Randomized Polypill crossover trial in people aged 50 and over

David S Wald, Joan K Morris, Nicholas J Wald, David S Wald, Joan K Morris, Nicholas J Wald

Abstract

Background: A Polypill is proposed for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in people judged to be at risk on account of their age alone. Its efficacy in reducing cholesterol and blood pressure is uncertain.

Methods: We conducted a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled crossover trial of a Polypill among individuals aged 50+ without a history of cardiovascular disease and compared the reductions with those predicted from published estimates of the effects of the individual drugs. Participants took the Polypill (amlodipine 2.5 mg, losartan 25 mg, hydrochlorothiazide 12.5 mg and simvastatin 40 mg) each evening for 12 weeks and a placebo each evening for 12 weeks in random sequence. The mean within-person differences in blood pressure and low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol at the end of each 12 week period were determined.

Results: 84 out of 86 participants completed both treatment periods. The mean systolic blood pressure was reduced by 17.9 mmHg (95% CI, 15.7-20.1) on the Polypill, diastolic blood pressure by 9.8 mmHg (8.1-11.5), and LDL cholesterol by 1.4 mmol/L (1.2-1.6), reductions of 12%, 11%, and 39% respectively. The results were almost identical to those predicted; 18.4 mmHg, 9.7 mmHg, and 1.4 mmol/L respectively.

Conclusion: The Polypill resulted in the predicted reductions in blood pressure and LDL cholesterol. Long term reductions of this magnitude would have a substantial effect in preventing heart attacks and strokes.

Trial registration: Controlled-Trials.com ISRCTN36672232.

Conflict of interest statement

Competing Interests: Nicholas Wald jointly holds European and Canadian patents (EU1272220 priority date 10 April 2000) for a combination pill for the prevention of cardiovascular disease (pending in USA) and together with David Wald has an interest in its development. Cipla provided the pills used in the trial free of charge. This does not alter the authors’ adherence to all the PLoS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.

Figures

Figure 1. Flow chart of crossover trial.
Figure 1. Flow chart of crossover trial.
Figure 2. Observed and expected reduction in…
Figure 2. Observed and expected reduction in blood pressure and LDL cholesterol on the Polypill.

References

    1. Wald NJ, Law MR (2000) Formulation for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease. UK Patents GB008791 and GB0100548.
    1. Wald NJ, Law MR (2003) A strategy to reduce cardiovascular disease by more than 80%. BMJ 326: 1419–23.
    1. The Indian Polycap Study (TIPS) (2009) Effects of a polypill (Polycap) on risk factors in middle-aged individuals without cardiovascular disease (TIPS): a phase II, double-blind, randomised trial. Lancet 373: 134151.
    1. PILL Collaborative Group (2011) AN international randomised placebo-controlled trial of a four-component combination pill (“Polypill”) in people with raised cardiovascular risk. PlosOne. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0019857.
    1. Soliman ES, Mendis S, Dissanayake WP, Somasundaram NP, Gunaratne PS, et al. (2011) A Polypill for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease: A feasibility study of the World Health Organization. Trials12: 3.
    1. Malekzadeh F, Marshall T, Pourshams A, Gharravi M, Aslani A, et al. (2010) A pilot double-blind randomised placebo-controlled trial of the effects of fixed-dose combination therapy (‘polypill) on cardiovascular risk factors. Int J Clin Pract 64: 1220–7.
    1. Law MR, Wald NJ, Rudnicka AR (2003) Quantifying the effect of statins on low density lipoprotein cholesterol, ischaemic heart disease, and stroke: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ 326: 1423–7.
    1. Law MR, Wald NJ, Morris JK, Jordan RE (2003) Value of low dose combination treatment with blood pressure lowering drugs: analysis of 354 randomised trials. BMJ 326: 1427–31.
    1. Wald N, Law M (2009) The Indian Polycap Study (TIPS) Lancet . 374: 781.
    1. Wald DS, Wald NJ (2011) Implementation of a simple age-based strategy in the prevention of cardiovascular disease: the Polypill approach. Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice. doi: 10.1111/j.1365–2753.2011.01637.
    1. Cilla DD, Gibson DM, Whitfield LR, Sedman AJ (1996) Pharmacodynamic effects and pharmacokinetics of Atorvastatin after administration to normocholeterolemic subjects in the morning and evening. J Clin Pharmacol 36: 604–9.
    1. Mulatero P, Rabbia F, Milan A, Paglieri C, Morello F, et al. (2002) Drug effects on aldosterone/plasma renin activity ratio in primary aldosteronism. Hypertension 40: 897–902.
    1. Law MR, Morris JK, Wald NJ (2009) Use of blood pressure lowering drugs in the prevention of cardiovascular disease: meta-analysis of 147 randomised trials in the context of expectations from prospective epidemiological studies. BMJ 338: b1665.
    1. Wald NJ, Simmonds M, Morris JK (2011) Screening for future cardiovascular disease using age alone compared with multiple risk factors and age. PLoS One 6(5): e18742.
    1. Van Gils PF, Over EAB, Hamberg-van Reenen HH, de Wit GA, van den Berg M, et al. (2012) The polypill in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease: cost-effectiveness in the Dutch population. BMJ Open 2–11 1: e000363.
    1. Rothwell PM, Fowkes FG, Belch JF, Ogawa H, Warlow CP, et al. (2010) Effect of daily aspirin on long-term risk of death due to cancer: analysis of individual patient data from randomised trials. Lancet. DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(10)62110-1.
    1. Wald NJ, Morris JK, Law MR (2011) Aspirin in the prevention of cancer. Lancet 377: 1649.
    1. Law MR, Wald NJ, Morris JK, Jordan RE (2003) Value of low dose combination treatment with blood pressure lowering drugs: analysis of 354 randomised trials. BMJ 326: 1427–31.
    1. Law MR, Wald NJ, Rudnicka AR (2003) Quantifying effect of statins on low density lipoprotein cholesterol, ischaemic heart disease and stroke: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ 326: 1423–7.
    1. Prospective Studies Collaboration (2002) Age-specific relevance of usual blood pressure to vascular mortality: a meta-analysis of individual data for one million adults in 61 prospective studies. Lancet 360: 1903–13.
    1. Prospective Studies Collaboration (2007) Blood cholesterol and vascular mortality by age, sex, and blood pressure: a meta-analysis of individual data from 61 prospective studies with 55000 vascular deaths. Lancet 370: 1829–39.
    1. Cholesterol Treatment Trialists (CTT) Collaborators (2012) The effects of lowering LDL cholesterol with statin therapy in people at low risk of vascular disease:meta-analysis of individual data from 27 randomised trials. Lancet [Epub ahead of print].

Source: PubMed

3
Tilaa