Prospective clinical testing and experimental validation of the Pediatric Sepsis Biomarker Risk Model
Hector R Wong, J Timothy Caldwell, Natalie Z Cvijanovich, Scott L Weiss, Julie C Fitzgerald, Michael T Bigham, Parag N Jain, Adam Schwarz, Riad Lutfi, Jeffrey Nowak, Geoffrey L Allen, Neal J Thomas, Jocelyn R Grunwell, Torrey Baines, Michael Quasney, Bereketeab Haileselassie, Christopher J Lindsell, Hector R Wong, J Timothy Caldwell, Natalie Z Cvijanovich, Scott L Weiss, Julie C Fitzgerald, Michael T Bigham, Parag N Jain, Adam Schwarz, Riad Lutfi, Jeffrey Nowak, Geoffrey L Allen, Neal J Thomas, Jocelyn R Grunwell, Torrey Baines, Michael Quasney, Bereketeab Haileselassie, Christopher J Lindsell
Abstract
Sepsis remains a major public health problem with no major therapeutic advances over the last several decades. The clinical and biological heterogeneity of sepsis have limited success of potential new therapies. Accordingly, there is considerable interest in developing a precision medicine approach to inform more rational development, testing, and targeting of new therapies. We previously developed the Pediatric Sepsis Biomarker Risk Model (PERSEVERE) to estimate mortality risk and proposed its use as a prognostic enrichment tool in sepsis clinical trials; prognostic enrichment selects patients based on mortality risk independent of treatment. Here, we show that PERSEVERE has excellent performance in a diverse cohort of children with septic shock with potential for use as a predictive enrichment strategy; predictive enrichment selects patients based on likely response to treatment. We demonstrate that the PERSEVERE biomarkers are reliably associated with mortality in mice challenged with experimental sepsis, thus providing an opportunity to test precision medicine strategies in the preclinical setting. Using this model, we tested two clinically feasible therapeutic strategies, guided by the PERSEVERE-based enrichment, and found that mice identified as high risk for mortality had a greater bacterial burden and could be rescued by higher doses of antibiotics. The association between higher pathogen burden and higher mortality risk was corroborated among critically ill children with septic shock. This bedside to bench to bedside approach provides proof of principle for PERSEVERE-guided application of precision medicine in sepsis.
Conflict of interest statement
Competing interests: The Cincinnati Children’s Research Foundation and H.R.W. hold U.S. patents for the PERSEVERE biomarkers (PCT/US2013/025223, Multi-Biomarker-Based Outcome Risk Stratification Model for Pediatric Septic Shock; PCT/US13/25221, Multi-Biomarker-Based Outcome Risk Stratification Model for Adult Septic Shock; PCT/US14/67438, Temporal Pediatric Sepsis Biomarker Risk Model; and PCT/US08/06172, Biomarkers for Septic Shock Patients). C.J.L. is named as a co-inventor on the patents. H.R.W. also serves on the scientific advisory boards for Inflammatix, Endpoint Health, and Eccrine Systems Inc. All other authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Copyright © 2019 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works.
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Source: PubMed