The association between dengue case and climate: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Nur Athen Mohd Hardy Abdullah, Nazri Che Dom, Siti Aekball Salleh, Hasber Salim, Nopadol Precha, Nur Athen Mohd Hardy Abdullah, Nazri Che Dom, Siti Aekball Salleh, Hasber Salim, Nopadol Precha

Abstract

Although previous research frequently indicates that climate factors impact dengue transmission, the results are inconsistent. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis highlights and address the complex global health problems towards the human-environment interface and the inter-relationship between these variables. For this purpose, four online electronic databases were searched to conduct a systematic assessment of published studies reporting the association between dengue cases and climate between 2010 and 2022. The meta-analysis was conducted using random effects to assess correlation, publication bias and heterogeneity. The final assessment included eight studies for both systematic review and meta-analysis. A total of four meta-analyses were conducted to evaluate the correlation of dengue cases with climate variables, namely precipitation, temperature, minimum temperature and relative humidity. The highest correlation is observed for precipitation between 83 mm and 15 mm (r = 0.38, 95% CI = 0.31, 0.45), relative humidity between 60.5% and 88.7% (r = 0.30, 95% CI = 0.23, 0.37), minimum temperature between 6.5 °C and 21.4 °C (r = 0.28, 95% CI = 0.05, 0.48) and mean temperature between 21.0 °C and 29.8 °C (r = 0.07, 95% CI = -0.1, 0.24). Thus, the influence of climate variables on the magnitude of dengue cases in terms of their distribution, frequency, and prevailing variables was established and conceptualised. The results of this meta-analysis enable multidisciplinary collaboration to improve dengue surveillance, epidemiology, and prevention programmes.

Keywords: Climate; Dengue cases; Systematic review; meta-analysis.

Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

© 2022 The Authors.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
PRISMA guideline-based article selection flowchart.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Meta-analysis of climate variables and dengue incidence. Figure: (A) = precipitation; (B) relative humidity; (C) minimum temperature; (D) mean temperature. Note: The box size in the graph reflects each study's relative weight.

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