Clinical and Economic Impact of a Digital, Remotely-Delivered Intensive Behavioral Counseling Program on Medicare Beneficiaries at Risk for Diabetes and Cardiovascular Disease

Abstract

Background: Type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease impose substantial clinical and economic burdens for seniors (age 65 and above) and the Medicare program. Intensive Behavioral Counseling (IBC) interventions like the National Diabetes Prevention Program (NDPP), have demonstrated effectiveness in reducing excess body weight and lowering or delaying morbidity onset. This paper estimated the potential health implications and medical savings of a digital version of IBC modeled after the NDPP.

Methods and findings: Participants in this digital IBC intervention, the Omada program, include 1,121 overweight or obese seniors with additional risk factors for diabetes or heart disease. Weight changes were objectively measured via participant use of a networked weight scale. Participants averaged 6.8% reduction in body weight within 26 weeks, and 89% of participants completed 9 or more of the 16 core phase lessons. We used a Markov-based microsimulation model to simulate the impact of weight loss on future health states and medical expenditures over 10 years. Cumulative per capita medical expenditure savings over 3, 5 and 10 years ranged from $1,720 to 1,770 (3 years), $3,840 to $4,240 (5 years) and $11,550 to $14,200 (10 years). The range reflects assumptions of weight re-gain similar to that seen in the DPP clinical trial (lower bound) or minimal weight re-gain aligned with age-adjusted national averages (upper bound). The estimated net economic benefit after IBC costs is $10,250 to $12,840 cumulative over 10 years. Simulation outcomes suggest reduced incidence of diabetes by 27-41% for participants with prediabetes, and stroke by approximately 15% over 5 years.

Conclusions: A digital, remotely-delivered IBC program can help seniors at risk for diabetes and cardiovascular disease achieve significant weight loss, reduces risk for diabetes and cardiovascular disease, and achieve meaningful medical cost savings. These findings affirm recommendations for IBC coverage by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force.

Conflict of interest statement

This study is sponsored by Omada Health, Inc. M.P. and C.M.C.S. are employees of the study sponsor. F.C., W.S., T.M.D., and S.H.B. provide paid consulting services to the study sponsor for this and other research. A.L.P. is a scientific advisor to the study sponsor and receives stock options from the study sponsor. This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.

Figures

Fig 1. Model Overview Diagram.

Fig 2. Projected Average Return On Investment of Population with Prediabetes On Digital Intensive Behavioral Counseling Program Participation.

Fig 3. Projected Average Return On Investment of CVD Risk Factor Population On Digital Intensive Behavioral Counseling Program Participation.

Fig 4. Projected 10-Year Cumulative Health Expenditures, Digital Intensive Behavioral Counseling Program.