Pilot Study of Real-Time Blood Pressure Decision Support During Cesarean Delivery Under Spinal Anesthesia
Open-Label Pilot Study of a Clinician-Facing Decision-Support Algorithm for Blood Pressure Forecasting During Cesarean Delivery Under Spinal Anesthesia
Study Overview
Status
Status
Conditions
Conditions
Intervention / Treatment
Intervention / Treatment
Detailed Description
This single-center, open-label, single-group pilot study evaluated the prospective performance and operating-room feasibility of a clinician-facing autoregressive with exogenous input (ARX) decision-support algorithm for short-horizon maternal blood pressure forecasting during elective cesarean delivery under spinal anesthesia. Adult pregnant patients at term undergoing elective cesarean delivery with planned spinal anesthesia and prophylactic phenylephrine management were enrolled at a tertiary care academic hospital.
The ARX system generated real-time forecasts of maternal mean arterial pressure (MAP) at 1-, 2-, and 3-minute horizons from the time of spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or 20 minutes, whichever occurred first. The model used prior MAP values together with time-stamped phenylephrine infusion and bolus dosing and intrathecal bupivacaine dose/time as inputs. Forecasts were displayed on a dedicated screen adjacent to the anesthesia workstation. The display was intended to support clinician awareness of short-horizon hemodynamic trends and did not provide dosing recommendations. Blood pressure management remained under usual clinical care, including phenylephrine infusion and bolus administration according to institutional practice, and treating anesthesiologists retained full autonomy over all management decisions.
The primary objective was to assess prospective forecast accuracy at each prediction horizon using the difference between predicted and observed MAP during the study observation window. Additional analyses assessed other forecast-accuracy metrics, short-horizon identification of hypotension defined as MAP below 80% of baseline, and implementation feasibility based on uninterrupted display operation and clinician-reported overrides. Baseline MAP was defined as the mean of the last three pre-spinal noninvasive blood pressure measurements. Baseline MAP was defined as the mean of the last three pre-spinal noninvasive blood pressure measurements. Noninvasive blood pressure was recorded at 1-minute intervals, and model inputs were entered in real time by in-room research staff. Secondary outcomes assessed intraoperative hypotension burden and phenylephrine exposure during the observation window, including exploratory comparison with matched nonconcurrent controls; these analyses were not part of prospective assignment to the study intervention.
Study Type
Study Type
Enrollment (Actual)
Enrollment
Phase
Phase
- Not Applicable
Contacts and Locations
Study Locations
-
-
Massachusetts
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Boston, Massachusetts, United States, 02115
- Brigham and Women's Hospital
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-
Participation Criteria
Eligibility Criteria
Eligibility Criteria
Ages Eligible for Study
- Adult
Accepts Healthy Volunteers
Description
Inclusion Criteria:
- Adult pregnant individuals (≥18 years old) presenting for elective or scheduled cesarean delivery.
- ASA physical status 2 or 3 (obstetric patients without severe comorbidities).
- Singleton pregnancy at term (≥37 weeks gestation).
- Planned spinal anesthesia for cesarean delivery with phenylephrine infusion (and/or boluses) as the primary vasopressor.
- Able to provide informed consent.
- No known fetal anomalies or intrauterine demise.
Exclusion Criteria:
Pre-existing or gestational hypertensive disorders (e.g., chronic hypertension, preeclampsia, eclampsia) or use of cardiovascular medications that can affect blood pressure or heart rate (e.g.
propranolol for migraine)
- Known major cardiovascular disease or arrhythmias requiring treatment (e.g., heart failure, significant valvular disease).
- Planned use of non-phenylephrine vasopressors (e.g., ephedrine, norepinephrine) for routine BP management.
- Allergy or contraindication to bupivacaine or phenylephrine.
- Urgent or emergent cesarean delivery (where time constraints may not allow for adequate data collection or informed consent).
- Inability to cooperate with protocol procedures.
Study Plan
How is the study designed?
Design Details
- Primary Purpose: Other
- Allocation: N/A
- Interventional Model: Single Group Assignment
- Masking: None (Open Label)
Number of Arms
Arms and Interventions
Participant Group / ArmParticipant Group / Arm |
Intervention / TreatmentIntervention / Treatment |
|---|---|
|
Experimental: ARX Decision-Support Display
Participants undergoing elective cesarean delivery under spinal anesthesia received standard clinical management plus a clinician-facing ARX decision-support display that showed 1-, 2-, and 3-minute forecasts of maternal mean arterial pressure from spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
The display did not provide dosing recommendations.
Phenylephrine infusion and bolus dosing remained under clinician direction according to institutional practice.
|
A clinician-facing decision-support display that presented real-time 1-, 2-, and 3-minute forecasts of maternal mean arterial pressure during elective cesarean delivery under spinal anesthesia, from spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
The display did not provide dosing recommendations.
Phenylephrine infusion and bolus dosing remained under clinician direction according to institutional practice
|
What is the study measuring?
Primary Outcome Measures
Primary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
|
Root Mean Square Error of 1-Minute-Ahead Mean Arterial Pressure Forecast
Time Frame: From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
|
Patient-level mean root mean square error (RMSE) between algorithm-predicted and observed maternal mean arterial pressure (MAP) for the 1-minute forecast horizon using minute-level intraoperative data.
|
From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
|
|
Root Mean Square Error of 2-Minute-Ahead Mean Arterial Pressure Forecast
Time Frame: From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
|
Patient-level mean root mean square error (RMSE) between algorithm-predicted and observed maternal mean arterial pressure (MAP) for the 2-minute forecast horizon using minute-level intraoperative data.
|
From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
|
|
Root Mean Square Error of 3-Minute-Ahead Mean Arterial Pressure Forecast
Time Frame: From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
|
Patient-level mean root mean square error (RMSE) between algorithm-predicted and observed maternal mean arterial pressure (MAP) for the 3-minute forecast horizon using minute-level intraoperative data.
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From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
|
Secondary Outcome Measures
Secondary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
|
Incidence of Maternal Hypotension During the Observation Window
Time Frame: From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
|
Presence of at least one maternal mean arterial pressure measurement below 80% of baseline during the observation window; exploratory comparison with matched nonconcurrent controls.
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From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
|
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Duration of Maternal Hypotension During the Observation Window
Time Frame: From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
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Cumulative minutes with maternal mean arterial pressure below 80% of baseline during the observation window; exploratory comparison with matched nonconcurrent controls.
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From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
|
|
Total Phenylephrine Dose During the Observation Window
Time Frame: From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
|
Total phenylephrine dose calculated as the sum of all bolus doses plus infusion dose integrated over time during the observation window; exploratory comparison with matched nonconcurrent controls.
|
From spinal anesthesia administration until delivery or up to 20 minutes, whichever occurred first.
|
Collaborators and Investigators
Sponsor
Sponsor
Study record dates
Study Major Dates
Study Start (Actual)
Study Start
Primary Completion (Actual)
Primary Completion
Study Completion (Actual)
Study Completion
Study Registration Dates
First Submitted
First Submitted
First Submitted That Met QC Criteria
First Submitted That Met QC Criteria
First Posted (Actual)
First Posted
Study Record Updates
Last Update Posted (Actual)
Last Update Posted
Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria
Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria
Last Verified
Last Verified
More Information
Terms related to this study
Other Study ID Numbers
Other Study ID Numbers
- 2025P000588
Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)
Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?
Drug and device information, study documents
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product
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