Human Versus Computer-based Predictions of Long Allograft Survival (iBox vs Human)

March 27, 2023 updated by: Paris Translational Research Center for Organ Transplantation

Computer Based, vs Human Based Assessment of Kidney Allograft Failure Prediction and Stratification

The clinical decision-making after kidney transplantation is mainly driven by patient individual assessment. However, this task remains difficult and uncertain due to the integration of complex and numerous parameters. We aim to evaluate and compare the ability of transplant physicians to predict long term allograft survival compared with a computer-based survival prediction algorithm (iBox system).

Study Overview

Status

Status

Indicates the current recruitment status or the expanded access status.
Completed

Conditions

Conditions

The disease, disorder, syndrome, illness, or injury that is being studied. On ClinicalTrials.gov, conditions may also include other health-related issues, such as lifespan, quality of life, and health risks.

Intervention / Treatment

Intervention / Treatment

A process or action that is the focus of a clinical study. Interventions include drugs, medical devices, procedures, vaccines, and other products that are either investigational or already available. Interventions can also include noninvasive approaches, such as education or modifying diet and exercise.

Detailed Description

400 kidney transplant recipients among the cohort of 4,000 patients from the Paris Transplant Group prospective kidney transplant cohort (NCT03474003) were randomly selected. We generated an anonymized electronic health record for each included patient including a total of 60 classical kidney transplant prognostic parameters comprising baseline transplant and recipient characteristics, together with post-transplant parameters including allograft function, proteinuria, histology, diagnoses, and immunological profile collected during the first-year post-transplant. The time of risk evaluation for the human and the iBox system were at 1-year post transplant and the death censored allograft survival predictions made at 7 years after risk assessment. We enrolled transplant physicians at various stages of their careers (residents, fellows and seniors) to assign death censored graft survival probabilities at 7 years post risk assessment. The physicians were blinded to the actual patient outcome (allograft failure) and the iBox predictions. The physicians-based predictions will then be compared with the iBox system, a validated computer-based kidney survival prediction system.

Study Type

Study Type

Describes the nature of a clinical study. Study types include interventional studies (also called clinical trials), observational studies (including patient registries), and expanded access.
Observational

Enrollment (Actual)

Enrollment

The number of participants in a clinical study. The "anticipated" enrollment is the target number of participants that the researchers need for the study.
400

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Contact

Study Contact

The name and contact information for the person who can answer enrollment questions for a clinical study. Each location where the study is being conducted may also have a specific contact, who may be better able to answer those questions.

Study Locations

  • France
    • Île-de-France
      • Paris, Île-de-France, France, 75015
        • Paris Translational Centre for Organ Transplantation

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Eligibility Criteria

The key requirements that people who want to participate in a clinical study must meet or the characteristics they must have. Eligibility criteria consist of both inclusion criteria (which are required for a person to participate in the study) and exclusion criteria (which prevent a person from participating). Types of eligibility criteria include whether a study accepts healthy volunteers, has age or age group requirements, or is limited by sex.

Ages Eligible for Study

18 years and older (Adult, Older Adult)

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Genders Eligible for Study

All

Sampling Method

Probability Sample

Study Population

400 (10%) of the patients were randomly selected with an evaluation available at one-year post-transplant from the Paris Transplant Group cohort, which gathers 4,000 consecutive patients over 18 years of age prospectively enrolled at the time of kidney transplantation from a living or deceased donor at Necker Hospital, Saint-Louis Hospital, Foch Hospital, and Toulouse Hospital between January 1, 2005, and January 1, 2014, in France.

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • transplant evaluation available at one year post-transplant

Exclusion Criteria:

  • no

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort

Group / Cohort

A group or subgroup of participants in an observational study that is assessed for biomedical or health outcomes.
Intervention / Treatment

Intervention / Treatment

A process or action that is the focus of a clinical study. Interventions include drugs, medical devices, procedures, vaccines, and other products that are either investigational or already available. Interventions can also include noninvasive approaches, such as education or modifying diet and exercise.
Paris Transplant Group cohort
400 (10%) of the patients were randomly selected from 4,000 consecutive patients over 18 years of age prospectively enrolled at the time of kidney transplantation from a living or deceased donor at Necker Hospital, Saint-Louis Hospital, Foch Hospital, and Toulouse Hospital between January 1, 2005, and January 1, 2014, in France.
Device: Computer based assessment (iBox)
Individual allograft survival probabilities of death censored allograft survival seven years after the time of risk evaluation, computed using the iBox (NCT03474003), a qualified prognostication system designed to predict long term allograft survival up to seven years after evaluation.
Other: Physician assessement
Based on anonymized electronic health records, physicians have to determine a percentage of death censored allograft survival seven years after the time of risk evaluation,

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Primary Outcome Measures

In a clinical study's protocol, the planned outcome measure that is the most important for evaluating the effect of an intervention/treatment. Most clinical studies have one primary outcome measure, but some have more than one.
Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Death censored allograft failure seven years after risk assessment
Time Frame: 7 years
Predictions performances to predict allograft failure defined as a patient's definitive return to dialysis or preemptive kidney retransplantation after risk assessment.
7 years

Secondary Outcome Measures

Secondary Outcome Measures

In a clinical study's protocol, a planned outcome measure that is not as important as the primary outcome measure for evaluating the effect of an intervention but is still of interest. Most clinical studies have more than one secondary outcome measure.
Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Evaluation of the parameters' importance in the prediction for physicians
Time Frame: 7 years
Mean decrease in accuracy from a random survival forest from each physician will be used to determine the relative importance of the first ten parameters that led to their predictions.
7 years
Inter-rater agreement
Time Frame: 7 years
Fleiss kappa will be used to measure inter-rater agreement between each physician's ranking
7 years

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Sponsor

Sponsor

The organization or person who initiates the study and who has authority and control over the study.
Paris Translational Research Center for Organ Transplantation

Publications and helpful links

The person responsible for entering information about the study voluntarily provides these publications. These may be about anything related to the study.

General Publications

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

Study Start

The actual date on which the first participant was enrolled in a clinical study. The "anticipated" study start date is the date that the researchers think will be the study start date.
March 1, 2018

Primary Completion (Actual)

Primary Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention to collect final data for the primary outcome measure. Whether the clinical study ended according to the protocol or was terminated does not affect this date. For clinical studies with more than one primary outcome measure with different completion dates, this term refers to the date on which data collection is completed for all the primary outcome measures. The "anticipated" primary completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the primary completion date for the study.
December 31, 2021

Study Completion (Actual)

Study Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention/treatment to collect final data for the primary outcome measures, secondary outcome measures, and adverse events (that is, the last participant's last visit). The "anticipated" study completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the study completion date.
December 31, 2021

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

First Submitted

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submitted a study record to ClinicalTrials.gov. There is typically a delay of a few days between the first submitted date and the record's availability on ClinicalTrials.gov (the first posted date).
June 2, 2021

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submits a study record that is consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. The sponsor or investigator may need to revise and submit a study record one or more times before NLM's QC review criteria are met. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
June 7, 2021

First Posted (Actual)

First Posted

The date on which the study record was first available on ClinicalTrials.gov after National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review has concluded. There is typically a delay of a few days between the date the study sponsor or investigator submitted the study record and the first posted date.
June 8, 2021

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

Last Update Posted

The most recent date on which changes to a study record were made available on ClinicalTrials.gov. There may be a delay between when the changes were submitted to ClinicalTrials.gov by the study's sponsor or investigator (the last update submitted date) and the last update posted date.
March 28, 2023

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator submitted changes to a study record that are consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
March 27, 2023

Last Verified

Last Verified

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator confirmed the information about a clinical study on ClinicalTrials.gov as accurate and current. If a study with a recruitment status of recruiting; not yet recruiting; or active, not recruiting has not been confirmed within the past 2 years, the study's recruitment status is shown as unknown.
March 1, 2023

More Information

Terms related to this study

Keywords

Other Study ID Numbers

Other Study ID Numbers

Identifiers or ID numbers other than the NCT number that are assigned to a clinical study by the study's sponsor, funders, or others. These numbers may include unique identifiers from other trial registries and National Institutes of Health grant numbers.
  • iBoxvsHuman

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

NO

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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