Predicting Severe Outcomes Among Children Hospitalized With Community-acquired Pneumonia
Development and Validation of a Risk Score for Predicting Severe Outcomes Among Children Hospitalized With Community-acquired Pneumonia
In this study, investigators aimed to develop and validate a risk score to predict severe outcomes (e.g., mortality and ICU admission) in children who were admitted to the Children's Hospital of Fudan University between 2017 and 2022 due to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). The objectives were as follows.
- Develop a risk prediction model based on demographic, comorbidity, clinical characteristics, laboratory data, and chest radiographic reports to predict severe outcomes among children hospitalized with CAP;
- Develop a risk scoring system and determine the cut-off point;
- Externally validate the easy-to-use risk score.
Study Overview
Status
Status
Conditions
Conditions
Intervention / Treatment
Intervention / Treatment
Study Type
Study Type
Enrollment (Actual)
Enrollment
Contacts and Locations
Study Locations
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Shanghai
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Shanghai, Shanghai, China, 201102
- Children's Hospital of Fudan University
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Participation Criteria
Eligibility Criteria
Eligibility Criteria
Ages Eligible for Study
Accepts Healthy Volunteers
Genders Eligible for Study
Sampling Method
Study Population
Description
Inclusion Criteria:
- Aged between 29 days and 18 years old;
- Admitted to hospital with signs or symptoms of acute infection (eg, fever) and acute respiratory illness (eg, cough), and radiographic evidence of pneumonia.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Pneumonia developed 48 hours after admission or intubation;
- Chronic pneumonia, tuberculosis, tracheobronchial foreign bodies, aspiration pneumonia, parasitic lung disease, and diffuse pulmonary interstitial/parenchyma disease.
Study Plan
How is the study designed?
Design Details
Number of groups / cohorts
Cohorts and Interventions
Group / CohortGroup / Cohort |
Intervention / TreatmentIntervention / Treatment |
|---|---|
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children hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia
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epidemiological data (e.g., age, sex, and residential area), clinical characteristics (e.g., fever, cough, and wheeze), laboratory data (e.g., white blood cell, c-reaction protein, and procalcitonin), and chest radiographic reports (e.g., X-ray, CT, and ultrasound)
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What is the study measuring?
Primary Outcome Measures
Primary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
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in-hospital mortality
Time Frame: from admission to discharge, an average of 7 days
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in-hospital mortality among children hospitalized with CAP
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from admission to discharge, an average of 7 days
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Secondary Outcome Measures
Secondary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
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admission to ICU
Time Frame: from admission to discharge, an average of 7 days
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admission to a intensive care unit for over 24 hours
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from admission to discharge, an average of 7 days
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septic shock
Time Frame: from admission to discharge, an average of 7 days
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occurrence of septic shock during admission
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from admission to discharge, an average of 7 days
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treatment for severe pneumonia
Time Frame: from admission to discharge, an average of 7 days
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vasoactive agents, positive-pressure ventilation or chest drainage, or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation
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from admission to discharge, an average of 7 days
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Collaborators and Investigators
Sponsor
Sponsor
Publications and helpful links
General Publications
- Riley RD, Ensor J, Snell KIE, Harrell FE Jr, Martin GP, Reitsma JB, Moons KGM, Collins G, van Smeden M. Calculating the sample size required for developing a clinical prediction model. BMJ. 2020 Mar 18;368:m441. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m441. No abstract available.
- Tseng CC, Tu CY, Chen CH, Wang YT, Chen WC, Fu PK, Chen CM, Lai CC, Kuo LK, Ku SC, Fang WF. Significance of the Modified NUTRIC Score for Predicting Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Severe Community-Acquired Pneumonia. Nutrients. 2021 Dec 31;14(1):198. doi: 10.3390/nu14010198.
- Florin TA, Ambroggio L, Brokamp C, Zhang Y, Rattan M, Crotty E, Belsky MA, Krueger S, Epperson TN 4th, Kachelmeyer A, Ruddy R, Shah SS. Biomarkers and Disease Severity in Children With Community-Acquired Pneumonia. Pediatrics. 2020 Jun;145(6):e20193728. doi: 10.1542/peds.2019-3728. Epub 2020 May 13. Erratum In: Pediatrics. 2020 Sep;146(3):
- Jain S, Williams DJ, Arnold SR, Ampofo K, Bramley AM, Reed C, Stockmann C, Anderson EJ, Grijalva CG, Self WH, Zhu Y, Patel A, Hymas W, Chappell JD, Kaufman RA, Kan JH, Dansie D, Lenny N, Hillyard DR, Haynes LM, Levine M, Lindstrom S, Winchell JM, Katz JM, Erdman D, Schneider E, Hicks LA, Wunderink RG, Edwards KM, Pavia AT, McCullers JA, Finelli L; CDC EPIC Study Team. Community-acquired pneumonia requiring hospitalization among U.S. children. N Engl J Med. 2015 Feb 26;372(9):835-45. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1405870.
- Florin TA, Ambroggio L, Lorenz D, Kachelmeyer A, Ruddy RM, Kuppermann N, Shah SS. Development and Internal Validation of a Prediction Model to Risk Stratify Children With Suspected Community-Acquired Pneumonia. Clin Infect Dis. 2021 Nov 2;73(9):e2713-e2721. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciaa1690.
Study record dates
Study Major Dates
Study Start (Actual)
Study Start
Primary Completion (Actual)
Primary Completion
Study Completion (Actual)
Study Completion
Study Registration Dates
First Submitted
First Submitted
First Submitted That Met QC Criteria
First Submitted That Met QC Criteria
First Posted (Estimate)
First Posted
Study Record Updates
Last Update Posted (Estimate)
Last Update Posted
Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria
Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria
Last Verified
Last Verified
More Information
Terms related to this study
Additional Relevant MeSH Terms
Other Study ID Numbers
Other Study ID Numbers
- 20230203
Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)
Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?
Drug and device information, study documents
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product
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