TRISS as a Predictor of Trauma Patient Outcomes (TRISS/ER)
Prospective Validation of the Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) for Predicting Mortality and Major Outcomes: Bridging the Regional Evidence Gap in Trauma Outcomes Prediction From Iraq
The goal of this prospective observational study is to evaluate the predictive utility of the Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) in determining patient outcomes, including survival and mortality, among trauma patients admitted to the trauma and emergency department of Kadhimiya Educational Hospital, Iraq.
The main questions it aims to answer are:
How accurately does TRISS predict survival and mortality outcomes in trauma patients? What is the performance of TRISS in predicting secondary outcomes, such as the need for intensive care, surgical interventions, and length of hospital stay?
Participants will:
Be assessed using the TRISS score upon their admission to the emergency department.
Have their clinical outcomes, including survival, need for intensive care, surgery, and hospital stay, monitored throughout their hospitalization.
Study Overview
Status
Status
Conditions
Conditions
Detailed Description
Trauma is a significant cause of mortality and morbidity around the world. Approximately 10% of the burden of disease in adults is due to traumatic injuries. Trauma can lead to serious consequences, including disabilities, psychosocial burdens, and increased mortality among the actively working population. Cardiopulmonary arrest, unplanned admissions to intensive care units, and nosocomial infections are some complications faced by trauma patients admitted to trauma centers. The estimated mortality rate for hospitalized trauma patients is 11%. The in-hospital mortality rate for trauma patients who undergo cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) is 92.7%. Trauma-related mortality and morbidity depend on injury severity, diagnostic delays, and the time taken to reach a medical facility.Timely evaluation, effective post-trauma care, and appropriate triage can significantly reduce long-term mortality and morbidity among trauma patients, with rapid assessment of trauma severity being crucial for the primary triage of multiple trauma patients.
Trauma scoring systems are valuable tools for quickly assessing the severity of injuries and predicting patient outcomes. By utilizing these scoring systems, healthcare providers can enhance the organization of trauma patient triage, optimize resource allocation, and conduct immediate evaluations of potential complications. Several scoring systems have been developed to assess trauma cases. These trauma scores are classified into three categories: anatomical (such as the Abbreviated Injury Scale and Injury Severity Score), physiological (like the Revised Trauma Score), and combined (such as the Trauma and Injury Severity Score). Physiological scores can be determined during the initial clinical assessment of the patient, while anatomical scoring can be performed later after the patient has been stabilized. This makes it easier to stratify trauma patients effectively. On the other hand, combined scores that include both anatomical and physiological criteria are more useful for patient prognosis. One such combined score is the Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS), which was designed by the Major Trauma Outcome Study (MTOS) in the United States to predict the outcome in polytrauma patients and includes the Injury Severity Score (ISS) and Revised Trauma Score (RTS).
Trauma is thus now a significant health challenge in Iraq. Through the long fight in Iraq, more and more people are experiencing violence-related injuries, such as from firearms and attacks. The work also demonstrates that violence is one of the primary determinants of public health because it leads to complications with injuries and the psychological development of the survivors in the course of their lives. The Iraqi healthcare system has documented a significant rise in RTAs (road traffic accidents), particularly since the escalation of conflict around 2013. Trauma care system is not well established, and few protocols are followed clinically, and no scientific method is well established to predict the outcome in trauma patients in Iraq. This is made worse by scarce resources, inadequate staffing and educational preparedness of medical personnel, and the overall lack of formalized trauma registry databases that could well monitor patient results. In the Iraqi context, only a few studies have demonstrated the use of different trauma scores to predict outcomes in patients with trauma.
There is a significant research gap regarding the use of trauma scoring systems, especially TRISS, in Iraq. Most studies focus on descriptive outcomes rather than evaluating global trauma scores in the unique Iraqi context. Resource limitations, inconsistent pre-hospital care, and conflict-related injuries complicate the application of these systems. The lack of standardized trauma registries and data collection further limits the ability to improve trauma care and emergency services in Iraq.
Study Type
Study Type
Enrollment (Actual)
Enrollment
Contacts and Locations
Study Contact
Study Contact
- Name: Luma K Mohammed, MBChB,FIBMS/CM
- Phone Number: +964770225676
- Email: lumakmohammed@nahrainuniv.edu.iq
Study Contact Backup
- Name: Abdulilh R. Khamis
- Phone Number: +9647838571013
- Email: allaabed987@ced.nahrainuniv.edu.iq
Study Locations
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-
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Baghdad, Iraq, 10001
- College of Medicine - Al-Nahrain University
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-
Participation Criteria
Eligibility Criteria
Eligibility Criteria
Ages Eligible for Study
- Adult
- Older Adult
Accepts Healthy Volunteers
Sampling Method
Study Population
The study population will consist of trauma patients presenting to the Emergency Department of Al-Kadhmia Teaching Hospital during the study period. These patients represent a diverse demographic and clinical profile, encompassing individuals with varying injury mechanisms, severities, and outcomes.
The study specifically targets patients for whom trauma scoring systems, including the Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS), can be applied reliably. This includes both blunt and penetrating trauma cases.
Description
Inclusion Criteria:
- Trauma patients admitted to the emergency department of Al-Kadhimiya Teaching Hospital.
- Patients with adequate documentation of physiological and anatomical data are required for TRISS calculation.
- Trauma scoring (TRISS) completed within the first 6 hours of hospital arrival to ensure timely assessment.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Patients under 18 years, pregnant women, or those with conditions that alter standard trauma scoring or management.
- Non-trauma cases (e.g., medical emergencies, terminal illnesses) to ensure focus on trauma-specific outcomes.
- Patients with incomplete or missing data required for TRISS calculation.
- Patients declared dead on arrival or those not treated in the trauma and emergency department.
- Individuals refusing participation or withdrawing consent at any stage of the study.
- Patients transferred to or from another facility or enrolled in other studies that might affect scoring accuracy or outcomes.
Study Plan
How is the study designed?
Design Details
What is the study measuring?
Primary Outcome Measures
Primary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
|
Accuracy Assessment of TRISS in Predicting In-Hospital Mortality
Time Frame: From admission to hospital discharge or death, up to 30 days.
|
This outcome evaluates the ability of the Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS), which generates a probability of survival ranging from 0% to 100%, to predict in-hospital mortality among trauma patients.
Lower TRISS survival probabilities are expected to correlate with increased observed mortality.
|
From admission to hospital discharge or death, up to 30 days.
|
|
Accuracy Assessment of TRISS in Predicting the Need for Intervention
Time Frame: From admission to hospital discharge or death, up to 30 days.
|
This outcome examines the predictive value of TRISS (range: 0-100% survival probability) in determining the likelihood of trauma patients requiring major interventions (such as surgical procedures, blood transfusion, or invasive monitoring).
Lower TRISS survival probabilities are expected to correlate with increased intervention requirements.
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From admission to hospital discharge or death, up to 30 days.
|
|
Accuracy Assessment of TRISS in Predicting the Need for Endotracheal Intubation
Time Frame: From emergency department admission to intubation, discharge, or in-hospital death, up to 30 days.
|
This outcome assesses the predictive performance of TRISS (range: 0-100% survival probability) in identifying trauma patients requiring endotracheal intubation during hospitalization.
Lower TRISS survival probabilities are expected to be associated with an increased likelihood of intubation.
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From emergency department admission to intubation, discharge, or in-hospital death, up to 30 days.
|
|
Accuracy Assessment of TRISS in Predicting Length of Hospitalization
Time Frame: From hospital admission to discharge, up to 30 days.
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This outcome evaluates the ability of TRISS (range: 0-100% survival probability) to predict hospitalization duration.
Patients with higher TRISS survival probabilities are expected to have shorter hospital stays, while those with lower probabilities are more likely to require prolonged hospitalization.
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From hospital admission to discharge, up to 30 days.
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Secondary Outcome Measures
Secondary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
|
Length of Hospitalization
Time Frame: Up to discharge, an average of 7-10 days
|
The total duration of a patient's stay in the hospital, measured from the date of admission to the date of discharge.
This includes all days spent in general wards, intensive care units (ICU), and other hospital departments as part of their treatment course.
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Up to discharge, an average of 7-10 days
|
|
Number of Participants Requiring ICU Admission
Time Frame: Up to discharge, an average of 7-10 days
|
The requirement for admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) is determined by the presence of severe clinical deterioration, significant complications, or the need for advanced monitoring and life-support measures.
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Up to discharge, an average of 7-10 days
|
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Need for Surgical Intervention
Time Frame: Up to discharge, an average of 7-10 days
|
need for surgical intervention during a trauma patient's hospital stay.
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Up to discharge, an average of 7-10 days
|
Collaborators and Investigators
Sponsor
Sponsor
Investigators
Investigators
- Study Director: Anees K Nile, Professor of general surgery, College Of Medicine - Nahrain University
Publications and helpful links
General Publications
- Haagsma JA, Graetz N, Bolliger I, Naghavi M, Higashi H, Mullany EC, Abera SF, Abraham JP, Adofo K, Alsharif U, Ameh EA, Ammar W, Antonio CA, Barrero LH, Bekele T, Bose D, Brazinova A, Catala-Lopez F, Dandona L, Dandona R, Dargan PI, De Leo D, Degenhardt L, Derrett S, Dharmaratne SD, Driscoll TR, Duan L, Petrovich Ermakov S, Farzadfar F, Feigin VL, Franklin RC, Gabbe B, Gosselin RA, Hafezi-Nejad N, Hamadeh RR, Hijar M, Hu G, Jayaraman SP, Jiang G, Khader YS, Khan EA, Krishnaswami S, Kulkarni C, Lecky FE, Leung R, Lunevicius R, Lyons RA, Majdan M, Mason-Jones AJ, Matzopoulos R, Meaney PA, Mekonnen W, Miller TR, Mock CN, Norman RE, Orozco R, Polinder S, Pourmalek F, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Refaat A, Rojas-Rueda D, Roy N, Schwebel DC, Shaheen A, Shahraz S, Skirbekk V, Soreide K, Soshnikov S, Stein DJ, Sykes BL, Tabb KM, Temesgen AM, Tenkorang EY, Theadom AM, Tran BX, Vasankari TJ, Vavilala MS, Vlassov VV, Woldeyohannes SM, Yip P, Yonemoto N, Younis MZ, Yu C, Murray CJ, Vos T. The global burden of injury: incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years and time trends from the Global Burden of Disease study 2013. Inj Prev. 2016 Feb;22(1):3-18. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2015-041616. Epub 2015 Dec 3.
- Imhoff BF, Thompson NJ, Hastings MA, Nazir N, Moncure M, Cannon CM. Rapid Emergency Medicine Score (REMS) in the trauma population: a retrospective study. BMJ Open. 2014 May 2;4(5):e004738. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2013-004738.
- Karajizadeh M, Nasiri M, Yadollahi M, Zolfaghari AH, Pakdam A. Mortality Prediction from Hospital-Acquired Infections in Trauma Patients Using an Unbalanced Dataset. Healthc Inform Res. 2020 Oct;26(4):284-294. doi: 10.4258/hir.2020.26.4.284. Epub 2020 Oct 31.
- Konesky KL, Guo WA. Revisiting traumatic cardiac arrest: should CPR be initiated? Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg. 2018 Dec;44(6):903-908. doi: 10.1007/s00068-017-0875-6. Epub 2017 Nov 25.
- Mulvey HE, Haslam RD, Laytin AD, Diamond CA, Sims CA. Unplanned ICU Admission Is Associated With Worse Clinical Outcomes in Geriatric Trauma Patients. J Surg Res. 2020 Jan;245:13-21. doi: 10.1016/j.jss.2019.06.059. Epub 2019 Aug 5.
- Todd KH, Lee T, Hoffman JR. The effect of ethnicity on physician estimates of pain severity in patients with isolated extremity trauma. JAMA. 1994 Mar 23-30;271(12):925-8.
- Mondello S, Cantrell A, Italiano D, Fodale V, Mondello P, Ang D. Complications of trauma patients admitted to the ICU in level I academic trauma centers in the United States. Biomed Res Int. 2014;2014:473419. doi: 10.1155/2014/473419. Epub 2014 Jun 3.
- Ramos-Pascua LR. Complications and trauma sequelae. Injury. 2018 Sep;49 Suppl 2:S1-S2. doi: 10.1016/j.injury.2018.06.045. Epub 2018 Jul 7. No abstract available.
- Lafta RK, Al-Nuaimi MA. National perspective on in-hospital emergency units in Iraq. Qatar Med J. 2013 Nov 1;2013(1):19-27. doi: 10.5339/qmj.2013.4. eCollection 2013.
- Kelly JF, Ritenour AE, McLaughlin DF, Bagg KA, Apodaca AN, Mallak CT, Pearse L, Lawnick MM, Champion HR, Wade CE, Holcomb JB. Injury severity and causes of death from Operation Iraqi Freedom and Operation Enduring Freedom: 2003-2004 versus 2006. J Trauma. 2008 Feb;64(2 Suppl):S21-6; discussion S26-7. doi: 10.1097/TA.0b013e318160b9fb.
- Penn-Barwell JG, Roberts SA, Midwinter MJ, Bishop JR. Improved survival in UK combat casualties from Iraq and Afghanistan: 2003-2012. J Trauma Acute Care Surg. 2015 May;78(5):1014-20. doi: 10.1097/TA.0000000000000580.
- Hussain AM, Lafta RK. Accidents in Iraq during the period of conflict (2003-2016). Qatar Med J. 2019 Dec 24;2019(3):14. doi: 10.5339/qmj.2019.14. eCollection 2019.
- Champion HR, Copes WS, Sacco WJ, Lawnick MM, Keast SL, Bain LW Jr, Flanagan ME, Frey CF. The Major Trauma Outcome Study: establishing national norms for trauma care. J Trauma. 1990 Nov;30(11):1356-65.
- Javali RH, Krishnamoorthy, Patil A, Srinivasarangan M, Suraj, Sriharsha. Comparison of Injury Severity Score, New Injury Severity Score, Revised Trauma Score and Trauma and Injury Severity Score for Mortality Prediction in Elderly Trauma Patients. Indian J Crit Care Med. 2019 Feb;23(2):73-77. doi: 10.5005/jp-journals-10071-23120.
- Esme H, Solak O, Yurumez Y, Yavuz Y, Terzi Y, Sezer M, Kucuker H. The prognostic importance of trauma scoring systems for blunt thoracic trauma. Thorac Cardiovasc Surg. 2007 Apr;55(3):190-5. doi: 10.1055/s-2006-955883.
- Wisner DH. History and current status of trauma scoring systems. Arch Surg. 1992 Jan;127(1):111-7. doi: 10.1001/archsurg.1992.01420010133022. No abstract available.
- Department of Error. Lancet. 2024 May 18;403(10440):1988. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00824-9. Epub 2024 Apr 20. No abstract available.
- Correction: Global injury morbidity and mortality from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Inj Prev. 2020 Oct;26(Supp 1):i165. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043494corr1. Epub 2020 Sep 28. No abstract available.
Helpful Links
Study record dates
Study Major Dates
Study Start (Actual)
Study Start
Primary Completion (Actual)
Primary Completion
Study Completion (Actual)
Study Completion
Study Registration Dates
First Submitted
First Submitted
First Submitted That Met QC Criteria
First Submitted That Met QC Criteria
First Posted (Actual)
First Posted
Study Record Updates
Last Update Posted (Actual)
Last Update Posted
Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria
Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria
Last Verified
Last Verified
More Information
Terms related to this study
Keywords
Additional Relevant MeSH Terms
Other Study ID Numbers
Other Study ID Numbers
- UNCOMIRB20241134
Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)
Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?
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