Progress in Typhoid Fever Epidemiology

John A Crump, John A Crump

Abstract

Salmonella enterica subspecies enterica serovar Typhi (Salmonella Typhi) is the cause of typhoid fever and a human host-restricted organism. Our understanding of the global burden of typhoid fever has improved in recent decades, with both an increase in the number and geographic representation of high-quality typhoid fever incidence studies, and greater sophistication of modeling approaches. The 2017 World Health Organization Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization recommendation for the introduction of typhoid conjugate vaccines for infants and children aged >6 months in typhoid-endemic countries is likely to require further improvements in our understanding of typhoid burden at the global and national levels. Furthermore, the recognition of the critical and synergistic role of water and sanitation improvements in concert with vaccine introduction emphasize the importance of improving our understanding of the sources, patterns, and modes of transmission of Salmonella Typhi in diverse settings.

Keywords: Salmonella; death; epidemiology; incidence; typhoid fever.

© The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America.

Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1.
Schematic representation of potential drivers of typhoid fever incidence and uncertainty about typhoid fever incidence among infants and young children

References

    1. Budd W. Typhoid fever, its nature, mode of spreading and prevention. London: Longmans Green and Co, 1873.
    1. Sedgwick WT, MacNutt JS. On the Mills-Reincke phenomenon and Hazen’s theorem concerning the decrease in mortality from diseases other than typhoid fever following the purification of public water supplies. J Infect Dis 1910; 7:490–564.
    1. Soper GA. The work of a chronic typhoid germ distributor. JAMA 1907; 48:2019–22.
    1. World Health Organization. Meeting of the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization, October 2017—conclusions and recommendations. Wkly Epidemiol Rec 2017; 92:729–47.
    1. Pitzer VE, Bowles CC, Baker S, et al. . Predicting the impact of vaccination on the transmission dynamics of typhoid in South Asia: a mathematical modeling study. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2014; 8:e2642.
    1. Mitscherlich E, Marth EH. 1. Special part: bacteria considered in alphabetical order. In: Mitscherlich E, Marth EH, eds. Microbial survival in the environment.Berlin, Heidelberg, New York, Tokyo: Springer, 1984:1–560.
    1. Waddington CS, Darton TC, Jones C, et al. . An outpatient, ambulant-design, controlled human infection model using escalating doses of Salmonella Typhi challenge delivered in sodium bicarbonate solution. Clin Infect Dis 2014; 58:1230–40.
    1. Sears HJ, Garhart RW, Mack DW. A milk borne epidemic of typhoid fever traced to a urinary carrier. Am J Public Health (N Y) 1924; 14:848–54.
    1. Olsen SJ, Bleasdale SC, Magnano AR, et al. . Outbreaks of typhoid fever in the United States, 1960–1999. Epidemiol Infect 2003; 130:13–21.
    1. Reller ME, Olsen SJ, Kressel AB, et al. . Sexual transmission of typhoid fever: a multistate outbreak among men who have sex with men. Clin Infect Dis 2003; 37:141–4.
    1. Luby SP, Faizan MK, Fisher-Hoch SP, et al. . Risk factors for typhoid fever in an endemic setting, Karachi, Pakistan. Epidemiol Infect 1998; 120:129–38.
    1. González-Guzmán J. An epidemiological model for direct and indirect transmission of typhoid fever. Math Biosci 1989; 96:33–46.
    1. Mermin JH, Villar R, Carpenter J, et al. . A massive epidemic of multidrug-resistant typhoid fever in Tajikistan associated with consumption of municipal water. J Infect Dis 1999; 179:1416–22.
    1. Hornick RB, Greisman SE, Woodward TE, DuPont HL, Dawkins AT, Snyder MJ. Typhoid fever: pathogenesis and immunologic control. N Engl J Med 1970; 283:686–91.
    1. Wain J, Hien TT, Connerton P, et al. . Molecular typing of multiple-antibiotic-resistant Salmonella enterica serovar Typhi from Vietnam: application to acute and relapse cases of typhoid fever. J Clin Microbiol 1999; 37:2466–72.
    1. Murray CJ. Quantifying the burden of disease: the technical basis for disability-adjusted life years. Bull World Health Organ 1994; 72:429–45.
    1. Crump JA, Kirk MD. Estimating the burden of febrile illnesses. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2015; 9:e0004040.
    1. Edelman R, Levine MM. Summary of an international workshop on typhoid fever. Rev Infect Dis 1986; 8:329–49.
    1. World Health Organization. The world health report 1996: fighting disease, fostering development. Geneva, Switzerland: WHO, 1996.
    1. Mogasale V, Maskery B, Ochiai RL, et al. . Burden of typhoid fever in low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic, literature-based update with risk-factor adjustment. Lancet Glob Health 2014; 2:e570–80.
    1. Buckle GC, Walker CL, Black RE. Typhoid fever and paratyphoid fever: systematic review to estimate global morbidity and mortality for 2010. J Glob Health 2012; 2:10401.
    1. Kirk MD, Pires SM, Black RE, et al. . World Health Organization estimates of the global and regional disease burden of 22 foodborne bacterial, protozoal and viral diseases, 2010: a data synthesis. PLoS Med 2015; 12:e1001921.
    1. Murray CJ, Vos T, Lozano R, et al. . Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 291 diseases and injuries in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet 2012; 380:2197–223.
    1. Lozano R, Naghavi M, Foreman K, et al. . Global and regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet 2012; 380:2095–128.
    1. GBD 2013 Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 301 acute and chronic diseases and injuries in 188 countries, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. Lancet 2015; 386:743–800.
    1. GBD 2013 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 306 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 188 countries, 1990–2013: quantifying the epidemiological transition. Lancet 2015; 386:2145–91.
    1. GBD 2013 Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex specific all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 240 causes of death, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. Lancet 2015; 385:117–71.
    1. GBD 2015 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. Lancet 2016; 388:1545–602.
    1. GBD 2015 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 315 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE), 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. Lancet 2016; 388:1603–58.
    1. GBD 2015 Mortality and Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national life expectancy, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes of death, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. Lancet 2016; 388:1459–544.
    1. Antillón M, Warren JL, Crawford FW, et al. . The burden of typhoid fever in low- and middle-income countries: a meta-regression approach. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2017; 11:e0005376.
    1. GBD 2016 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet 2017; 390:1211–59.
    1. GBD 2016 Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet 2017; 390:1151–210.
    1. GBD 2016 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 333 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet 2017; 390:1260–344.
    1. Crump JA, Luby SP, Mintz ED. The global burden of typhoid fever. Bull World Health Organ 2004; 82:346–53.
    1. Crump JA, Youssef FG, Luby SP, et al. . Estimating the incidence of typhoid fever and other febrile illnesses in developing countries. Emerg Infect Dis 2003; 9:539–44.
    1. Breiman RF, Cosmas L, Njuguna H, et al. . Population-based incidence of typhoid fever in an urban informal settlement and a rural area in Kenya: implications for typhoid vaccine use in Africa. PLoS One 2012; 7:e29119.
    1. Ochiai RL, Acosta CJ, Danovaro-Holliday MC, et al. . Domi Typhoid Study Group A study of typhoid fever in five Asian countries: disease burden and implications for controls. Bull World Health Organ 2008; 86:260–8.
    1. Marks F, von Kalckreuth V, Aaby P, et al. . Incidence of invasive salmonella disease in sub-Saharan Africa: a multicentre population-based surveillance study. Lancet Glob Health 2017; 5:e310–23.
    1. Mweu E, English M. Typhoid fever in children in Africa. Trop Med Int Health 2008; 13:1–9.
    1. Feasey NA, Masesa C, Jassi C, et al. . Three epidemics of invasive multidrug-resistant Salmonella bloodstream infection in Blantyre, Malawi, 1998–2014. Clin Infect Dis 2015; 61(Suppl 4):S363–71.
    1. Deen J, von Seidlein L, Andersen F, Elle N, White NJ, Lubell Y. Community-acquired bacterial bloodstream infections in developing countries in south and southeast Asia: a systematic review. Lancet Infect Dis 2012; 12:480–7.
    1. Reddy EA, Shaw AV, Crump JA. Community-acquired bloodstream infections in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Infect Dis 2010; 10:417–32.
    1. World Health Organization/United Nations Children’s Fund. Progress on sanitation and drinking water: 2015 update and MDG assessment. Geneva, Switzerland: WHO, 2015.
    1. Butler T, Knight J, Nath SK, Speelman P, Roy SK, Azad MA. Typhoid fever complicated by intestinal perforation: a persisting fatal disease requiring surgical management. Rev Infect Dis 1985; 7:244–56.
    1. Wain J, Hendriksen RS, Mikoleit ML, Keddy KH, Ochiai RL. Typhoid fever. Lancet 2015; 385:1136–45.
    1. van den Bergh ETAM, Hussein GM, Keuter M, Dolmans MV. Outcome in three groups of patients with typhoid fever in Indonesia between 1948 and 1990. Trop Med Int Health 1999; 4:211–5.
    1. Crump JA. Typhoid fever and the challenge of nonmalaria febrile illness in sub-Saharan Africa. Clin Infect Dis 2012; 54:1107–9.
    1. Devleesschauwer B, Haagsma JA, Angulo FJ, et al. . Methodological framework for World Health Organization estimates of the global burden of foodborne disease. PLoS One 2015; 10:e0142498.
    1. Crump JA, Ram PK, Gupta SK, Miller MA, Mintz ED. Analysis of data gaps pertaining to Salmonella enterica serotype Typhi infections in low and medium human development index countries, 1984–2005. Epidemiol Infect 2008; 136:436–48.
    1. Britto C, Pollard AJ, Voysey M, Blohmke CJ. An appraisal of the clinical features of pediatric enteric fever: systematic review and meta-analysis of the age-stratified disease occurrence. Clin Infect Dis 2017; 64:1604–11.
    1. Hald T, Aspinall W, Devleesschauwer B, et al. . World Health Organization estimates of the relative contributions of food to the burden of disease due to selected foodborne hazards: a structured expert elicitation. PLoS One 2016; 11:e0145839.
    1. Metcalf CJ, Farrar J, Cutts FT, et al. . Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease. Lancet 2016; 388:728–30.

Source: PubMed

Подписаться