Systemic treatments for eczema: a network meta-analysis

Ratree Sawangjit, Piyameth Dilokthornsakul, Antonia Lloyd-Lavery, Nai Ming Lai, Robert Dellavalle, Nathorn Chaiyakunapruk, Ratree Sawangjit, Piyameth Dilokthornsakul, Antonia Lloyd-Lavery, Nai Ming Lai, Robert Dellavalle, Nathorn Chaiyakunapruk

Abstract

Background: Eczema is a common and chronic, relapsing, inflammatory skin disorder. It seriously impacts quality of life and economic outcomes, especially for those with moderate to severe eczema. Various treatments allow sustained control of the disease; however, their relative benefit remains unclear due to the limited number of trials directly comparing treatments.

Objectives: To assess the comparative efficacy and safety of different types of systemic immunosuppressive treatments for moderate to severe eczema using NMA and to generate rankings of available systemic immunosuppressive treatments for eczema according to their efficacy and safety.

Search methods: We searched the following databases up to August 2019: the Cochrane Skin Specialised Register, CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and Embase.

Selection criteria: All randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of systemic immunosuppressive agents for moderate to severe atopic eczema when compared against placebo or any other eligible eczema treatment.

Data collection and analysis: We synthesised data using pair-wise analysis and NMA to compare treatments and rank them according to their effectiveness. Effectiveness was assessed primarily by determining the proportion of participants who achieved at least 75% improvement in the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI75) and improvement in the Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure (POEM). Safety was evaluated primarily by considering the proportion of participants with serious adverse events (SAEs) and infection. We deemed short-term follow-up as ≤ 16 weeks and long-term follow-up as > 16 weeks. We assessed the certainty of the body of evidence from the NMA for these primary outcomes using six domains of CiNEMA grading.

Main results: We included a total of 74 studies, with 8177 randomised participants. Approximately 55% of participants were male, with average age of 32 years (range 2 to 84 years), although age and gender were unreported for 419 and 902 participants, respectively. Most of the included trials were placebo controlled (65%), 34% were head-to-head studies (15% assessed the effects of different doses of the same drug), and 1% were multi-armed studies with both an active comparator and a placebo. All trials included participants with moderate to severe eczema, but 62% of studies did not separate data by severity; 38% of studies assessed only severe eczema. The total duration of included trials ranged from 2 weeks to 60 months, whereas treatment duration varied from a single dose (CIM331, KPL-716) to 60 months (methotrexate (MTX)). Seventy studies were available for quantitative synthesis; this review assessed 29 immunosuppressive agents from three classes of interventions. These included (1) conventional treatments, with ciclosporin assessed most commonly; (2) small molecule treatments, including phosphodiesterase (PDE)-4 inhibitors, tyrosine kinase inhibitors, and Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitors; and (3) biological treatments, including anti-CD31 receptors, anti-interleukin (IL)-22, anti-IL-31, anti-IL-13, anti-IL-12/23p40, anti-OX40, anti-TSLP, anti-CRTH2, and anti-immunoglobulin E (IgE) monoclonal antibodies, but most commonly dupilumab. Most trials (73) assessed outcomes at a short-term duration ranging from 2 to 16 weeks, whereas 33 trials assessed long-term outcomes, with duration ranging from 5 to 60 months. All participants were from a hospital setting. Fifty-two studies declared a source of funding, and of these, pharmaceutical companies funded 88%. We rated 37 studies as high risk; 21, unclear risk, and 16, low risk of bias, with studies most commonly at high risk of attrition bias. Network meta-analysis suggests that dupilumab ranks first for effectiveness when compared with other biological treatments. Dupilumab is more effective than placebo in achieving EASI75 (risk ratio (RR) 3.04, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.51 to 3.69) and improvement in POEM score (mean difference 7.30, 95% CI 6.61 to 8.00) at short-term follow-up (high-certainty evidence). Very low-certainty evidence means we are uncertain of the effects of dupilumab when compared with placebo, in terms of the proportion of participants who achieve EASI75 (RR 2.59, 95% CI 1.87 to 3.60) at longer-term follow-up. Low-certainty evidence indicates that tralokinumab may be more effective than placebo in achieving short-term EASI75 (RR 2.54, 95% CI 1.21 to 5.34), but there was no evidence for tralokinumab to allow us to assess short-term follow-up of POEM or long-term follow-up of EASI75. We are uncertain of the effect of ustekinumab compared with placebo in achieving EASI75 (long-term follow-up: RR 1.17, 95% CI 0.40 to 3.45; short-term follow-up: RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.28 to 2.97; both very low certainty). We found no evidence on ustekinumab for the POEM outcome. We are uncertain whether other immunosuppressive agents that targeted our key outcomes influence the achievement of short-term EASI75 compared with placebo due to low- or very low-certainty evidence. Dupilumab and ustekinumab were the only immunosuppressive agents evaluated for longer-term EASI75. Dupilumab was the only agent evaluated for improvement in POEM during short-term follow-up. Low- to moderate-certainty evidence indicates a lower proportion of participants with SAEs after treatment with QAW039 and dupilumab compared to placebo during short-term follow-up, but low- to very low-certainty evidence suggests no difference in SAEs during short-term follow-up of other immunosuppressive agents compared to placebo. Evidence for effects of immunosuppressive agents on risk of any infection during short-term follow-up and SAEs during long-term follow-up compared with placebo was of low or very low certainty but did not indicate a difference. We did not identify differences in other adverse events (AEs), but dupilumab is associated with specific AEs, including eye inflammation and eosinophilia.

Authors' conclusions: Our findings indicate that dupilumab is the most effective biological treatment for eczema. Compared to placebo, dupilumab reduces eczema signs and symptoms in the short term for people with moderate to severe atopic eczema. Short-term safety outcomes from clinical trials did not reveal new safety concerns with dupilumab. Overall, evidence for the efficacy of most other immunosuppressive treatments for moderate to severe atopic eczema is of low or very low certainty. Given the lack of data comparing conventional with newer biological treatments for the primary outcomes, there remains high uncertainty for ranking the efficacy and safety of conventional treatments such as ciclosporin and biological treatments such as dupilumab. Most studies were placebo-controlled and assessed only short-term efficacy of immunosuppressive agents. Further adequately powered head-to-head RCTs should evaluate comparative long-term efficacy and safety of available treatments for moderate to severe eczema.

Conflict of interest statement

Ratree Sawangjit: none declared. Piyameth Dilokthornsakul: none declared. Antonia Lloyd‐Lavery: none declared. Nai Ming Lai: none declared. Robert Dellavalle: serves as Cochrane Skin Joint Co‐ordinating Editor (starting 15 January 2018). He receives an editorial stipend for serving as Social Media Editor and reimbursement for annual editorial board meeting expenses from the Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology, an editorial stipend from the Journal of Investigative Dermatology for serving as Podcast Editor, and reimbursement for travel to the Dermatology Foundation annual grant review meeting, where he serves as a grant reviewer. He receives royalties from UpToDate, for which he serves as a dermatology section editor. He has served as the principal investigator on independent grants from Pfizer Pharmaceuticals to the University of Colorado, which develops patient decision aids for dermatological diseases. Nathorn Chaiyakunapruk: none declared.

Copyright © 2020 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Figures

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Network plot for all primary outcomes. The size of the nodes is proportionate to the total number of participants allocated to each intervention, and the thickness of the lines is proportionate to the number of studies evaluating each direct comparison. Colours of nodes are proportionate to the number of studies with average risk of bias. Red, yellow, and green colours represent high, unclear, and low risk of bias. AZA: azathioprine; CsA: cyclosporin A; CsAI: cyclosporin A increased regimen (initial dose 3 mg/kg/d, then increased to 5 mg/kg/d); EASI75: improvement of 75% in Eczema Area and Severity Index; MTX: methotrexate; PF: PF‐04965842 (Abrocitinib); POEM: Patient‐Oriented Eczema Measure; SAEs: serious adverse events; steroids: corticosteroids.
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Study flow diagram.
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Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.
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Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.
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Direct effects of main analysis of short‐term EASI75. Main analysis of direct summary effects of all comparisons for achieving improvement of 75% on the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI75) during short‐term follow‐up.
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Sensitivity analysis including only studies with low risk of bias for direct effects of EASI75. Sensitivity analysis including only studies with low risk of bias of direct summary effects of all comparisons for achieving improvement of 75% on the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI75) during short‐term follow‐up.
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Sensitivity analysis excluding studies with small sample size for direct effects of EASI75. Sensitivity analysis including only studies with low risk of bias of direct summary effects of all comparisons for achieving improvement of 75% on the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI75) during short‐term follow‐up.
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Direct effects of long‐term EASI75. Direct summary effects of all comparisons for achieving improvement of 75% on the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI75) during long‐term follow‐up.
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Direct effects of short‐term POEM. Direct summary effects of all comparisons for Patient‐Oriented Eczema Measure score (POEM) during short‐term follow‐up. AZA: azathioprine; MTX: methotrexate.
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Direct effects of short‐term SAEs. Direct summary effects of all comparisons for the number of serious adverse events (SAEs) during short‐term follow‐up. CsA: cyclosporin A; CsAI: cyclosporin A increased regimen (initial dose 3 mg/kg/d, then increased to 5 mg/kg/d); PF: PF‐04965842 (abrocitinib); steroids: corticosteroids.
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Direct effects of long‐term SAEs. Direct summary effects of all comparisons for the number of serious adverse events (SAEs) during long‐term follow‐up.CsA: cyclosporin A; MTX: methotrexate.
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Direct effects of short‐term infections. Direct summary effects of all comparisons for the number of infections during short‐term follow‐up. AZA: azathioprine; CsA: cyclosporin A; CsAI: cyclosporin A increased regimen (initial dose 3 mg/kg/d, then increased to 5 mg/kg/d); MTX: methotrexate; steroids: corticosteroids.
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League tablespresent main and sensitivity analyses for EASI75 outcomes during short‐term follow‐up. Relative effects of systemic interventions as estimated from the network meta‐analysis for achieving improvement of 75% on the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI75) during short‐term follow‐up; a. Main analysis, b. Sensitivity analysis including only studies with low risk of bias, c. Sensitivity analysis excluding studies with small sample size. Interventions are ordered by the names of interventions. Results are the risk ratios (RRs) (95% confidence intervals (CIs)) from the network meta‐analysis between the column‐defining intervention and the row‐defining intervention. Comparisons should be read from left to right. Numbers in bold and underlined represent statistically significant results.
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Interval plot for main analysis of short‐term EASI75. Network meta‐analysis estimates of systemic interventions versus placebo for achieving improvement of 75% on the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI75) during short‐term follow‐up. Red lines represent prediction intervals.
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Interval plot for sensitivity analysis of short‐term EASI75. Network meta‐analysis estimates of systemic interventions versus placebo for achieving improvement of 75% on the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI75) during short‐term follow‐up. Sensitivity analysis including only studies with low risk of bias and excluding studies with small sample size. Red lines represent prediction intervals.
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Ranking plot for main analysis of short‐term EASI75 and sensitivity analysis. Network meta‐analysis estimates of ranking to be the best among all systemic interventions for achieving improvement of 75% on the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI75) during short‐term follow‐up. a. Main analysis. b. Sensitivity analysis including only studies with low risk of bias. c. Sensitivity analysis excluding studies with small sample size.
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Cluster rank plot between SUCRA for effectiveness and safety. Ranking plot representing simultaneously the efficacy (x‐axis, EASI75 for short‐term measurement) and safety (y‐axis, for short‐term measurement) of all interventions in patients with moderate to severe eczema. Optimal treatment should be characterised by high efficacy and safety and should be seen in the right upper corner of this graph. The different colours represent different groups of interventions showing their performance on both outcomes simultaneously. Interventions belonging to the same group are assumed to have similar performance when the two primary outcomes are considered jointly. SAEs: serious adverse events.
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League tables present primary safety outcomes including SAEs and infections. Relative effects of systemic interventions as estimated from the network meta‐analysis for the number of serious adverse events (SAEs) during short‐term and long‐term follow‐up, and for the number of infections during short‐term follow‐up. Interventions are ordered by the name of interventions. Results are the risk ratios (RRs) (95% confidence intervals; 95% CIs) from the network meta‐analysis between the column‐defining intervention and row‐defining intervention. Comparisons should be read from left to right. Numbers in bold and underlined represent statistically significant results. PF: PF‐04965842 (Abrocitinib); CsA: cyclosporine A; CsAI: cyclosporine A increased regimen (initial dose 3 mg/kg/day then increase to 5 mg/kg/day); MTX: methotrexate; AZA: azathioprine; steroids: corticosteroids.
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Interval plot for short‐term and long‐term SAEs. Network meta‐analysis estimates of systemic interventions versus placebo for the number of serious adverse events (SAEs) during short‐term and long‐term follow‐up. PF: PF‐04965842 (abrocitinib); CsA: cyclosporin A; MTX: methotrexate. Red lines represent prediction intervals.
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Ranking plot for short‐term and long‐term SAEs. Network meta‐analysis estimates of ranking to be the best among all systemic interventions for the number of serious adverse events (SAEs) during short‐term and long‐term follow‐up. CsA: cyclosporin; MTX: methotrexate; PF: PF‐04965842 (abrocitinib).
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Interval plot for short‐term infections. Network meta‐analysis estimates for systemic interventions versus placebo for the number of infections during short‐term and long‐term follow‐up. AZA: azathioprine; CsA: cyclosporin A; CsAI: cyclosporin A increased regimen (initial dose 3 mg/kg/d, then increased to 5 mg/kg/d); MTX: methotrexate; steroids: corticosteroids.
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Ranking plot for short‐term infections. Network meta‐analysis estimates of ranking to be the best among all systemic interventions for infections during short‐term follow‐up. PF: PF‐04965842 (abrocitinib).
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Direct effects of short‐term IGA 0/1. Direct summary effects of all comparisons for the proportions of participants who achieved IGA 0/1 during short‐term follow‐up. ASN: ASN002; AZA: azathioprine; CsA: cyclosporin A; MTX: methotrexate; PF: PF‐04965842 (abrocitinib); steroids: corticosteroids.
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League tablepresents short‐term IGA 0/1. Relative effects of systemic interventions as estimated from the network meta‐analysis for achieving Investigators’ Global Assessment value of 0 (clear) or 1 (almost clear) (IGA 0/1) during short‐term follow‐up. Interventions are ordered by the names of interventions. Results are risk ratios (RRs) (95% confidence intervals (CIs)) from the network meta‐analysis between the column‐defining intervention and the row‐defining intervention. Comparisons should be read from left to right. Numbers in bold and underlined represent statistically significant results. ASN: ASN002; AZA: azathioprine; CsA: cyclosporin A; CsAI: cyclosporin A increased regimen (initial dose 3 mg/kg/d, then increased to 5 mg/kg/d); MTX: methotrexate; PF: PF‐04965842 (abrocitinib); steroids: corticosteroids.
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Ranking plot for short‐term IGA 0/1. Network meta‐analysis estimates of ranking to be the best among all systemic interventions for IGA 0/1 during short‐term follow‐up. AZA: azathioprine; CsA: cyclosporin A; CsAI: cyclosporin A increased regimen (initial dose 3 mg/kg/d, then increased to 5 mg/kg/d); MTX: methotrexate; PF: PF‐04965842 (abrocitinib); steroids: corticosteroids.
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Funnel plot for all primary outcomes. Publication bias test using funnel plot for network meta‐analysis of all primary outcomes.
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Network plot for subgroup analysis of all primary outcomes at short‐term and long‐term follow‐up. The size of the nodes is proportionate to the total number of participants allocated to each intervention, and the thickness of the lines is proportionate to the number of studies evaluating each direct comparison. CsA: cyclosporin A; EASI75: achieving improvement of 75% on the Eczema Area and Severity Index; MTX: methotrexate; POEM: Patient‐Oriented Eczema Measure score; SAEs: serious adverse events; a. Subgroup analysis of EASI75 during short‐term follow‐up. b. Subgroup analysis of EASI75 during long‐term follow‐up. c. Subgroup analysis of POEM scores during short‐term follow‐up. d. Subgroup analysis of SAEs during short‐term follow‐up. e. Subgroup analysis of infections during short‐term follow‐up. f. Subgroup analysis of SAEs during long‐term follow‐up.
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League tablespresent subgroup analysis of short‐term EASI75. Relative effects of systemic interventions as estimated from the network meta‐analysis for achieving improvement of 75% on the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI75) during short‐term follow‐up. Interventions are ordered by the names of interventions. Results are the risk ratios (RRs) (95% confidence intervals (CIs)) from the network meta‐analysis between the column‐defining intervention and the row‐defining intervention. Comparisons should be read from left to right.
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League tablefor subgroup analysis of short‐term SAEs. Relative effects of systemic interventions as estimated from the network meta‐analysis for the number of serious adverse events (SAEs) during short‐term and long‐term follow‐up, and for the number of infections during short‐term follow‐up. Interventions are ordered by the names of interventions. Results are the risk ratios (RRs) (95% confidence intervals (CIs)) from the network meta‐analysis between the column‐defining intervention and the row‐defining intervention. Comparisons should be read from left to right. PF: PF‐04965842 (abrocitinib).
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League table for subgroup analysis of short‐term infections. Relative effects of systemic interventions as estimated from the network meta‐analysis for the number of infections in short‐term measurements. Interventions are ordered by the names of interventions. Results are the risk ratios (RRs) (95% confidence intervals (CIs)) from the network meta‐analysis between the column‐defining intervention and the row‐defining intervention. Comparisons should be read from left to right.
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League tablefor subgroup analysis of long‐term SAEs. Relative effects of systemic interventions as estimated from the network meta‐analysis for the number of serious adverse events (SAEs) during long‐term follow‐up. Interventions are ordered by the names of the interventions. Results are the risk ratios (RRs) (95% confidence intervals (CIs)) from the network meta‐analysis between the column‐defining intervention and the row‐defining intervention. Comparisons should be read from left to right.
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SUCRA and ranking for subgroup analysis of all primary outcomes. Network meta‐analysis estimates of ranking to be the best among all systemic interventions for all primary outcomes.

Source: PubMed

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