Deployment of a Novel National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke Clinical, Biomarker, Imaging, and Modifiers (CBI-M) Classification Framework for Emergency Department Patients With Glasgow Coma Scale 15 Traumatic Brain Injury (PIONEER-Prognosis)

October 8, 2026 updated by: Frederick Korley, MD, PhD, University of Michigan

Deployment of a Novel NINDS Clinical, Biomarker, Imaging, and Modifiers (CBI-M) Classification Framework for ED Patients With GCS 15 TBI (PIONEER-Prognosis)

This study is being done to learn how information from blood tests, medical records, and wearable devices that track sleep, activity, and heart rate can help predict how people recover after a concussion. The goal is to improve how doctors monitor recovery and give patients better information about what to expect after a head injury.

Study Overview

Status

Not yet recruiting

Conditions

Detailed Description

The PIONEER-Prognosis Study is a prospective, multicenter, observational cohort study of adults aged 18 to 65 years who present to the emergency department (ED) within 24 hours of a mild traumatic brain injury (TBI) and have a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score of 15, meaning they are fully alert. Although these injuries are classified as mild, up to half of such patients report persistent symptoms such as headaches, cognitive difficulties, and mood disturbances a year after injury, and clinicians currently lack a reliable way to predict, at the time of the ED visit, which patients will recover fully and which will not.

This study will apply a new classification framework proposed by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS), called Clinical, Biomarker, Imaging, and Modifiers (CBI-M). This framework combines clinical findings; blood tests for two brain injury proteins, glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1); results of any head computed tomography (CT) scan performed as part of routine care; and psychosocial and environmental factors. The study will evaluate how well this framework predicts recovery.

A total of 500 participants will be enrolled from five EDs in Michigan, Oregon, and California that already use GFAP and UCH-L1 blood tests in clinical care. Participants will provide a blood sample and clinical information during their ED visit, wear a WHOOP wearable device continuously for 90 days to record heart rate, heart rate variability, sleep, and physical activity, complete a brief daily symptom survey through the device application, and complete additional symptom and sleep questionnaires by email or phone at 1 week, 1 month, and 2 months.

Trained interviewers from a central outcomes team will contact participants by telephone at 14 and 90 days to assess functional recovery using the Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOS-E), along with symptoms, cognition, life satisfaction, post-traumatic stress symptoms, and resilience.

The primary outcome is complete functional recovery, defined as a GOS-E score of 8 at 90 days. The study does not assign any treatment; participants receive standard ED care. Findings are intended to improve prognostic accuracy, patient counseling, and follow-up care for the largest subgroup of patients with TBI. The prediction models developed will be made available as a free web-based tool. The study is funded by the U.S. Department of Defense and is expected to take approximately 4 years to complete, with each participant followed for 3 months.

Study Type

Observational

Enrollment (Estimated)

500

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Contact

Study Locations

    • California
      • Torrance, California, United States, 90509
        • Harbor-UCLA Medical Center
        • Contact:
        • Principal Investigator:
          • Kabir Yadav, MD, MS, MSHS,
    • Michigan
      • Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States, 48109
        • University of Michigan
        • Contact:
        • Principal Investigator:
          • Frederick Korley, MD, PhD
      • Clinton Township, Michigan, United States, 48038
        • Henry Ford Macomb
        • Principal Investigator:
          • Joseph Miller, MD, MS
        • Contact:
      • Detroit, Michigan, United States, 48202 ·
        • Henry Ford Hospital
        • Principal Investigator:
          • Joseph Miller, MD, MS
        • Contact:
    • Oregon
      • Portland, Oregon, United States, 97239-3098
        • Oregon Health & Science University
        • Contact:
        • Principal Investigator:
          • Bori Kea, MD, MCR

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

18 years to 65 years (Adult, Older Adult)

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Genders Eligible for Study

All

Sampling Method

Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

Adult patients aged 18 to 65 years at the time of enrollment who present to participating emergency departments (EDs) with suspected traumatic brain injury (TBI) meeting the 2023 American Congress of Rehabilitation Medicine (ACRM) criteria and a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score of 15. Key exclusion criteria include pre-existing neurological disability resulting in a pre-injury Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOS-E) score <8, high risk of loss to follow-up (e.g., no reliable phone, homelessness, incarceration, or ward of the state), pregnancy, and inability to speak English or Spanish

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Diagnosis of mild traumatic brain injury (TBI), as defined by the 2023 American Congress of Rehabilitation Medicine (ACRM) criteria.

  • Enrollment within 24 hours of injury.

  • Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score of 15 at emergency department (ED) enrollment.

  • Consent to study procedures, including:

    • Blood collection for biomarker measurement, including glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1).
    • Continuous use of a health-monitoring device for 3 months.
    • Follow-up assessments by telephone at 14 days and 90 days.
    • Completion of a daily symptom inventory via WHOOP/smartphone.

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Pre-existing neurological disability or pre-injury condition that would have resulted in a Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOS-E) score <8 if assessed before the injury.
  • High risk of loss to follow-up, including patients without a reliable phone, those experiencing homelessness, those who are incarcerated, or those who are wards of the state.
  • Pregnancy at the time of enrollment.
  • Inability to speak English or Spanish, which would prevent completion of the required assessments.

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

  • Observational Models: COHORT
  • Time Perspectives: PROSPECTIVE

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort
GCS 15 TBI patients

Patients presenting to a study emergency department with a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score of 15 and traumatic brain injury (TBI).

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Functional recovery
Time Frame: 3 months

Functional recovery will be assessed using the Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOS-E). The GOS-E rates patient status on one of eight levels. The minimum score is 1 and the maximum score is 8: 1 = death; 2 = vegetative state; 3 = lower severe disability; 4 = upper severe disability; 5 = lower moderate disability; 6 = upper moderate disability; 7 = lower good recovery; and 8 = upper good recovery.

3 months

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Daily symptom burden
Time Frame: Up to 90 days

Daily symptom burden will be measured using five commonly endorsed items-fatigue, headache, poor concentration, frustration, and sleep problems-from the Rivermead Post-Concussion Questionnaire (RPQ), a validated instrument that assesses post-concussive symptom severity. Each symptom is rated from 0 to 4, with 0 indicating that the symptom is not experienced and 4 indicating a severe problem. Scores for the five items are summed to yield a total score ranging from 0 to 20, with higher scores indicating greater daily post-concussive symptom burden.

Up to 90 days
Heart rate variability (HRV)
Time Frame: Up to 90 days

HRV will be continuously measured using the WHOOP wearable device. HRV will be reported in milliseconds (ms) and reflects variation in the time intervals between successive heartbeats. HRV is a continuous physiological measure with no predefined minimum or maximum value. Higher or lower HRV values are not inherently classified as better or worse outcomes; values will be evaluated as physiological measures in relation to recovery following traumatic brain injury.

Up to 90 days
Resting heart rate (rHR)
Time Frame: Up to 90 days

Physiological outcomes will be continuously measured via the WHOOP wearable device. WHOOP is a wearable health and fitness tracker that continuously monitors key physiological metrics

Up to 90 days
Sleep patterns - Sleep duration
Time Frame: Up to 90 days

Sleep duration will be continuously measured using the WHOOP wearable device. WHOOP is a wearable health and fitness tracker that continuously monitors key physiological metrics.

Up to 90 days
Sleep patterns - Sleep efficiency
Time Frame: Up to 90 days

Sleep efficiency will be continuously measured using the WHOOP wearable device. WHOOP is a wearable health and fitness tracker that continuously monitors key physiological metrics.

Up to 90 days
Sleep patterns - Sleep latency
Time Frame: Up to 90 days

Sleep latency will be continuously measured using the WHOOP wearable device. WHOOP is a wearable health and fitness tracker that continuously monitors key physiological metrics.

Up to 90 days
Sleep patterns - Total amount of sleep
Time Frame: Up to 90 days

Total amount of sleep will be continuously measured using the WHOOP wearable device. WHOOP is a wearable health and fitness tracker that continuously monitors key physiological metrics.

Up to 90 days
Sleep patterns - percentage of restorative sleep
Time Frame: Up to 90 days

Percentage of restorative sleep will be continuously measured using the WHOOP wearable device. WHOOP is a wearable health and fitness tracker that continuously monitors key physiological metrics.

Up to 90 days
Strain
Time Frame: Up to 90 days

Strain will be continuously measured using the WHOOP wearable device. WHOOP is a wearable health and fitness tracker that continuously monitors key physiological metrics.

Up to 90 days
Body temperature
Time Frame: Up to 90 days

Body temperature will be continuously measured using the WHOOP wearable device. WHOOP is a wearable health and fitness tracker that continuously monitors key physiological metrics. ClinicalTrials.gov PRS_ Protoco…

Up to 90 days
Oxygen saturation
Time Frame: Up to 90 days

Oxygen saturation will be continuously measured using the WHOOP wearable device. WHOOP is a wearable health and fitness tracker that continuously monitors key physiological metrics.

Up to 90 days
Rivermead Post-Concussion Questionnaire score
Time Frame: Up to 2 months

Post-concussive symptoms will be assessed using the Rivermead Post-Concussion Questionnaire (RPQ). The RPQ assesses 16 common post-concussive symptoms, with each symptom rated from 0 to 4, where 0 indicates that the symptom is not experienced, 1 indicates no more of a problem than before the injury, and 2-4 indicate mild, moderate, or severe problems, respectively. For standard scoring, responses of 1 are scored as 0, resulting in a total score ranging from 0 to 64. Higher scores indicate greater post-concussive symptom burden and therefore a worse outcome.

Up to 2 months

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Sponsor

Collaborators

Investigators

  • Principal Investigator: Frederick Korley, MD, PhD, University of Michigan

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Estimated)

October 1, 2026

Primary Completion (Estimated)

December 31, 2028

Study Completion (Estimated)

August 30, 2029

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

September 29, 2026

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

September 29, 2026

First Posted (Actual)

October 5, 2026

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

October 13, 2026

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

October 8, 2026

Last Verified

October 1, 2026

More Information

Terms related to this study

Other Study ID Numbers

  • HUM00284360
  • HT942524TBIPHRPFPA (Other Grant/Funding Number: Department of Defense- Defense Health Program)

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

YES

IPD Plan Description

De-identified individual participant data collected during this study may be retained for future secondary analyses and will be shared in accordance with applicable U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) data-sharing policies and requirements.

IPD Sharing Time Frame

Data will be made available in accordance with applicable DoD policies and requirements.

IPD Sharing Access Criteria

Access to study data will be provided in accordance with applicable DoD policies and requirements, including any required data use agreements or other applicable protections.

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

product manufactured in and exported from the U.S.

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.