NT-proBNP and cTnT groups compared to the corresponding “low” groups, while there was no significant difference in CV survival rates between the “high” and “low” hsCRP groups (A, B, and C). However, the all-cause mortality rates were significantly higher in all 3 “high” groups (D, E, and F). cTnT = cardiac troponin T, CV = cardiovascular, hsCRP = high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, NT-proBNP = N-terminal proB-type natriuretic peptide.
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 2
Time-dependent ROC curve analyses for cardiovascular (A) and all-cause mortality (B). iAUC values for CV mortality were 0.815 (95% CI, 0.701–0.937) for traditional risk factors, and 0.897 (95% CI, 0.794–0.984) for traditional risk factors with Ln NT-proBNP. The ESD in iAUC was 0.083 (95% CI, 0.015–0.171). In addition, iAUC values for all-cause mortality were 0.748 (95% CI, 0.655–0.828) for traditional risk factors, and 0.778 (95% CI, 0.684–0.862) for traditional risk factors with Ln NT-proBNP, and the ESD in iAUC value for all-cause mortality was 0.031 (95% CI, 0.001–0.088). Regarding cTnT, the ESDs in iAUC for CV and all-cause mortality were 0.054 (95% CI, 0.008–0.113) and 0.026 (95% CI, 0.001–0.079), respectively. However, the ESDs of hsCRP for CV and all-cause mortality were 0.017 (95% CI, −0.003 to 0.077) and 0.006 (95% CI, −0.003 to 0.034), respectively. ∗Null model; including traditional risk factors, such as age, gender, hypertension, and DM. ∗∗Model 1; Null model plus Ln NT-proBNP. ∗∗∗Model 2; Null model plus Ln cTnT. ∗∗∗Model 3; Null model plus Ln hsCRP. CI = confidence interval, cTnT = cardiac troponin T, CV = cardiovascular, hsCRP = high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, iAUC = integrated area under curve, NT-proBNP = N-terminal proB-type natriuretic peptide, ROC = receiver operating curve.

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