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Undersøgelse af unges udsigter til livsmuligheder

9. november 2026 opdateret af: Poh Lin Tan, National University of Singapore

Singapore's fertility rate is currently below 1.2, raising concerns about population ageing and long-term sustainability. The fertility decline is characterized by falling birth rates among women in their 20s with almost no recuperation among women in their 30s. This project explores a) whether informational imperfections help to account for high intended ages at childbearing in Singapore, b) whether informational interventions significantly affect ideal and expected ages at marriage and childbearing, and expected probability of undergoing social egg freezing, and c) whether informational interventions significantly affect expected and actual educational outcomes and labor market outcomes.

Our hypotheses are:

  1. University students have knowledge gaps about age-related onset of infertility, assisted reproductive technologies and local policy initiatives related to age at marriage and childbearing, especially among male students.
  2. Being exposed to accurate information in these domains leads to significantly lower ideal/expected ages at marriage and childbearing, and higher expected probability of undergoing social egg freezing, immediately after the intervention.
  3. Being exposed to accurate information in these domains does not lead to lower educational and labor market expectations immediately after the intervention among either male or female students, or to significant differences in module choices, Cumulative Average Point (CAP), starting salary and employment status of university students in the following academic semester and six months after graduation, among either male or female students.

Studieoversigt

Detaljeret beskrivelse

The project conducts a randomized controlled trial involving 1000 full-time undergraduate students at NUS. The trial has three stages.

In the first stage, participants will be recruited through campus advertisements.

In the second stage, participants who meet the eligibility criteria will complete a 30-40 minute online survey. The survey includes the following:

  1. a background survey on items including age, race, family income and parental background,
  2. a section on dating history,
  3. questions on ideal/expected ages at marriage, expected probability of undergoing social egg freezing, and fertility and educational and career expectations,
  4. a section on mental wellbeing,
  5. an awareness survey on age-related onset of infertility, assisted reproductive technologies, and local policy initiatives related to age at marriage and childbearing,
  6. an informational intervention. One-third of participants (333 individuals) are randomly assigned to receive accurate information on the age-related fertility survey items. One-third of participants (333 individuals) are randomly assigned to receive accurate information on policy-related survey items. One-third of participants (334 individuals) receives a fact sheet on diabetes in Singapore. Participants are asked to read the information thoroughly,
  7. selected questions from c), which collects data on after-intervention intended ages at marriage and fertility and educational and career expectations, as well as questions about whether the questions were useful or led to anxiety.

In the third stage, the students' responses are linked to the Educational Data Lake managed by ALSET, Provost's Office, NUS, which collects data on students' module choices (whether within the same major, in a different major within the same faculty or in a different faculty) and CAP in the following academic semester and at graduation, graduation status, and starting salary and employment status six months after graduation. All participants are informed and these linkages are mentioned in the consent form.

After the data collection is completed, we will analyse the data using a difference-in-differences econometric model. Our model compares three sets of dependent variables at different points in time:

  1. Ideal/expected ages at marriage and fertility, expected probability of undergoing social egg freezing, and educational and career expectations, compared before and immediately after the intervention,
  2. Module choices and CAP, compared before the survey and in the following academic semester and at graduation, and graduation status,
  3. Starting salary and employment status, compared between the control and treatment groups six months after graduation (multiple regression rather than difference-in-differences model)

The results are compared by gender, faculty, educational and career expectations, and other background characteristics, including dating history and mental wellbeing.

Undersøgelsestype

Interventionel

Tilmelding (Faktiske)

1000

Fase

  • Ikke anvendelig

Kontakter og lokationer

Dette afsnit indeholder kontaktoplysninger for dem, der udfører undersøgelsen, og oplysninger om, hvor denne undersøgelse udføres.

Studiesteder

    • Singapore
      • Singapore, Singapore, Singapore, 119077
        • National University of Singapore

Deltagelseskriterier

Forskere leder efter personer, der passer til en bestemt beskrivelse, kaldet berettigelseskriterier. Nogle eksempler på disse kriterier er en persons generelle helbredstilstand eller tidligere behandlinger.

Berettigelseskriterier

Aldre berettiget til at studere

20 år til 24 år (Voksen)

Tager imod sunde frivillige

Ja

Køn, der er berettiget til at studere

Alle

Beskrivelse

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Full-time NUS undergraduate
  • Singaporean citizen
  • Aged 20-24
  • Never been married
  • Childless and not currently expecting
  • Identify as heterosexual

Exclusion Criteria:

- Student enrolled in faculty where the Dean has not provided approval for recruitment

Studieplan

Dette afsnit indeholder detaljer om studieplanen, herunder hvordan undersøgelsen er designet, og hvad undersøgelsen måler.

Hvordan er undersøgelsen tilrettelagt?

Design detaljer

  • Primært formål: Andet
  • Tildeling: Randomiseret
  • Interventionel model: Parallel tildeling
  • Maskning: Enkelt

Våben og indgreb

Deltagergruppe / Arm
Intervention / Behandling
Placebo komparator: Control

Receives a fact sheet on diabetes in Singapore

The following information is provided:

Diabetes risk factors and treatment Diabetes-related policies

Eksperimentel: Fertility-related information

Receives accurate information on age-related fertility

The following information is provided:

Age and fertility IVF success rates and side effects

Eksperimentel: Policy-related information

Receives accurate information on local policy initiatives related to age at marriage and childbearing

The following information is provided:

Assisted reproductive technology treatment subsidies Other fertility-related policies

Hvad måler undersøgelsen?

Primære resultatmål

Resultatmål
Foranstaltningsbeskrivelse
Tidsramme
Ideal age at marriage (both self and future spouse), first birth and number of children
Tidsramme: Within one year and two years of initial survey

During initial survey: Continuous

Within one year and two years of initial survey
Expected age at marriage (both self and future spouse), first birth and number of children
Tidsramme: Within one year and two years of initial survey

During initial survey: Continuous percent chance by the following ages A. 25 B. 30 C. 35 D. 40

Within one year and two years of initial survey
Expected probability of undergoing social egg freezing (only for females respondents)
Tidsramme: Within one year and two years of initial survey

During initial survey: Continuous percent chance of social egg freezing if available at the following ages:

A. 25 B. 30 C. 35 D. 40

Within one year and two years of initial survey

Sekundære resultatmål

Resultatmål
Foranstaltningsbeskrivelse
Tidsramme
Expected levels of education (both self and future spouse)
Tidsramme: Within one year and two years of initial survey

During initial survey: Continuous percent chance:

A. Less than Bachelor's Degree B. Bachelor's Degree or higher C. Master's Degree or higher D. Doctoral Degree or higher

Within one year and two years of initial survey
Expected earnings (both self and future spouse)
Tidsramme: Within one year and two years of initial survey

During initial survey: Continuous at the following ages:

A. 25 B. 30 C. 35 D. 40

Within one year and two years of initial survey
Expected full-time working status
Tidsramme: Within one year and two years of initial survey

During initial survey: Continuous percent chance by the following ages A. 25 B. 30 C. 35 D. 40

Within one year and two years of initial survey
Expected occupation (self) at age 35
Tidsramme: Within one year and two years of initial survey

During initial survey: Continuous percent chance:

A. Full-time homemaker B. Manager or administrator in a private company C. Manager or administrator in the government/education sector D. Professional without doctoral degree (e.g. engineer, architect, accountant, social worker, teacher) E. Professional with doctoral degree or equivalent (lawyer, physician, scientist, college professor) F. Sales (e.g. insurance agent, real estate) G. Other (e.g. small business owner, etc.)

Within one year and two years of initial survey
Expected contribution to housework and childcare if married with young children
Tidsramme: Within one year and two years of initial survey

During initial survey: Continuous percentage

Within one year and two years of initial survey
Usefulness and anxiety over information presented
Tidsramme: Within one year and two years of initial survey

During initial survey: Strongly disagree, Disagree, Neither agree nor disagree, Agree, Strongly agree

Within one year and two years of initial survey
Cumulative Point Average (CAP)
Tidsramme: Within two years and six years of initial survey

Measured in the following academic semester and at graduation

Within two years and six years of initial survey
Module choices
Tidsramme: Within two years and six years of initial survey

Whether within the same major, in a different major within the same faculty or in a different faculty, in the following academic semester and at graduation

Within two years and six years of initial survey
Graduation and honours
Tidsramme: Within six years of initial survey

Whether graduated and class of honours

Within six years of initial survey
Employment status six months after graduation
Tidsramme: Within six years of initial survey

Whether employed, full-time status

Within six years of initial survey
Starting salary
Tidsramme: Within six years of initial survey

Continuous

Within six years of initial survey

Samarbejdspartnere og efterforskere

Det er her, du vil finde personer og organisationer, der er involveret i denne undersøgelse.

Efterforskere

  • Ledende efterforsker: Poh Lin Tan, PhD, National University of Singapore

Datoer for undersøgelser

Disse datoer sporer fremskridtene for indsendelser af undersøgelsesrekord og resumeresultater til ClinicalTrials.gov. Studieregistreringer og rapporterede resultater gennemgås af National Library of Medicine (NLM) for at sikre, at de opfylder specifikke kvalitetskontrolstandarder, før de offentliggøres på den offentlige hjemmeside.

Studer store datoer

Studiestart (Faktiske)

21. september 2021

Primær færdiggørelse (Faktiske)

2. oktober 2021

Studieafslutning (Anslået)

1. december 2028

Datoer for studieregistrering

Først indsendt

16. august 2021

Først indsendt, der opfyldte QC-kriterier

23. august 2021

Først opslået (Faktiske)

30. august 2021

Opdateringer af undersøgelsesjournaler

Sidste opdatering sendt (Faktiske)

10. november 2026

Sidste opdatering indsendt, der opfyldte kvalitetskontrolkriterier

9. november 2026

Sidst verificeret

1. april 2026

Mere information

Begreber relateret til denne undersøgelse

Yderligere relevante MeSH-vilkår

Andre undersøgelses-id-numre

  • NUS-IRB-2020-362

Plan for individuelle deltagerdata (IPD)

Planlægger du at dele individuelle deltagerdata (IPD)?

JA

IPD-planbeskrivelse

The collected data, data catalogue and research materials (i.e. study protocol, informed consent form, survey items) will be made available to researchers at the National University of Singapore (NUS) through the ALSET Data Lake within five years of the conclusion of the research project. Data will remain available for at least 10 years after any publication making use of the data. The ALSET Data Lake is managed by the NUS Instituted for Applied Learning Sciences and Educational Technology and operated by NUS IT. Questions about accessing the data from parties outside NUS can be sent to the PI or alsdl@nus.edu.sg.

IPD-delingstidsramme

The research data will be made available through the ALSET Data Lake within five years of the conclusion of the research project. Data will remain available for at least 10 years after any publication that makes use of the data.

IPD-delingsadgangskriterier

Approval from ALSET, Provost's Office, NUS-IRB and in compliance with Singapore's Personal Data Protection Act

IPD-deling Understøttende informationstype

  • STUDY_PROTOCOL
  • ICF

Lægemiddel- og udstyrsoplysninger, undersøgelsesdokumenter

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