Personalized Prediction Strategy for Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

January 9, 2026 updated by: Fengyan Wang, Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Disease

Establishment of Individualized Prediction System for Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Based on Cloud Platform

This is a 3-year longitudinal study designed to establish a personalized prediction and prevention system for acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Data will be prospectively collected from patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and healthy control participants, including clinical characteristics, pathophysiological parameters, etiological factors, and immunological information. These data will be analyzed using data mining approaches combined with Internet-based technologies.

Study Overview

Status

Status

Indicates the current recruitment status or the expanded access status.
Active, not recruiting

Conditions

Conditions

The disease, disorder, syndrome, illness, or injury that is being studied. On ClinicalTrials.gov, conditions may also include other health-related issues, such as lifespan, quality of life, and health risks.

Study Type

Study Type

Describes the nature of a clinical study. Study types include interventional studies (also called clinical trials), observational studies (including patient registries), and expanded access.
Observational

Enrollment (Actual)

Enrollment

The number of participants in a clinical study. The "anticipated" enrollment is the target number of participants that the researchers need for the study.
442

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Locations

  • China
    • Guangdong
      • Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, 510120
        • Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Health,The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Eligibility Criteria

The key requirements that people who want to participate in a clinical study must meet or the characteristics they must have. Eligibility criteria consist of both inclusion criteria (which are required for a person to participate in the study) and exclusion criteria (which prevent a person from participating). Types of eligibility criteria include whether a study accepts healthy volunteers, has age or age group requirements, or is limited by sex.

Ages Eligible for Study

40 years and older (Adult, Older Adult)

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sampling Method

Probability Sample

Study Population

COPD subjects in China

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Patients was diagnosed as COPD according to Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) guidelines older than 40 years old.

    • A signed and dated written informed consent is obtained prior to participation.
    • Able to comply with the requirements of the protocol and be available for study visits over 3 years.

Exclusion Criteria:

  • A COPD subject will not be eligible for inclusion in this study if any of the following criteria apply:

    • Known respiratory disorders, or disorders identified at screening/visit 1 (including identification on the first CT scan), other than COPD (e.g.: lung cancer, sarcoidosis, tuberculosis, lung fibrosis, cystic fibrosis)
    • Known history of significant inflammatory disease, other than COPD (e.g. rheumatoid arthritis and Lupus)
    • Known to be severely alpha-1-antitrypsin deficient
    • Has experienced a moderate or severe exacerbation (requiring oral corticosteroid, antibiotics or hospitalisation) within the last 4 weeks
    • Having undergone lung surgery (e.g. lung reduction, lung transplant)
    • Have cancer or have had cancer in the 5 years prior to study entry
    • Having received a blood transfusion in the 4 weeks prior to study start
    • Inability to walk
    • Taking part in a blinded drug study
    • Having therapy with systemic corticosteroids at inclusion.

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort

Group / Cohort

A group or subgroup of participants in an observational study that is assessed for biomedical or health outcomes.
COPD subjects
Subjects with GOLD stage I-IV COPD
Healthy control subjects
Ages 40 to 90, with no history of lung disease and no history of acute illness or medication use within the past month.

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Primary Outcome Measures

In a clinical study's protocol, the planned outcome measure that is the most important for evaluating the effect of an intervention/treatment. Most clinical studies have one primary outcome measure, but some have more than one.
Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Establishment of prediction platform for COPD exacerbation
Time Frame: 3 years
The patients with chronic obstruction pulmonary disease will be followed up at intervals of 3 months for 3 years by the Modified British Medical Research Council (mMRC) score scale,spirometric analysis, sputum smear,questionnaire and so on. An exacerbation of COPD was diagnosed according to GOLD guidelines. Time to the first acute exacerbation and average number of acute exacerbations per year in COPD subjects will be record.Research of AECOPD Risk factors based on complex network analysis.Identification and validation of COPD exacerbations risk stratification and predictive markers based on data mining.
3 years

Secondary Outcome Measures

Secondary Outcome Measures

In a clinical study's protocol, a planned outcome measure that is not as important as the primary outcome measure for evaluating the effect of an intervention but is still of interest. Most clinical studies have more than one secondary outcome measure.
Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Developing new protein chips for AECOPD
Time Frame: 3 years
Systemic and airway autoantibody profiles and cytokine profiles will be measured using commercial multiplex bead-based assay to screen out a set of ideal AECOPD-related markers.
3 years
Detection of immune repertoire in COPD/AECOPD
Time Frame: 3 years
Immune status of COPD patients will be investigated by using the immune repertoire technique and its relationship with the pathophysiology of AECOPD will be identified.
3 years
Pathogenic microorganism and drug resistance monitoring for COPD exacerbation
Time Frame: 3 years
Dynamics of pathogenic microorganism and drug resistance in natural course of COPD will be investigated by using the metagenome technique and the culture technique.
3 years

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Sponsor

Sponsor

The organization or person who initiates the study and who has authority and control over the study.
Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Disease

Collaborators

Collaborators

An organization other than the sponsor that provides support for a clinical study. This support may include activities related to funding, design, implementation, data analysis, or reporting.
The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University
Guangzhou Science and Technology Innovation Commission,China

Investigators

Investigators

A researcher involved in a clinical study. Related terms include site principal investigator, site sub-investigator, study chair, study director, and study principal investigator.
  • Study Director: Rongchang Chen, MD/Ph.D, Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Health,The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University,China

Publications and helpful links

The person responsible for entering information about the study voluntarily provides these publications. These may be about anything related to the study.

General Publications

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

Study Start

The actual date on which the first participant was enrolled in a clinical study. The "anticipated" study start date is the date that the researchers think will be the study start date.
August 1, 2016

Primary Completion (Estimated)

Primary Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention to collect final data for the primary outcome measure. Whether the clinical study ended according to the protocol or was terminated does not affect this date. For clinical studies with more than one primary outcome measure with different completion dates, this term refers to the date on which data collection is completed for all the primary outcome measures. The "anticipated" primary completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the primary completion date for the study.
September 30, 2026

Study Completion (Estimated)

Study Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention/treatment to collect final data for the primary outcome measures, secondary outcome measures, and adverse events (that is, the last participant's last visit). The "anticipated" study completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the study completion date.
December 30, 2026

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

First Submitted

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submitted a study record to ClinicalTrials.gov. There is typically a delay of a few days between the first submitted date and the record's availability on ClinicalTrials.gov (the first posted date).
July 31, 2017

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submits a study record that is consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. The sponsor or investigator may need to revise and submit a study record one or more times before NLM's QC review criteria are met. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
August 2, 2017

First Posted (Actual)

First Posted

The date on which the study record was first available on ClinicalTrials.gov after National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review has concluded. There is typically a delay of a few days between the date the study sponsor or investigator submitted the study record and the first posted date.
August 7, 2017

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Estimated)

Last Update Posted

The most recent date on which changes to a study record were made available on ClinicalTrials.gov. There may be a delay between when the changes were submitted to ClinicalTrials.gov by the study's sponsor or investigator (the last update submitted date) and the last update posted date.
January 12, 2026

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator submitted changes to a study record that are consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
January 9, 2026

Last Verified

Last Verified

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator confirmed the information about a clinical study on ClinicalTrials.gov as accurate and current. If a study with a recruitment status of recruiting; not yet recruiting; or active, not recruiting has not been confirmed within the past 2 years, the study's recruitment status is shown as unknown.
January 1, 2026

More Information

Terms related to this study

Additional Relevant MeSH Terms

Other Study ID Numbers

Other Study ID Numbers

Identifiers or ID numbers other than the NCT number that are assigned to a clinical study by the study's sponsor, funders, or others. These numbers may include unique identifiers from other trial registries and National Institutes of Health grant numbers.
  • 201604020012
  • 2017YFC1310600 (Other Grant/Funding Number: Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China)

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

NO

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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