Impact of replacing smear microscopy with Xpert MTB/RIF for diagnosing tuberculosis in Brazil: a stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trial

Abstract

Background: Abundant evidence on Xpert MTB/RIF accuracy for diagnosing tuberculosis (TB) and rifampicin resistance has been produced, yet there are few data on the population benefit of its programmatic use. We assessed whether the implementation of Xpert MTB/RIF in routine conditions would (1) increase the notification rate of laboratory-confirmed pulmonary TB to the national notification system and (2) reduce the time to TB treatment initiation (primary endpoints).

Methods and findings: We conducted a stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trial from 4 February to 4 October 2012 in 14 primary care laboratories in two Brazilian cities. Diagnostic specimens were included for 11,705 baseline (smear microscopy) and 12,522 intervention (Xpert MTB/RIF) patients presumed to have TB. Single-sputum-sample Xpert MTB/RIF replaced two-sputum-sample smear microscopy for routine diagnosis of pulmonary TB. In total, 1,137 (9.7%) tests in the baseline arm and 1,777 (14.2%) in the intervention arm were positive (p<0.001), resulting in an increased bacteriologically confirmed notification rate of 59% (95% CI = 31%, 88%). However, the overall notification rate did not increase (15%, 95% CI = -6%, 37%), and we observed no change in the notification rate for those without a test result (-3%, 95% CI = -37%, 30%). Median time to treatment decreased from 11.4 d (interquartile range [IQR] = 8.5-14.5) to 8.1 d (IQR = 5.4-9.3) (p = 0.04), although not among confirmed cases (median 7.5 [IQR = 4.9-10.0] versus 7.3 [IQR = 3.4-9.0], p = 0.51). Prevalence of rifampicin resistance detected by Xpert was 3.3% (95% CI = 2.4%, 4.3%) among new patients and 7.4% (95% CI = 4.3%, 11.7%) among retreatment patients, with a 98% (95% CI = 87%, 99%) positive predictive value compared to phenotypic drug susceptibility testing. Missing data in the information systems may have biased our primary endpoints. However, sensitivity analyses assessing the effects of missing data did not affect our results.

Conclusions: Replacing smear microscopy with Xpert MTB/RIF in Brazil increased confirmation of pulmonary TB. An additional benefit was the accurate detection of rifampicin resistance. However, no increase on overall notification rates was observed, possibly because of high rates of empirical TB treatment.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01363765. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.

Conflict of interest statement

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Figures

Figure 1. Stepped-wedge design with 14 clusters (study laboratories with serviced clinics) and eight monthly measurement periods.

Figure 2. Flowchart showing study inclusion in baseline (smear examination) and intervention (Xpert MTB/RIF) arms.

Bold arrows indicate cross-linkage between databases.

Figure 3. Sensitivity analysis for laboratory-confirmed TB diagnoses.

Variation in unadjusted cluster-averaged notification rate ratio for laboratory-confirmed notifications, by proportion of missing notifications for laboratory-confirmed TB diagnoses that are due to failed linkage of records in the laboratory and notification databases.

Figure 4. Box-and-whisker plot of cluster-averaged time interval between processing of sputum and start of first-line drug treatment in the baseline (smear examination) and intervention (Xpert MTB/RIF) arms.

Delays are shown for three groups: (1) all TB patients notified for whom a sputum test was performed, (2) TB patients notified with bacteriological confirmation, and (3) TB patients notified without bacteriological confirmation. Left: per-protocol analysis; right: ITT analysis.