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Acute Risk Monitoring for Oncology Therapy Regimen (ARMOR)

15. maj 2026 opdateret af: University of California, San Francisco

Acute Risk Monitoring for Oncology Therapy Regimens (ARMOR): A Silent Prospective Validation of a Machine Learning Model

Patients undergoing outpatient infusion systemic therapy for cancer are at risk for potentially preventable, unplanned acute care in the form of emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations. These events impact patient outcomes, treatment decisions, and healthcare costs. To address this need, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services developed the chemotherapy measure (OP-35). Recent randomized controlled studies indicate that electronic health record (EHR)-based machine learning (ML) approaches accurately direct supportive care to reduce acute care during radiotherapy. This study aims to develop and prospectively validate ML approaches to predict the risk of OP-35 qualifying, potentially preventable, acute care events within 30 days of infusion systemic therapy.

Studieoversigt

Status

Afsluttet

Betingelser

Intervention / Behandling

Detaljeret beskrivelse

OBJECTIVES:

I. Develop and retrospectively validate electronic health record-based machine learning models using routinely collected clinical data from patients receiving systemic therapy to predict risk of potentially preventable OP-35 qualifying acute care events. (Phase 1: Retrospective)

II. Prospectively validate machine learning models across distinct time periods. (Phase 2: Prospective)

III. Understand patterns of care by stratifying and analyzing model performance by treatment type, cancer diagnosis, and race/ethnicity to assess bias and disparities in outcomes.

OUTLINE:

Retrospective and prospective clinical data obtained from medical records will be used to develop and validate predictive machine learning models. Prospective data will be divided into 2 phases: Prospective validation (PV) 1 and PV 2.

Undersøgelsestype

Observationel

Tilmelding (Faktiske)

4740

Kontakter og lokationer

Dette afsnit indeholder kontaktoplysninger for dem, der udfører undersøgelsen, og oplysninger om, hvor denne undersøgelse udføres.

Studiesteder

  • Forenede Stater
    • California
      • San Francisco, California, Forenede Stater, 94143
        • University of California, San Francisco

Deltagelseskriterier

Forskere leder efter personer, der passer til en bestemt beskrivelse, kaldet berettigelseskriterier. Nogle eksempler på disse kriterier er en persons generelle helbredstilstand eller tidligere behandlinger.

Berettigelseskriterier

Aldre berettiget til at studere

  • Voksen
  • Ældre voksen

Tager imod sunde frivillige

Ingen

Prøveudtagningsmetode

Ikke-sandsynlighedsprøve

Studiebefolkning

Adult patients receiving care for cancer

Beskrivelse

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Patients 18 years or older diagnosed with cancer who receive care at UCSF and/or one of the UCSF affiliate locations.

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Patients under the age of 18.
  • Patients receiving care as part of a clinical trial.

Studieplan

Dette afsnit indeholder detaljer om studieplanen, herunder hvordan undersøgelsen er designet, og hvad undersøgelsen måler.

Hvordan er undersøgelsen tilrettelagt?

Design detaljer

Kohorter og interventioner

Gruppe / kohorte
Intervention / Behandling
Patients receiving cancer therapy at University of California, San Francisco (UCSF)
All adults undergoing systemic cancer-related therapy from July 2017 to March 2024 at any UCSF outpatient, infusion center with available OP-35 data.
Andet: Medical record review
Retrospective chart reviews for data collection will be conducted.

Hvad måler undersøgelsen?

Primære resultatmål

Resultatmål
Foranstaltningsbeskrivelse
Tidsramme
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for OP-35 prediction model.
Tidsramme: Up to 6.75 years
UCSF patients receiving infusion systemic therapy had clinical data incorporated into machine learning (ML) models to predict risk of Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Chemotherapy Measure (OP-35) qualifying acute care events within 30 days of infusion. Models included variables such as cancer diagnosis, therapeutic agents, and laboratory values. Three ML approaches were employed to train models in predicting OP-35 events. Models were trained and retrospectively validated on data from July 7, 2017, to February 11, 2021, and prospectively validated on 2 cohorts: April 17, 2023, to October 29, 2023 (PV1) and February 19, 2024, to March 31, 2024 (PV2) to generate a validation AUROC. The initial prospective validation occurred over a pre-planned period with the assumption of a 2% event rate, based on the model development data, with an alpha of 0.05 and 84% power to detect an AUROC of 0.75, requiring a sample size of at least 8000 infusions.
Up to 6.75 years

Samarbejdspartnere og efterforskere

Det er her, du vil finde personer og organisationer, der er involveret i denne undersøgelse.

Sponsor

University of California, San Francisco

Samarbejdspartnere

National Cancer Institute (NCI)
Conquer Cancer Foundation

Efterforskere

  • Ledende efterforsker: Julian Hong, MD, MS, University of California, San Francisco

Datoer for undersøgelser

Disse datoer sporer fremskridtene for indsendelser af undersøgelsesrekord og resumeresultater til ClinicalTrials.gov. Studieregistreringer og rapporterede resultater gennemgås af National Library of Medicine (NLM) for at sikre, at de opfylder specifikke kvalitetskontrolstandarder, før de offentliggøres på den offentlige hjemmeside.

Studer store datoer

Studiestart (Faktiske)

1. juli 2017

Primær færdiggørelse (Faktiske)

31. marts 2024

Studieafslutning (Faktiske)

31. marts 2024

Datoer for studieregistrering

Først indsendt

15. maj 2026

Først indsendt, der opfyldte QC-kriterier

15. maj 2026

Først opslået (Faktiske)

22. maj 2026

Opdateringer af undersøgelsesjournaler

Sidste opdatering sendt (Faktiske)

22. maj 2026

Sidste opdatering indsendt, der opfyldte kvalitetskontrolkriterier

15. maj 2026

Sidst verificeret

1. maj 2026

Mere information

Begreber relateret til denne undersøgelse

Nøgleord

Yderligere relevante MeSH-vilkår

Andre undersøgelses-id-numre

  • 20721 (DAIDS-ES Registry Number)
  • R01CA277782 (U.S. NIH-bevilling/kontrakt)

Plan for individuelle deltagerdata (IPD)

Planlægger du at dele individuelle deltagerdata (IPD)?

JA

IPD-planbeskrivelse

De-identified data may be shared with study collaborators during the course of the study.

Lægemiddel- og udstyrsoplysninger, undersøgelsesdokumenter

Studerer et amerikansk FDA-reguleret lægemiddelprodukt

Ingen

Studerer et amerikansk FDA-reguleret enhedsprodukt

Ingen

Disse oplysninger blev hentet direkte fra webstedet clinicaltrials.gov uden ændringer. Hvis du har nogen anmodninger om at ændre, fjerne eller opdatere dine undersøgelsesoplysninger, bedes du kontakte register@clinicaltrials.gov. Så snart en ændring er implementeret på clinicaltrials.gov, vil denne også blive opdateret automatisk på vores hjemmeside .

Kliniske forsøg med Medical record review

Søg i lignende forsøg

Sponsorer og samarbejdspartnere

Medicinske tilstande

Narkotikainterventioner

CROs by country

CROs in Denmark

Betingelser

Sjældne sygdomme

Narkotikainterventioner

Kosttilskud

Sponsor / samarbejdspartnere

Placeringer

Abonner