An angiographic tool for risk prediction of side branch occlusion in coronary bifurcation intervention: the RESOLVE score system (Risk prEdiction of Side branch OccLusion in coronary bifurcation interVEntion)
Kefei Dou, Dong Zhang, Bo Xu, Yuejin Yang, Dong Yin, Shubin Qiao, Yongjian Wu, Hongbing Yan, Shijie You, Yang Wang, Zhenqiang Wu, Runlin Gao, Ajay J Kirtane, Kefei Dou, Dong Zhang, Bo Xu, Yuejin Yang, Dong Yin, Shubin Qiao, Yongjian Wu, Hongbing Yan, Shijie You, Yang Wang, Zhenqiang Wu, Runlin Gao, Ajay J Kirtane
Abstract
Objectives: The purpose of this study was to establish a scoring system to evaluate the risk of side branch (SB) occlusion in patients undergoing coronary bifurcation intervention.
Background: The risk of SB occlusion is the most important consideration affecting the selection of an optimal intervention strategy.
Methods: A total of 1,545 consecutive patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention for bifurcation lesions (1,601 lesions treated with a single stent technique or main vessel [MV] stenting first strategy) were studied. A total of 1,200 lesions were used to construct the risk model and score system, and 401 lesions were used to validate the model. A multivariable risk score (RESOLVE [Risk prEdiction of Side branch OccLusion in coronary bifurcation interVEntion]) was constructed with incremental weights attributed to each component variable according to its estimated coefficients. SB occlusion after MV stenting was defined as any decrease in Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction flow grade or absence of flow in SB after MV stenting.
Results: SB occlusion occurred in 118 (7.37%) of 1,601 bifurcation lesions. In multivariable analyses, 6 variables were independently associated with the risk of SB occlusion (model C-statistic = 0.80 [95% confidence interval: 0.75 to 0.85] with good calibration). For the 401 lesions included in the validation cohort, the RESOLVE score had a C-statistic of 0.77 (95% confidence interval: 0.69 to 0.86), with good calibration. SB occlusion rates in the validation cohort increased significantly across different risk groups, from 0.0% in the low-risk group, to 3.8% in the intermediate-risk group, and to 19.8% in the high-risk group (p < 0.001).
Conclusions: The RESOLVE score, a novel angiographic risk stratification tool, can help identify patients at risk for SB occlusion during bifurcation intervention.
Keywords: coronary bifurcation lesion; intervention strategy; risk prediction; score system; side branch occlusion.
Copyright © 2015 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Source: PubMed