Prognostic value of dehydroepiandrosterone-sulfate and other parameters of adrenal function in acute ischemic stroke

Claudine A Blum, Cornelia Mueller, Philipp Schuetz, Felix Fluri, Michael Trummler, Beat Mueller, Mira Katan, Mirjam Christ-Crain, Claudine A Blum, Cornelia Mueller, Philipp Schuetz, Felix Fluri, Michael Trummler, Beat Mueller, Mira Katan, Mirjam Christ-Crain

Abstract

Background and purpose: Acute stroke has a high morbidity and mortality. We evaluated the predictive value of adrenal function testing in acute ischemic stroke.

Methods: In a cohort of 231 acute ischemic stroke patients, we measured dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA), DHEA-Sulfate (DHEAS), cortisol at baseline and 30 minutes after stimulation with 1 ug ACTH. Delta cortisol, the amount of rise in the 1 ug ACTH-test, was calculated. Primary endpoint was poor functional outcome defined as modified Rankin scale 3-6 after 1 year. Secondary endpoint was nonsurvival after 1 year.

Results: Logistic regression analysis showed that DHEAS (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.01-1.49), but not DHEA (OR 1.01, 95% CI 0.99-1.04), was predictive for adverse functional outcome. Neither DHEA (OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.96-1.03) nor DHEAS (OR 1.10, 95% CI 0.82-1.44) were associated with mortality. Baseline and stimulated cortisol were predictive for mortality (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.20-1.71; 1.35, 95% CI 1.15-1.60), but only basal cortisol for functional outcome (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.04-1.38). Delta cortisol was not predictive for functional outcome (OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.71-1.05) or mortality (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.72-1.17). The ratios cortisol/DHEA and cortisol/DHEAS discriminated between favorable outcome and nonsurvival (both p<0.0001) and between unfavorable outcome and nonsurvival (p = 0.0071 and 0.0029), but are not independent predictors for functional outcome or mortality in multivariate analysis (adjusted OR for functional outcome for both 1.0 (95% CI 0.99-1.0), adjusted OR for mortality for both 1.0 (95% CI 0.99-1.0 and 1.0-1.01, respectively)).

Conclusion: DHEAS and the cortisol/DHEAS ratio predicts functional outcome 1 year after stroke whereas cortisol levels predict functional outcome and mortality.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00390962 (Retrospective analysis of this cohort).

Conflict of interest statement

Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Figures

Figure 1. Kaplan Meier Survival Curves.
Figure 1. Kaplan Meier Survival Curves.
A. Survival in relation to median cortisol level of 475 nmol/L. p = 0.0014, Hazard Ratio 0.35, 95% CI 0.19–0.67. B. Survival in relation to median stimulated cortisol level of 742 nmol/L. p = 0.015, Hazard Ratio 0.4496, 95% CI 0.24–0.86. C. Survival in relation to median dehydroepiandrosterone level of 15.5 nmol/L. p = 0.0236, Hazard Ratio 2.09, 95% CI 1.104 to 3.955. D. Survival in relation to median dehydroepiandrosterone-sulfate level of 2.4 umol/L. p = 0.1490, Hazard Ratio 1.60, 95% CI 0.85–3.80. E. Survival in relation to median cortisol/DHEA level of 27 nmol/nmol. p = 0.0002, Hazard Ratio 0.32, 95% CI 0.17–0.61. F: Survival in relation to median cortisol/DHEAS level of 203 nmol/micromol. p = 0.0004, Hazard Ratio 0.31, 95% CI 0.17–0.59.
Figure 2. ROC of adrenal values.
Figure 2. ROC of adrenal values.
Dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA): Area 0.59, Std. Error 0.05, 95% CI 0.49–0.69, p = 0.07 Dehydroepiandrosterone-sulfate (DHEAS): Area 0.60, Std. Error 0.04, 95% CI 0.51–0.69, p = 0.048. Basal cortisol: Area 0.71, Std. Error 0.05, 95% CI 0.61–0.80, p

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