Risk Prediction Model for Cerebrovascular Events in Carotid Artery Stenosis

June 11, 2024 updated by: Beijing Tiantan Hospital

Deep Learning-based Risk Prediction Model for Cerebrovascular Events in Patients With Carotid Artery Stenosis

Atherosclerotic carotid artery stenosis is a major cause of stroke, and early identification of high-risk patients combined with surgical intervention can significantly reduce stroke risk. Currently, stroke risk assessment in patients with carotid artery stenosis primarily relies on imaging indicators such as plaque morphology, composition, and degree of stenosis, with less emphasis on indicators directly related to inflammation, hemodynamics, and plaque instability. Certain circulating metabolites are closely linked to plaque progression and are direct risk factors for stroke. However, there is a lack of stroke risk prediction models for patients with carotid stenosis that incorporate these indicators, and the ability to identify high-risk patients needs improvement.

This study proposes using deep learning technology to integrate multidimensional data from plaque imaging, fluid dynamics, circulating metabolomics, and proteomics to construct an accurate prediction model for cerebrovascular events in patients with carotid artery stenosis. Additionally, it aims to explore markers of plaque instability characteristics based on plaque pathology. The study is expected to provide a basis for identifying high-risk patients with carotid artery stenosis, thereby laying the foundation for reducing stroke risk and improving long-term patient outcomes.

Study Overview

Status

Status

Indicates the current recruitment status or the expanded access status.
Enrolling by invitation

Conditions

Conditions

The disease, disorder, syndrome, illness, or injury that is being studied. On ClinicalTrials.gov, conditions may also include other health-related issues, such as lifespan, quality of life, and health risks.

Intervention / Treatment

Intervention / Treatment

A process or action that is the focus of a clinical study. Interventions include drugs, medical devices, procedures, vaccines, and other products that are either investigational or already available. Interventions can also include noninvasive approaches, such as education or modifying diet and exercise.

Study Type

Study Type

Describes the nature of a clinical study. Study types include interventional studies (also called clinical trials), observational studies (including patient registries), and expanded access.
Observational

Enrollment (Estimated)

Enrollment

The number of participants in a clinical study. The "anticipated" enrollment is the target number of participants that the researchers need for the study.
300

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Locations

  • China
    • Beijing
      • Beijing, Beijing, China, 100070
        • Beijing Tiantan Hospital

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Eligibility Criteria

The key requirements that people who want to participate in a clinical study must meet or the characteristics they must have. Eligibility criteria consist of both inclusion criteria (which are required for a person to participate in the study) and exclusion criteria (which prevent a person from participating). Types of eligibility criteria include whether a study accepts healthy volunteers, has age or age group requirements, or is limited by sex.

Ages Eligible for Study

  • Child
  • Adult
  • Older Adult

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sampling Method

Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

All patients who met the enrollment criteria at Beijing Tiantan Hospital.

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Patients diagnosed with atherosclerotic carotid stenosis;
  • Those who signed informed consent and volunteered to participate in this study.

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Patients with combined severe stenosis of intracranial arteries;
  • Patients with combined cardiogenic embolism, vasculitis, entrapment aneurysm and other related cerebral infarction;
  • Combination of tumors, rheumatic immune system diseases, hematologic diseases and other diseases that change blood metabolism and proteomic characteristics;
  • There are contraindications to magnetic resonance scanning and allergy to gadolinium contrast agent;
  • Inability to cooperate in completing the relevant examinations.

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort

Group / Cohort

A group or subgroup of participants in an observational study that is assessed for biomedical or health outcomes.
Intervention / Treatment

Intervention / Treatment

A process or action that is the focus of a clinical study. Interventions include drugs, medical devices, procedures, vaccines, and other products that are either investigational or already available. Interventions can also include noninvasive approaches, such as education or modifying diet and exercise.
high risk
Patients with cerebrovascular events within six months, including i. cerebral infarction in the middle cerebral artery territory on the side of carotid stenosis; ii. transient ischemic attack symptoms (including motor and sensory) in the hemisphere on the side of stenosis; and iii. transient amaurosis on the side of stenosis. This indicates an unstable condition and such patients are defined as high-risk carotid stenosis patients.
Diagnostic test: Plasma
Plasma levels of metabolites and some proteins will be further determined
Diagnostic test: carotid high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging
Define plaque composition and morphological characteristics
low risk
Patients without cerebrovascular events within six months are defined as low-risk carotid stenosis patients.
Diagnostic test: Plasma
Plasma levels of metabolites and some proteins will be further determined
Diagnostic test: carotid high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging
Define plaque composition and morphological characteristics

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Primary Outcome Measures

In a clinical study's protocol, the planned outcome measure that is the most important for evaluating the effect of an intervention/treatment. Most clinical studies have one primary outcome measure, but some have more than one.
Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Number of Patients with Cerebrovascular Events
Time Frame: Within six months from the date of consultation

Patients will be categorized as having a cerebrovascular event if they meet one of the following indicators:

i. cerebral infarction in the middle cerebral artery territory on the side of carotid stenosis; ii. transient ischemic attack symptoms (including motor and sensory) in the hemisphere on the side of stenosis; and iii. transient amaurosis on the side of stenosis.
Within six months from the date of consultation

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Sponsor

Sponsor

The organization or person who initiates the study and who has authority and control over the study.
Beijing Tiantan Hospital

Collaborators

Collaborators

An organization other than the sponsor that provides support for a clinical study. This support may include activities related to funding, design, implementation, data analysis, or reporting.
Beijing Neurosurgical Institute

Investigators

Investigators

A researcher involved in a clinical study. Related terms include site principal investigator, site sub-investigator, study chair, study director, and study principal investigator.
  • Principal Investigator: Yan Zhang, MD, Beijing Neurosurgical Institution

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

Study Start

The actual date on which the first participant was enrolled in a clinical study. The "anticipated" study start date is the date that the researchers think will be the study start date.
April 15, 2024

Primary Completion (Estimated)

Primary Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention to collect final data for the primary outcome measure. Whether the clinical study ended according to the protocol or was terminated does not affect this date. For clinical studies with more than one primary outcome measure with different completion dates, this term refers to the date on which data collection is completed for all the primary outcome measures. The "anticipated" primary completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the primary completion date for the study.
October 31, 2026

Study Completion (Estimated)

Study Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention/treatment to collect final data for the primary outcome measures, secondary outcome measures, and adverse events (that is, the last participant's last visit). The "anticipated" study completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the study completion date.
December 31, 2026

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

First Submitted

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submitted a study record to ClinicalTrials.gov. There is typically a delay of a few days between the first submitted date and the record's availability on ClinicalTrials.gov (the first posted date).
June 5, 2024

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submits a study record that is consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. The sponsor or investigator may need to revise and submit a study record one or more times before NLM's QC review criteria are met. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
June 5, 2024

First Posted (Actual)

First Posted

The date on which the study record was first available on ClinicalTrials.gov after National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review has concluded. There is typically a delay of a few days between the date the study sponsor or investigator submitted the study record and the first posted date.
June 11, 2024

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

Last Update Posted

The most recent date on which changes to a study record were made available on ClinicalTrials.gov. There may be a delay between when the changes were submitted to ClinicalTrials.gov by the study's sponsor or investigator (the last update submitted date) and the last update posted date.
June 13, 2024

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator submitted changes to a study record that are consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
June 11, 2024

Last Verified

Last Verified

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator confirmed the information about a clinical study on ClinicalTrials.gov as accurate and current. If a study with a recruitment status of recruiting; not yet recruiting; or active, not recruiting has not been confirmed within the past 2 years, the study's recruitment status is shown as unknown.
June 1, 2024

More Information

Terms related to this study

Keywords

Additional Relevant MeSH Terms

Other Study ID Numbers

Other Study ID Numbers

Identifiers or ID numbers other than the NCT number that are assigned to a clinical study by the study's sponsor, funders, or others. These numbers may include unique identifiers from other trial registries and National Institutes of Health grant numbers.
  • KY2024-070-02
  • 2024-2-1072 (Other Identifier: Capitals Funds for Health Improvement and Research)

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

NO

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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