Increasing prevalence of knee pain and symptomatic knee osteoarthritis: survey and cohort data

Abstract

Background: A recent surge in knee replacements is assumed to be due to aging and increased obesity of the U.S. population.

Objective: To assess whether age, obesity, and change in radiographic knee osteoarthritis explain the trend in knee pain and osteoarthritis.

Design: Cross-sectional, using data from 6 NHANES (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey) surveys between 1971 and 2004 and from 3 examination periods in the FOA (Framingham Osteoarthritis) Study between 1983 through 2005.

Setting: U.S. population.

Participants: NHANES participants (white or African American; aged 60 to 74 years) and FOA Study participants (mostly white; aged ≥70 years) were included.

Measurements: NHANES participants were asked about pain in or around the knee on most days. In the FOA Study, participants were asked about knee pain and had bilateral weight-bearing anteroposterior knee radiography to define radiographic knee osteoarthritis. Radiographic evidence and self-reported pain were used to define symptomatic knee osteoarthritis. The age- and age- and body mass index (BMI)-adjusted prevalences of knee pain and osteoarthritis at later examinations were compared with that of earlier examinations by using the ratio of the prevalence estimates.

Results: Age- and BMI-adjusted prevalence of knee pain increased by about 65% in NHANES from 1974 to 1994 among non-Hispanic white and Mexican American men and women and among African American women. In the FOA Study, the age- and BMI-adjusted prevalence of knee pain and symptomatic knee osteoarthritis approximately doubled in women and tripled in men over 20 years. No such trend was observed in the prevalence of radiographic knee osteoarthritis in FOA Study participants. After age adjustment, additional adjustment for BMI resulted in a 10% to 25% decrease in the prevalence ratios for knee pain and symptomatic knee osteoarthritis.

Limitations: Differences in sampling of FOA Study participants over time or birth cohort effects cannot be ruled out as possible explanations of the increased reporting of knee pain. Increases in prevalence at the last interval in the FOA Study might be due to differences in cohort membership by interval.

Conclusion: Results suggest that the prevalence of knee pain has increased substantially over 20 years, independent of age and BMI. Obesity accounted for only part of this increase. Symptomatic knee osteoarthritis increased but radiographic knee osteoarthritis did not.

Primary funding source: American College of Rheumatology Research and Education Foundation and National Institutes of Health. The FOA Study was funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (for the parent Framingham Heart Study), National Institute on Aging, and National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases (FOA Study), National Institutes of Health.

Conflict of interest statement

The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

Figures

Figure 1

Sampling weighted and age and BMI-adjusted prevalence, along with 95% Confidence Intervals, of Knee Pain for Non-Hispanic White & Mexican American Participants across 6 NHANES surveys between 1971 and 2004. Solid line is for female and broken line for males. Test for trend from 1974 to 1994 in men (p = 0.003) and women (p = 0.002). Test for trend from 1999 to 2004 in men (p = 0.090) and women (p = 0.012). The corresponding age and BMI-adjusted prevalence of knee pain in African American men from 1974 to 1994, was 12.6%, 10.7%, and 15.6%; p-trend=0.35. The corresponding prevalence in women over the first three NHANES was 16.7%, 22.0%, and 28.7%; p-trend=0.037. For the subsequent three continuous NHANES, prevalence of knee pain for men was 7.9%, 16.6%, and 18.6%; p-trend=0.22. The corresponding prevalence of knee pain in women over the later three NHANES was 13.8%, 22.2%, and 29.9%; p-trend=0.003.

Figure 2

Age and BMI-adjusted prevalence and 95% Confidence Intervals of Knee Pain for Framingham OA Study across 3 examination periods between 1983 and 2005. Solid line is for female and broken line for males. Test for trend in men (p

Figure 3

Age and BMI-adjusted prevalence and 95% Confidence Intervals of Radiographic and Symptomatic knee OA across 3 examination periods between 1983 and 2005. ROA, radiographic osteoarthritis of the knee (Kellgren-Lawrence score ≥ 2); test for trend from 1983–2005 in men (p = 0.82) and women (p = 0.036). SxOA: symptomatic osteoarthritis of the knee (knee pain in the ROA knee); test for trend from 1983–2005 in men (p