Comparative effectiveness of combined digital mammography and tomosynthesis screening for women with dense breasts

Abstract

Purpose: To evaluate the effectiveness of combined biennial digital mammography and tomosynthesis screening, compared with biennial digital mammography screening alone, among women with dense breasts.

Materials and methods: An established, discrete-event breast cancer simulation model was used to estimate the comparative clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of biennial screening with both digital mammography and tomosynthesis versus digital mammography alone among U.S. women aged 50-74 years with dense breasts from a federal payer perspective and a lifetime horizon. Input values were estimated for test performance, costs, and health state utilities from the National Cancer Institute Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium, Medicare reimbursement rates, and medical literature. Sensitivity analyses were performed to determine the implications of varying key model parameters, including combined screening sensitivity and specificity, transient utility decrement of diagnostic work-up, and additional cost of tomosynthesis.

Results: For the base-case analysis, the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year gained by adding tomosynthesis to digital mammography screening was $53 893. An additional 0.5 deaths were averted and 405 false-positive findings avoided per 1000 women after 12 rounds of screening. Combined screening remained cost-effective (less than $100 000 per quality-adjusted life year gained) over a wide range of incremental improvements in test performance. Overall, cost-effectiveness was most sensitive to the additional cost of tomosynthesis.

Conclusion: Biennial combined digital mammography and tomosynthesis screening for U.S. women aged 50-74 years with dense breasts is likely to be cost-effective if priced appropriately (up to $226 for combined examinations vs $139 for digital mammography alone) and if reported interpretive performance metrics of improved specificity with tomosynthesis are met in routine practice.

Figures

Graph depicts sensitivity analysis for the cost-effectiveness of adding digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) to standard biennial digital mammography (DM) screening in women aged 50–74 years with dense breasts. Additional cost of digital breast tomosynthesis ranged from $0 to $139; digital mammography with tomosynthesis specificity ranged from 0.88 to 0.95; digital mammography with tomosynthesis sensitivity ranged from 0.77 to 0.83; and transient utility reduction for diagnostic work-up after positive screening findings ranged from 0 to 0.105.