In Silico Trials of Surgical Interventions

May 9, 2023 updated by: University of Leicester

In Silico Trials of Surgical Interventions - Using Routinely Collected Data to Model Trial Feasibility and Design Efficiency In Vivo Randomised Controlled Trials

The project aims to establish a database of cardiovascular patients using HES and linked mortality data. This database will be used to model trials in silico with the aim of informing the design of future cardiovascular trials in the United Kingdom.

Study Overview

Status

Status

Indicates the current recruitment status or the expanded access status.
Active, not recruiting

Conditions

Conditions

The disease, disorder, syndrome, illness, or injury that is being studied. On ClinicalTrials.gov, conditions may also include other health-related issues, such as lifespan, quality of life, and health risks.

Detailed Description

Routinely collected health data such as National Health Service Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) contains a wealth of real-world longitudinal patient health data including demographics, diagnoses, procedures and other clinical information. These data can be used to address many of the existing challenges in the design and conduct of clinical trials by optimising trial design and simplifying the assessment of adherence, safety, and outcomes. When a trial concept is initiated, researchers may use HES data to explore the hypothesis and assess trial feasibility. The large-volume patient data enables a detailed understanding of the characteristics of the target patient populations and the estimation of the real-world treatment effects across different patient groups thus enabling identification of targeted populations for specific interventions. By tapping into this resource and using advanced statistical and machine learning methods, the investigators can emulate the trial and thus obtain the key trial parameters required for designing a clinical trial, minimise the number of assumptions imputed and make the design and development of clinical trials quicker, simpler, and more reliable.

Study Type

Study Type

Describes the nature of a clinical study. Study types include interventional studies (also called clinical trials), observational studies (including patient registries), and expanded access.
Observational

Enrollment (Anticipated)

Enrollment

The number of participants in a clinical study. The "anticipated" enrollment is the target number of participants that the researchers need for the study.
13977257

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Locations

  • United Kingdom
    • Leicestershire
      • Leicester, Leicestershire, United Kingdom, LE3 9QP
        • Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Clinical Sciences Wing,

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Eligibility Criteria

The key requirements that people who want to participate in a clinical study must meet or the characteristics they must have. Eligibility criteria consist of both inclusion criteria (which are required for a person to participate in the study) and exclusion criteria (which prevent a person from participating). Types of eligibility criteria include whether a study accepts healthy volunteers, has age or age group requirements, or is limited by sex.

Ages Eligible for Study

  • Adult
  • Older Adult

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

Yes

Sampling Method

Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

All Adult patients (18 years and above) with cardiovascular diseases (ICD10 I00-I99) treated in NHS hospitals in England.

Description

- The target trial protocol will be used to develop an emulated trial protocol, which will give the best approximation of the trial protocol, given the limitations and constraints of the observational data. To mimic an actual trial population, the target trial population will be matched with individual patient data from a historical trial, targeting the same population.

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort

Group / Cohort

A group or subgroup of participants in an observational study that is assessed for biomedical or health outcomes.
Standard of Care
As recommended by treatment guidelines.
Cardiovascular Intervention

Examples include:

  • Cardiac surgery - Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), Repair and replacement of heart valve and other cardiovascular surgery including surgery on the thoracic aorta.
  • On-pump / off-pump / minimally invasive bypass.
  • Open / Transcatheter approach for valve replacement or repair.
  • Open versus minimally invasive valve repair/ replacement.
  • Procedural coronary revascularization Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.
  • Closure of the left atrial appendage.

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Primary Outcome Measures

In a clinical study's protocol, the planned outcome measure that is the most important for evaluating the effect of an intervention/treatment. Most clinical studies have one primary outcome measure, but some have more than one.
Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and their components
Time Frame: 1-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
1-Year
Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and their components
Time Frame: 3-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
3-Year
Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and their components
Time Frame: 5-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
5-Year

Secondary Outcome Measures

Secondary Outcome Measures

In a clinical study's protocol, a planned outcome measure that is not as important as the primary outcome measure for evaluating the effect of an intervention but is still of interest. Most clinical studies have more than one secondary outcome measure.
Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Adverse Events (Arrhythmias, Dialysis, Infection, Coronary Revascularization, Reintervention)
Time Frame: 1-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
1-Year
Adverse Events (Arrhythmias, Dialysis, Infection, Coronary Revascularization, Reintervention)
Time Frame: 3-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
3-Year
Adverse Events (Arrhythmias, Dialysis, Infection, Coronary Revascularization, Reintervention)
Time Frame: 5-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
5-Year
Length of Hospital Stay
Time Frame: 1-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
1-Year
Length of Hospital Stay
Time Frame: 3-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
3-Year
Length of Hospital Stay
Time Frame: 5-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
5-Year
Rehospitalisation
Time Frame: 1-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
1-Year
Rehospitalisation
Time Frame: 3-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
3-Year
Rehospitalisation
Time Frame: 5-Year
As specified in the trial protocol
5-Year

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Sponsor

Sponsor

The organization or person who initiates the study and who has authority and control over the study.
University of Leicester

Collaborators

Collaborators

An organization other than the sponsor that provides support for a clinical study. This support may include activities related to funding, design, implementation, data analysis, or reporting.
King's College London
Queen Mary University of London
University of Bristol
Newcastle University
Cornell University
University of Glasgow

Investigators

Investigators

A researcher involved in a clinical study. Related terms include site principal investigator, site sub-investigator, study chair, study director, and study principal investigator.
  • Principal Investigator: Gavin Murphy, University of Leicester

Publications and helpful links

The person responsible for entering information about the study voluntarily provides these publications. These may be about anything related to the study.

General Publications

Helpful Links

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

Study Start

The actual date on which the first participant was enrolled in a clinical study. The "anticipated" study start date is the date that the researchers think will be the study start date.
August 1, 2019

Primary Completion (Anticipated)

Primary Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention to collect final data for the primary outcome measure. Whether the clinical study ended according to the protocol or was terminated does not affect this date. For clinical studies with more than one primary outcome measure with different completion dates, this term refers to the date on which data collection is completed for all the primary outcome measures. The "anticipated" primary completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the primary completion date for the study.
August 1, 2023

Study Completion (Anticipated)

Study Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention/treatment to collect final data for the primary outcome measures, secondary outcome measures, and adverse events (that is, the last participant's last visit). The "anticipated" study completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the study completion date.
August 1, 2024

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

First Submitted

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submitted a study record to ClinicalTrials.gov. There is typically a delay of a few days between the first submitted date and the record's availability on ClinicalTrials.gov (the first posted date).
December 16, 2022

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submits a study record that is consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. The sponsor or investigator may need to revise and submit a study record one or more times before NLM's QC review criteria are met. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
May 9, 2023

First Posted (Actual)

First Posted

The date on which the study record was first available on ClinicalTrials.gov after National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review has concluded. There is typically a delay of a few days between the date the study sponsor or investigator submitted the study record and the first posted date.
May 10, 2023

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

Last Update Posted

The most recent date on which changes to a study record were made available on ClinicalTrials.gov. There may be a delay between when the changes were submitted to ClinicalTrials.gov by the study's sponsor or investigator (the last update submitted date) and the last update posted date.
May 10, 2023

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator submitted changes to a study record that are consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
May 9, 2023

Last Verified

Last Verified

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator confirmed the information about a clinical study on ClinicalTrials.gov as accurate and current. If a study with a recruitment status of recruiting; not yet recruiting; or active, not recruiting has not been confirmed within the past 2 years, the study's recruitment status is shown as unknown.
December 1, 2022

More Information

Terms related to this study

Additional Relevant MeSH Terms

Other Study ID Numbers

Other Study ID Numbers

Identifiers or ID numbers other than the NCT number that are assigned to a clinical study by the study's sponsor, funders, or others. These numbers may include unique identifiers from other trial registries and National Institutes of Health grant numbers.
  • 0728UE

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

NO

IPD Plan Description

The data underlying this article were provided by National Health Service Digital under licence. Raw data may be shared with permission of National Health Service Digital.

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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