Macro-scale Estimators of Covid-19's Worldwide Cases and Deaths

February 16, 2021 updated by: Dr. Servet Akar

Determination of the Macro Scale Risk Factors in COVID19 Occurrence and Mortality

In this study, investigators try to estimate Covid-19 Cases and Deaths using countrywide annual macro-scale indicators (i.e., estimators) such as non-communicable disease data from WHO (who. int), social and economical indicators from UN (un.org) and Worldbank (worldbank.org), and Covid-19 Cases and Deaths from Worldometer (https://www.worldometers.info).

Study Overview

Status

Unknown

Conditions

Intervention / Treatment

Detailed Description

There are some known risk factors for the emergence and mortality of Covid-19 cases. There are also some regulations and recommendations by healthcare executives and government officers such as wearing masks, social distance, staying at home, lockdowns, and so forth. On the other hand, there could be other social, economic, and health-related factors in the society level that discriminate between countries significantly in terms of having considerable differences regarding both the frequency and mortality of Covid-19. The aim of the present study is to find out these social, economic, and health-related factors that could explain some significant portion of Covid-19 cases and deaths worldwide.

This study involves 171 countries of which required datasets are commonly available in the UN, Worldometer, and WHO. The investigators will obtain macro-scale indicators like non-communicable disease data from WHO (who. int), social and economical indicators from UN (un.org) and Worldbank (worldbank.org), and Covid-19 data from Worldometer (https://www.worldometers.info).

The investigators will conduct statistical data analysis and create predictive models in order to determine indicators. The investigators will also consider that possible different models for explaining Covid-19 Cases and mortality in both common and different estimators could explain the variations in countrywide deaths and cases.

Study Type

Observational

Enrollment (Anticipated)

1790

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

  • Child
  • Adult
  • Older Adult

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Genders Eligible for Study

All

Sampling Method

Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

COVID19 cases

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • All recorded cases by the authority

Exclusion Criteria:

  • None

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Occurence
Time Frame: december 2020
The frequency of infection according to publicly available data
december 2020

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Mortality
Time Frame: december 2020
The mortality of infection according to publicly available data
december 2020

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Sponsor

Dr. Servet Akar

Collaborators

Hacettepe University
Dokuz Eylul University

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Anticipated)

March 1, 2021

Primary Completion (Anticipated)

June 30, 2021

Study Completion (Anticipated)

December 31, 2021

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

February 16, 2021

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

February 16, 2021

First Posted (Actual)

February 17, 2021

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

February 18, 2021

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

February 16, 2021

Last Verified

February 1, 2021

More Information

Terms related to this study

Additional Relevant MeSH Terms

Other Study ID Numbers

  • KCU_16022021

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

UNDECIDED

IPD Plan Description

During or after publication all the data could be share

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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