Machine Learning Model Based on Baroreflex Sensitivity for Predicting Post-Induction Hypotension in Elderly Patients
Development of a Baroreflex Sensitivity-Based Multifactorial Machine Learning Model for Predicting Post-Induction Hypotension in Elderly Patients
Studie Overzicht
Toestand
Conditie
Gedetailleerde beschrijving
Aging significantly alters cardiovascular autonomic function, characterized by elevated sympathetic and decreased parasympathetic tone, rendering elderly patients highly vulnerable to post-induction hypotension (PIH). While existing machine learning models heavily rely on static data (e.g., baseline blood pressure, demographics, medication history), they lack real-time dynamic regulatory inputs, limiting their predictive performance in individualized care.
This single-center, prospective cohort study aims to bridge this gap by introducing preoperative BRS parameters-calculated via the continuous non-invasive arterial pressure (CNAP) method-into machine learning frameworks. A total of 500 patients aged over 65 years scheduled for elective non-cardiac surgery will be enrolled. Preoperative data, including autonomic indices, frailty assessments, and static clinical factors, will be mapped alongside intraoperative events and 30-day postoperative complications. Multiple machine learning algorithms (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, GBDT, XGBoost, LightGBM, and LSTM) will be leveraged and optimized using cross-validation to construct a robust clinical decision-support pipeline.
Studietype
Inschrijving (Geschat)
Contacten en locaties
Studiecontact
- Naam: Quexuan Cui, Dr.
- Telefoonnummer: +8613520921711
- E-mail: Cuiqx_garfield@126.com
Studie Locaties
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China
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Beijing, China, China, 100730
- Werving
- Peking Union Medical College Hospital
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Contact:
- Quexuan Cui
- Telefoonnummer: 13520921711
- E-mail: Cuiqx_garfield@126.com
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Deelname Criteria
Geschiktheidscriteria
Leeftijden die in aanmerking komen voor studie
- Oudere volwassene
Accepteert gezonde vrijwilligers
Bemonsteringsmethode
Studie Bevolking
Beschrijving
Inclusion Criteria:
- Aged over 65 years;
- Scheduled for elective non-cardiac surgery;
- American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classification I-III;
- Planned for general anesthesia with endotracheal intubation;
- Patient and legal guardians are capable of understanding the study protocol and willing to provide written informed consent.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Severe peripheral vascular diseases;
- Secondary hypertension;
- Presence of physical tremors (e.g., Parkinson's disease) preventing stable recording;
- Inability to accurately measure upper limb blood pressure;
- Pre-existing cardiac arrhythmias (e.g., atrial fibrillation) that render BRS;
- Psychiatric disorders or cognitive impairments hindering basic cooperation.
Studie plan
Hoe is de studie opgezet?
Ontwerpdetails
Cohorten en interventies
Groep / Cohort |
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Elderly Surgical Patients
Patients aged over 65 years who are undergoing elective non-cardiac surgery under general anesthesia with endotracheal intubation.
All patients will receive continuous non-invasive hemodynamic monitoring prior to anesthesia induction to calculate baseline BRS parameters.
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Wat meet het onderzoek?
Primaire uitkomstmaten
Uitkomstmaat |
Maatregel Beschrijving |
Tijdsspanne |
|---|---|---|
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Incidence of Post-Induction Hypotension (PIH)
Tijdsspanne: From immediately after anesthesia induction up to 20 minutes post-induction or before surgical incision.
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Defined as a systolic blood pressure (SBP) <90 mmHg , a mean arterial pressure (MAP) <65 mmHg, or a decrease in MAP exceeding 30% from baseline measurements.
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From immediately after anesthesia induction up to 20 minutes post-induction or before surgical incision.
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Secundaire uitkomstmaten
Uitkomstmaat |
Maatregel Beschrijving |
Tijdsspanne |
|---|---|---|
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1. Early Intraoperative Hypotension Rate
Tijdsspanne: From surgical incision to the end of the operation.
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Defined as a systolic blood pressure (SBP) <90 mmHg , a mean arterial pressure (MAP) <65 mmHg, or a decrease in MAP exceeding 30% from baseline measurements.
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From surgical incision to the end of the operation.
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Postoperative Complication
Tijdsspanne: Up to 30 days post-surgery
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Up to 30 days post-surgery
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Medewerkers en onderzoekers
Studie record data
Bestudeer belangrijke data
Studie start (Geschat)
Primaire voltooiing (Geschat)
Studie voltooiing (Geschat)
Studieregistratiedata
Eerst ingediend
Eerst ingediend dat voldeed aan de QC-criteria
Eerst geplaatst (Werkelijk)
Updates van studierecords
Laatste update geplaatst (Werkelijk)
Laatste update ingediend die voldeed aan QC-criteria
Laatst geverifieerd
Meer informatie
Termen gerelateerd aan deze studie
Andere studie-ID-nummers
- 2025-PUMCH-A-119 (Ander subsidie-/financieringsnummer: Peking Union Medical College Hospital)
Plan Individuele Deelnemersgegevens (IPD)
Bent u van plan om gegevens van individuele deelnemers (IPD) te delen?
Informatie over medicijnen en apparaten, studiedocumenten
Bestudeert een door de Amerikaanse FDA gereguleerd geneesmiddel
Bestudeert een door de Amerikaanse FDA gereguleerd apparaatproduct
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