Identification of Risk of Cardiovascular Disease by Automatic Quantification of Coronary Artery Calcifications on Radiotherapy Planning CT Scans in Patients With Breast Cancer

Roxanne Gal, Sanne G M van Velzen, Maartje J Hooning, Marleen J Emaus, Femke van der Leij, Madelijn L Gregorowitsch, Erwin L A Blezer, Sofie A M Gernaat, Nikolas Lessmann, Margriet G A Sattler, Tim Leiner, Pim A de Jong, Arco J Teske, Janneke Verloop, Joan J Penninkhof, Ilonca Vaartjes, Hanneke Meijer, Julia J van Tol-Geerdink, Jean-Philippe Pignol, Desirée H J G van den Bongard, Ivana Išgum, Helena M Verkooijen, Roxanne Gal, Sanne G M van Velzen, Maartje J Hooning, Marleen J Emaus, Femke van der Leij, Madelijn L Gregorowitsch, Erwin L A Blezer, Sofie A M Gernaat, Nikolas Lessmann, Margriet G A Sattler, Tim Leiner, Pim A de Jong, Arco J Teske, Janneke Verloop, Joan J Penninkhof, Ilonca Vaartjes, Hanneke Meijer, Julia J van Tol-Geerdink, Jean-Philippe Pignol, Desirée H J G van den Bongard, Ivana Išgum, Helena M Verkooijen

Abstract

Importance: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is common in patients treated for breast cancer, especially in patients treated with systemic treatment and radiotherapy and in those with preexisting CVD risk factors. Coronary artery calcium (CAC), a strong independent CVD risk factor, can be automatically quantified on radiotherapy planning computed tomography (CT) scans and may help identify patients at increased CVD risk.

Objective: To evaluate the association of CAC with CVD and coronary artery disease (CAD) in patients with breast cancer.

Design, setting, and participants: In this multicenter cohort study of 15 915 patients with breast cancer receiving radiotherapy between 2005 and 2016 who were followed until December 31, 2018, age, calendar year, and treatment-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the association of CAC with CVD and CAD.

Exposures: Overall CAC scores were automatically extracted from planning CT scans using a deep learning algorithm. Patients were classified into Agatston risk categories (0, 1-10, 11-100, 101-399, >400 units).

Main outcomes and measures: Occurrence of fatal and nonfatal CVD and CAD were obtained from national registries.

Results: Of the 15 915 participants included in this study, the mean (SD) age at CT scan was 59.0 (11.2; range, 22-95) years, and 15 879 (99.8%) were women. Seventy percent (n = 11 179) had no CAC. Coronary artery calcium scores of 1 to 10, 11 to 100, 101 to 400, and greater than 400 were present in 10.0% (n = 1584), 11.5% (n = 1825), 5.2% (n = 830), and 3.1% (n = 497) respectively. After a median follow-up of 51.2 months, CVD risks increased from 5.2% in patients with no CAC to 28.2% in patients with CAC scores higher than 400. After adjustment, CVD risk increased with higher CAC score (hazard ratio [HR]CAC = 1-10 = 1.1; 95% CI, 0.9-1.4; HRCAC = 11-100 = 1.8; 95% CI, 1.5-2.1; HRCAC = 101-400 = 2.1; 95% CI, 1.7-2.6; and HRCAC>400 = 3.4; 95% CI, 2.8-4.2). Coronary artery calcium was particularly strongly associated with CAD (HRCAC>400 = 7.8; 95% CI, 5.5-11.2). The association between CAC and CVD was strongest in patients treated with anthracyclines (HRCAC>400 = 5.8; 95% CI, 3.0-11.4) and patients who received a radiation boost (HRCAC>400 = 6.1; 95% CI, 3.8-9.7).

Conclusions and relevance: This cohort study found that coronary artery calcium on breast cancer radiotherapy planning CT scan results was associated with CVD, especially CAD. Automated CAC scoring on radiotherapy planning CT scans may be used as a fast and low-cost tool to identify patients with breast cancer at increased risk of CVD, allowing implementing CVD risk-mitigating strategies with the aim to reduce the risk of CVD burden after breast cancer.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03206333.

Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Leiner reported receiving grants from the Dutch Cancer Society, Pie Medical Imaging, the Dutch Technology Foundation (with participation of Pie Medical Imaging) and the Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development (with participation of Pie Medical Imaging), receiving fees for lectures from Philips Healthcare and Bayer Healthcare, being shareholder of Quantib-U BV, and a patent with royalties planned. Prof de Jong reported receiving research support from Philips Healthcare. Dr Penninkhof reported receiving grants from Elekta AB and Accuray, Inc. Dr Isgum reported receiving grants from the Dutch Cancer Society, Pie Medical Imaging, the Dutch Technology Foundation (with participation of Philips Healthcare), and the Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development, and reported being cofounder of and shareholder in Quantib-U BV. Dr Verkooijen reported receiving research grants from Elekta AB. No other conflicts of interest that could have influenced the work in this article were reported.

Figures

Figure.. Kaplan-Meier Plot for Fatal and Nonfatal…
Figure.. Kaplan-Meier Plot for Fatal and Nonfatal Cardiovascular Disease by Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) Score Category

Source: PubMed

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