Performance and utility of more highly sensitive malaria rapid diagnostic tests

Hannah C Slater, Xavier C Ding, Sophia Knudson, Daniel J Bridges, Hawela Moonga, Neil J Saad, Martin De Smet, Adam Bennett, Sabine Dittrich, Laurence Slutsker, Gonzalo J Domingo, Hannah C Slater, Xavier C Ding, Sophia Knudson, Daniel J Bridges, Hawela Moonga, Neil J Saad, Martin De Smet, Adam Bennett, Sabine Dittrich, Laurence Slutsker, Gonzalo J Domingo

Abstract

Background: A new more highly sensitive rapid diagnostic test (HS-RDT) for Plasmodium falciparum malaria (Alere™/Abbott Malaria Ag P.f RDT [05FK140], now called NxTek™ Eliminate Malaria Ag Pf) was launched in 2017. The test has already been used in many research studies in a wide range of geographies and use cases.

Methods: In this study, we collate all published and available unpublished studies that use the HS-RDT and assess its performance in (i) prevalence surveys, (ii) clinical diagnosis, (iii) screening pregnant women, and (iv) active case detection. Two individual-level data sets from asymptomatic populations are used to fit logistic regression models to estimate the probability of HS-RDT positivity based on histidine-rich protein 2 (HRP2) concentration and parasite density. The performance of the HS-RDT in prevalence surveys is estimated by calculating the sensitivity and positive proportion in comparison to polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and conventional malaria RDTs.

Results: We find that across 18 studies, in prevalence surveys, the mean sensitivity of the HS-RDT is estimated to be 56.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 46.9-65.4%) compared to 44.3% (95% CI 32.6-56.0%) for a conventional RDT (co-RDT) when using nucleic acid amplification techniques as the reference standard. In studies where prevalence was estimated using both the HS-RDT and a co-RDT, we found that prevalence was on average 46% higher using a HS-RDT compared to a co-RDT. For use in clinical diagnosis and screening pregnant women, the HS-RDT was not significantly more sensitive than a co-RDT.

Conclusions: Overall, the evidence presented here suggests that the HS-RDT is more sensitive in asymptomatic populations and could provide a marginal improvement in clinical diagnosis and screening pregnant women. Although the HS-RDT has limited temperature stability and shelf-life claims compared to co-RDTs, there is no evidence to suggest, given this test has the same cost as current RDTs, it would have any negative impacts in terms of malaria misdiagnosis if it were widely used in all four population groups explored here.

Keywords: Cross-sectional surveys; HS-RDT; Malaria diagnosis; Rapid diagnostic test.

Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

© 2022. The Author(s).

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Flow chart of identification of published studies. The breakdown on studies in the ‘included’ section is greater than the total number of studies as several studies fall into two categories
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Performance of the HS-RDT against HRP2 concentration in PCR-confirmed specimens. Panels A and B show the sensitivity of the HS-RDT and co-RDT in samples grouped by different levels of HRP2 for a high-transmission setting (Uganda, A) and a low-transmission setting (Myanmar, B). Sensitivity is defined as the proportion of PCR-positive samples that are also detected by each RDT. The vertical lines on each bar are 95% binomial confidence intervals for each estimate. Panel C shows the probability of HS-RDT (red lines) and co-RDT (blue lines) positivity as a function of HRP2 concentration and panel D shows the probability of HS-RDT (red lines) and co-RDT (blue lines) as a function of parasite density by quantitative PCR. The shaded region indicates the 95% credible interval of the model fit
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Comparison of PCR prevalence against HS-RDT prevalence. A shows all data used in this analysis (n = 18), and B shows a zoom-in of the samples with prevalence below 6%. The horizontal and vertical lines from each data point show the binomial confidence intervals associated with the PCR prevalence and HS-RDT prevalence estimates, respectively. The orange dashed line shows the fitted relationship derived from a previous meta-analysis of PCR and co-RDT prevalence surveys [3]. The grey diagonal line shows the x = y equivalence line between the HS-RDT and PCR. Additional details are provided on the sample type where necessary. **Unpublished studies. PNG Papua New Guinea, RCD reactive case detection, ACD active case detection
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
Sensitivity of the HS-RDT and co-RDT against PCR prevalence. The filled circles and triangles show the sensitivity of HS-RDT. The unfilled circles joined to the filled circles by a line show the sensitivity of the co-RDT in the same study, if this test was used. The triangles indicate studies where a co-RDT was not used. PCR is the gold-standard diagnostic against which sensitivity is calculated. The solid grey and dashed grey lines show the fit from a binomial generalised linear model of the relationship between PCR prevalence and sensitivity of the HS-RDT and co-RDT respectively. **Unpublished studies. RCD reactive case detection, ACD active case detection
Fig. 5
Fig. 5
Ratio of HS-RDT prevalence to co-RDT prevalence in 16 surveys from 15 studies. The circles show the estimated ratio, and the horizontal lines show the associated binomial 95% confidence intervals. The centre of the blue diamond shows the weighted mean estimated ratio (1.46) and the horizontal extents indicate the 95% confidence interval (1.26–1.70). **Unpublished studies. EAG easy access group, RCD reactive case detection, ACD active case detection

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Source: PubMed

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