Comparing cure rates for gemtuzumab ozogamicin plus standard chemotherapy vs standard chemotherapy alone in acute myeloid leukemia patients

Abstract

Aim: Assess the suitability of standard parametric, piecewise and mixture cure models (MCMs) for modeling long-term survival of acute myeloid leukemia patients achieving remission following treatment with gemtuzumab ozogamicin (GO) + standard chemotherapy (SC) or SC alone. MCMs can model survival data comprising of statistically cured (patients in long-term remission) and uncured patients. Materials & methods: Models were fit to patient-level data corresponding to individual treatment arms. Results: Visual inspection showed that MCMs fit the clinical data best. Survival modeling with MCMs showed that treatment with GO + SC versus SC alone results in higher statistical cure rates for event-free survival (rates: 26-35% vs 21-23%) and overall survival (rates: 48-52% vs 38-44%). Conclusion: MCMs are well suited to modeling long-term survival in acute myeloid leukemia patients. Clinical trial registration: NCT00927498 (ClinicalTrials.gov).

Keywords: acute myeloid leukemia; cure rate; gemtuzumab ozogamicin; mixture cure models; piecewise model; standard parametric model; survival analysis.