Interpretable Machine Learning Models for Prognosis in Gastric Cancer Patients

August 9, 2024 updated by: Chang-Ming Huang, Prof.

Development and Validation of Interpretable Machine Learning Models for Prognosis in Gastric Cancer Patients: a Multicenter Retrospective Study

This multicenter, retrospective cohort study aimed to develop and validate an explainable prediction model for prognosis after gastrectomy in patients with gastric cancer.

Study Overview

Status

Status

Indicates the current recruitment status or the expanded access status.
Completed

Conditions

Conditions

The disease, disorder, syndrome, illness, or injury that is being studied. On ClinicalTrials.gov, conditions may also include other health-related issues, such as lifespan, quality of life, and health risks.

Detailed Description

This multicenter, retrospective cohort study aimed to develop and validate an explainable prediction model for prognosis after gastrectomy in patients with gastric cancer. The study included patients who underwent radical gastrectomy for primary gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer across multiple institutions in China.

The primary objective was to create a machine learning-based model to predict postoperative outcomes following gastrectomy, using readily available clinical and pathological parameters. The main outcome of interest was early recurrence within 2 years after surgery, which significantly impacts overall prognosis.

The study employed various machine learning algorithms to develop prediction models, which were then compared and validated. Model performance was assessed through measures such as area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration, and Brier score. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was used to interpret the model and rank feature importance.

This research aims to provide clinicians with a tool for identifying patients at higher risk of poor postoperative outcomes who may benefit from more intensive post-operative monitoring and early intervention strategies, potentially improving prognosis for gastric cancer patients.

Study Type

Study Type

Describes the nature of a clinical study. Study types include interventional studies (also called clinical trials), observational studies (including patient registries), and expanded access.
Observational

Enrollment (Actual)

Enrollment

The number of participants in a clinical study. The "anticipated" enrollment is the target number of participants that the researchers need for the study.
18000

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Locations

  • China
    • Fujian
      • Fuzhou, Fujian, China, 350001
        • Chang-ming Huang

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Eligibility Criteria

The key requirements that people who want to participate in a clinical study must meet or the characteristics they must have. Eligibility criteria consist of both inclusion criteria (which are required for a person to participate in the study) and exclusion criteria (which prevent a person from participating). Types of eligibility criteria include whether a study accepts healthy volunteers, has age or age group requirements, or is limited by sex.

Ages Eligible for Study

  • Child
  • Adult
  • Older Adult

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sampling Method

Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

This study includes adult patients of all genders who were diagnosed with primary gastric or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma and underwent radical gastrectomy at participating institutions in China. The study population represents a diverse group of gastric cancer patients, varying in age, tumor stage, and treatment approaches, including those who received neoadjuvant therapy. This cohort aims to provide a comprehensive representation of gastric cancer patients treated with curative intent, allowing for the development and validation of prognostic models applicable to a wide range of clinical scenarios.

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Patients diagnosed with primary gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer
  • Underwent radical gastrectomy
  • Complete clinical and pathological data available

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Presence of distant metastases before surgery
  • Non-adenocarcinoma histology
  • Incomplete follow-up data

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Primary Outcome Measures

In a clinical study's protocol, the planned outcome measure that is the most important for evaluating the effect of an intervention/treatment. Most clinical studies have one primary outcome measure, but some have more than one.
Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Survival
Time Frame: Up to 5 years after surgery
Assessment of overall survival outcomes in gastric cancer patients after gastrectomy.
Up to 5 years after surgery

Secondary Outcome Measures

Secondary Outcome Measures

In a clinical study's protocol, a planned outcome measure that is not as important as the primary outcome measure for evaluating the effect of an intervention but is still of interest. Most clinical studies have more than one secondary outcome measure.
Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Early Recurrence
Time Frame: Within 2 years after surgery
Incidence of cancer recurrence within 2 years after gastrectomy.
Within 2 years after surgery
Late Recurrence
Time Frame: From 2 years up to 5 years after surgery
Incidence of cancer recurrence occurring more than 2 years after gastrectomy.
From 2 years up to 5 years after surgery
Postoperative Complications
Time Frame: Within 30 days after surgery
Incidence and severity of complications following gastrectomy.
Within 30 days after surgery
Neoadjuvant Treatment Efficacy
Time Frame: From initiation of neoadjuvant therapy to surgery (typically 2-3 months)
Assessment of tumor response to neoadjuvant therapy before gastrectomy.
From initiation of neoadjuvant therapy to surgery (typically 2-3 months)
5-Year Survival Rate
Time Frame: 5 years after surgery
Percentage of patients alive 5 years after gastrectomy.
5 years after surgery

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Sponsor

Sponsor

The organization or person who initiates the study and who has authority and control over the study.
Chang-Ming Huang, Prof.

Investigators

Investigators

A researcher involved in a clinical study. Related terms include site principal investigator, site sub-investigator, study chair, study director, and study principal investigator.
  • Principal Investigator: Chang-Ming Huang, MD, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

Study Start

The actual date on which the first participant was enrolled in a clinical study. The "anticipated" study start date is the date that the researchers think will be the study start date.
June 1, 2024

Primary Completion (Actual)

Primary Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention to collect final data for the primary outcome measure. Whether the clinical study ended according to the protocol or was terminated does not affect this date. For clinical studies with more than one primary outcome measure with different completion dates, this term refers to the date on which data collection is completed for all the primary outcome measures. The "anticipated" primary completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the primary completion date for the study.
August 1, 2024

Study Completion (Actual)

Study Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention/treatment to collect final data for the primary outcome measures, secondary outcome measures, and adverse events (that is, the last participant's last visit). The "anticipated" study completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the study completion date.
August 6, 2024

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

First Submitted

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submitted a study record to ClinicalTrials.gov. There is typically a delay of a few days between the first submitted date and the record's availability on ClinicalTrials.gov (the first posted date).
August 6, 2024

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submits a study record that is consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. The sponsor or investigator may need to revise and submit a study record one or more times before NLM's QC review criteria are met. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
August 9, 2024

First Posted (Actual)

First Posted

The date on which the study record was first available on ClinicalTrials.gov after National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review has concluded. There is typically a delay of a few days between the date the study sponsor or investigator submitted the study record and the first posted date.
August 12, 2024

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

Last Update Posted

The most recent date on which changes to a study record were made available on ClinicalTrials.gov. There may be a delay between when the changes were submitted to ClinicalTrials.gov by the study's sponsor or investigator (the last update submitted date) and the last update posted date.
August 12, 2024

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator submitted changes to a study record that are consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
August 9, 2024

Last Verified

Last Verified

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator confirmed the information about a clinical study on ClinicalTrials.gov as accurate and current. If a study with a recruitment status of recruiting; not yet recruiting; or active, not recruiting has not been confirmed within the past 2 years, the study's recruitment status is shown as unknown.
August 1, 2024

More Information

Terms related to this study

Keywords

Additional Relevant MeSH Terms

Other Study ID Numbers

Other Study ID Numbers

Identifiers or ID numbers other than the NCT number that are assigned to a clinical study by the study's sponsor, funders, or others. These numbers may include unique identifiers from other trial registries and National Institutes of Health grant numbers.
  • 2024KY154

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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