Risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension

Amresh Raina, Marc Humbert, Amresh Raina, Marc Humbert

Abstract

Regular patient assessment is essential for the management of chronic diseases, such as pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Comprehensive patient assessment and risk stratification in PAH are important to guide treatment decisions and to monitor disease progression as well as patients' response to treatment. Approaches for assessing risk in PAH patients include the use of risk variables, as recommended in the 2015 European Society of Cardiology (ESC)/European Respiratory Society (ERS) pulmonary hypertension (PH) guidelines, and the application of risk equations and scores, such as the French registry risk equation and the REVEAL registry risk score. Risk stratification and risk scores are both useful predictors of survival on a population basis, and provide an estimate for individual patients' risk. The 2015 ESC/ERS PH guidelines recommend regular assessment of multiple variables at an expert centre. The respective merits and limitations of different risk assessment methods in PAH are discussed in this article, as well as some considerations that can be taken into account in the future development of risk assessment tools.

Conflict of interest statement

Editorial comment in Eur Respir Rev 2016; 25: 361–363.

Conflict of interest: Disclosures can be found alongside this article at err.ersjournals.com

Copyright ©ERS 2016.

Figures

FIGURE 1
FIGURE 1
Simplified REVEAL (Registry to Evaluate Early And Long-term PAH Disease Management) risk score. PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension; WHO: World Health Organization; NYHA: New York Heart Association; BNP: brain natriuretic peptide; APAH; associated PAH; CTD: connective tissue disease; PoPH: portopulmonary hypertension; FPAH: familial PAH; SBP: systolic blood pressure; HR: heart rate; DLCO: diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide; mRAP: mean right atrial pressure; PVR: pulmonary vascular resistance. Reproduced from [10] with permission from the publisher.
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 2
1-year survival in the REVEAL (Registry to Evaluate Early And Long-term PAH Disease Management) validation cohort as predicted according to the a) risk prognostic equation and b) simplified risk score. PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension. Reproduced from [10] with permission from the publisher.

References

    1. Wells BJ, Kattan MW, Cooper GS, et al. . Colorectal cancer predicted risk online (CRC-PRO) calculator using data from the multi-ethnic cohort study. J Am Board Fam Med 2014; 27: 42–55.
    1. Stelloo E, Bosse T, Nout RA, et al. . Refining prognosis and identifying targetable pathways for high-risk endometrial cancer: a TransPORTEC initiative. Mod Pathol 2015; 28: 836–844.
    1. Cazzoletti L, Corsico AG, Albicini F, et al. . The course of asthma in young adults: a population-based nine-year follow-up on asthma remission and control. PLoS One 2014; 9: e86956.
    1. Drazner MH, Velez-Martinez M, Ayers CR, et al. . Relationship of right- to left-sided ventricular filling pressures in advanced heart failure: insights from the ESCAPE trial. Circ Heart Fail 2013; 6: 264–270.
    1. McLaughlin VV, Gaine SP, Howard LS, et al. . Treatment goals of pulmonary hypertension. J Am Coll Cardiol 2013; 62: D73–D81.
    1. Galiè N, Humbert M, Vachiery JL, et al. . 2015 ESC/ERS Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of pulmonary hypertension. Eur Heart J 2016; 37: 67–119.
    1. Galiè N, Humbert M, Vachiery JL, et al. . 2015 ESC/ERS Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of pulmonary hypertension. Eur Respir J 2015; 46: 903–975.
    1. Humbert M, Sitbon O, Yaici A, et al. . Survival in incident and prevalent cohorts of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension. Eur Respir J 2010; 36: 549–555.
    1. D'Alonzo GE, Barst RJ, Ayres SM, et al. . Survival in patients with primary pulmonary hypertension. Results from a national prospective registry. Ann Intern Med 1991; 115: 343–349.
    1. Benza RL, Gomberg-Maitland M, Miller DP, et al. . The REVEAL registry risk score calculator in patients newly diagnosed with pulmonary arterial hypertension. Chest 2012; 141: 354–362.
    1. Humbert M, Sitbon O, Chaouat A, et al. . Survival in patients with idiopathic, familial, and anorexigen-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension in the modern management era. Circulation 2010; 122: 156–163.
    1. Benza RL, Miller DP, Gomberg-Maitland M, et al. . Predicting survival in pulmonary arterial hypertension: insights from the Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-Term Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Disease Management (REVEAL). Circulation 2010; 122: 164–172.
    1. Launay D, Sitbon O, Le PJ, et al. . Long-term outcome of systemic sclerosis-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension treated with bosentan as first-line monotherapy followed or not by the addition of prostanoids or sildenafil. Rheumatology (Oxford) 2010; 49: 490–500.
    1. Mathai SC, Hassoun PM. Pulmonary arterial hypertension in connective tissue diseases. Heart Fail Clin 2012; 8: 413–425.
    1. Fisher MR, Mathai SC, Champion HC, et al. . Clinical differences between idiopathic and scleroderma-related pulmonary hypertension. Arthritis Rheum 2006; 54: 3043–3050.
    1. Condliffe R, Kiely DG, Peacock AJ, et al. . Connective tissue disease-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension in the modern treatment era. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2009; 179: 151–157.
    1. Evans JD, Girerd B, Montani D, et al. . BMPR2 mutations and survival in pulmonary arterial hypertension: an individual participant data meta-analysis. Lancet Respir Med 2016; 4: 129–137.
    1. Farber HW, Miller DP, Poms AD, et al. . Five-year outcomes of patients enrolled in the REVEAL Registry. Chest 2015; 148: 1043–1054.
    1. Sitbon O, Humbert M, Nunes H, et al. . Long-term intravenous epoprostenol infusion in primary pulmonary hypertension: prognostic factors and survival. J Am Coll Cardiol 2002; 40: 780–788.
    1. Ghofrani HA, Grimminger F, Grunig E, et al. . Predictors of long-term outcomes in patients treated with riociguat for pulmonary arterial hypertension: data from the PATENT-2 open-label, randomised, long-term extension trial. Lancet Respir Med 2016; 4: 361–371.
    1. Barst RJ, Chung L, Zamanian RT, et al. . Functional class improvement and three-year survival outcomes in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension in the REVEAL registry. Chest 2013; 144: 160–168.
    1. Taichman DB, McGoon MD, Harhay MO, et al. . Wide variation in clinicians’ assessment of New York Heart Association/World Health Organization functional class in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension. Mayo Clin Proc 2009; 84: 586–592.
    1. Farber HW, Miller DP, McGoon MD, et al. . Predicting outcomes in pulmonary arterial hypertension based on the 6-minute walk distance. J Heart Lung Transplant 2015; 34: 362–368.
    1. Fritz J, Blair C, Oudiz R, et al. . Baseline and follow-up six minute walk distance and BNP predict 2-year mortality in pulmonary arterial hypertension. Chest 2013; 143: 315–323.
    1. Savarese G, Paolillo S, Costanzo P, et al. . Do changes of 6-minute walk distance predict clinical events in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension? A meta-analysis of 22 randomized trials. J Am Coll Cardiol 2012; 60: 1192–1201.
    1. Gabler NB, French B, Strom BL, et al. . Validation of six-minute-walk distance as a surrogate endpoint in pulmonary arterial hypertension trials. Circulation 2012; 126: 349–356.
    1. Nickel N, Golpon H, Greer M, et al. . The prognostic impact of follow-up assessments in patients with idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension. Eur Respir J 2012; 39: 589–596.
    1. Chia EM, Lau EM, Xuan W, et al. . Exercise testing can unmask right ventricular dysfunction in systemic sclerosis patients with normal resting pulmonary artery pressure. Int J Cardiol 2016; 204: 179–186.
    1. Blumberg FC, Arzt M, Lange T, et al. . Impact of right ventricular reserve on exercise capacity and survival in patients with pulmonary hypertension. Eur J Heart Fail 2013; 15: 771–775.
    1. Forfia PR, Fisher MR, Mathai SC, et al. . Tricuspid annular displacement predicts survival in pulmonary hypertension. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2006; 174: 1034–1041.
    1. Peacock AJ, Crawley S, McLure L, et al. . Changes in right ventricular function measured by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging in patients receiving pulmonary arterial hypertension-targeted therapy: the EURO-MR study. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging 2014; 7: 107–114.
    1. Swift AJ, Rajaram S, Capener D, et al. . Longitudinal and transverse right ventricular function in pulmonary hypertension: cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging study from the ASPIRE registry. Pulm Circ 2015; 5: 557–564.
    1. Han QJ, Witschey WR, Fang-Yen CM, et al. . Altered right ventricular kinetic energy work density and viscous energy dissipation in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension: a pilot study using 4D flow MRI. PLoS One 2015; 10: e0138365.
    1. van de Veerdonk MC, Kind T, Marcus JT, et al. . Progressive right ventricular dysfunction in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension responding to therapy. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011; 58: 2511–2519.
    1. Harbaum L, Hennigs JK, Baumann HJ, et al. . N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide is a useful prognostic marker in patients with pre-capillary pulmonary hypertension and renal insufficiency. PLoS One 2014; 9: e94263.
    1. Leuchte HH, El Nounou M, Tuerpe JC, et al. . N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and renal insufficiency as predictors of mortality in pulmonary hypertension. Chest 2007; 131: 402–409.
    1. Halank M, Einsle F, Lehman S, et al. . Exercise capacity affects quality of life in patients with pulmonary hypertension. Lung 2013; 191: 337–343.
    1. Humbert M, Sitbon O, Chaouat A, et al. . Pulmonary arterial hypertension in France: results from a national registry. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2006; 173: 1023–1030.
    1. Thenappan T, Shah SJ, Rich S, et al. . A USA-based registry for pulmonary arterial hypertension: 1982–2006. Eur Respir J 2007; 30: 1103–1110.
    1. Jing ZC, Xu XQ, Han ZY, et al. . Registry and survival study in Chinese patients with idiopathic and familial pulmonary arterial hypertension. Chest 2007; 132: 373–379.
    1. Thenappan T, Shah SJ, Rich S, et al. . Survival in pulmonary arterial hypertension: a reappraisal of the NIH risk stratification equation. Eur Respir J 2010; 35: 1079–1087.
    1. Peacock AJ, Murphy NF, McMurray JJ, et al. . An epidemiological study of pulmonary arterial hypertension. Eur Respir J 2007; 30: 104–109.
    1. McGoon MD, Krichman A, Farber HW, et al. . Design of the REVEAL registry for US patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension. Mayo Clin Proc 2008; 83: 923–931.
    1. Badesch DB, Raskob GE, Elliott CG, et al. . Pulmonary arterial hypertension: baseline characteristics from the REVEAL registry. Chest 2010; 137: 376–387.
    1. Sitbon O, Sattler C, Bertoletti L, et al. . Initial dual oral combination therapy in pulmonary arterial hypertension. Eur Respir J 2016; 47: 1727–1736.
    1. Sitbon O, Jais X, Savale L, et al. . Upfront triple combination therapy in pulmonary arterial hypertension: a pilot study. Eur Respir J 2014; 43: 1691–1697.
    1. Benza RL, Miller DP, Foreman AJ, et al. . Prognostic implications of serial risk score assessments in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension: a Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-Term Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Disease Management (REVEAL) analysis. J Heart Lung Transplant 2015; 34: 356–361.
    1. Kane GC, Maradit-Kremers H, Slusser JP, et al. . Integration of clinical and hemodynamic parameters in the prediction of long-term survival in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension. Chest 2011; 139: 1285–1293.
    1. Sitbon O, Benza RL, Badesch DB, et al. . Validation of two predictive models for survival in pulmonary arterial hypertension. Eur Respir J 2015; 46: 152–164.
    1. Simonneau G, Channick RN, Delcroix M, et al. . Incident and prevalent cohorts with pulmonary arterial hypertension: insight from SERAPHIN. Eur Respir J 2015; 46: 1711–1720.
    1. Rubin LJ, Simonneau G, Badesch D, et al. . The study of risk in pulmonary arterial hypertension. Eur Respir Rev 2012; 21: 234–238.
    1. Lee KL, Pryor DB, Harrell FE Jr, et al. . Predicting outcome in coronary disease. Statistical models versus expert clinicians. Am J Med 1986; 80: 553–560.

Source: PubMed

3
Sottoscrivi