Decision Making in Multiple Sclerosis Care Under Uncertainty
The main objectives of this study are:
i) To determine patient-level, physician-level and health system factors influencing therapeutic decisions in multiple sclerosis (MS) care by applying conjoint discrete experiments.
ii) To determine the prevalence of therapeutic inertia among participating neurologists.
iii) To compare clinical judgement vs. a qualitative or quantitative approach when assessing for a given case-scenario.
iv) To evaluate the influence of decision fatigue in treatment decisions.
Study Overview
Status
Status
Conditions
Conditions
Intervention / Treatment
Intervention / Treatment
Detailed Description
The landscape of MS care is changing. Currently, there are over 15 disease modifying agents (DMTs) available to treat MS, with varying availability around the world.
Significant heterogeneity exists in the efficacy and risks associated with these therapies.
Neurologists caring for MS patients face important choices in each medical encounter: 1) continue with the same management, 2) initiate or escalate therapy for a more effective or safer agent, or 3) consider a reassessment within months under the uncertainty of the current status of the patient.
Limited information on how physicians weigh in different factors when making therapeutic decisions.
Physicians (cognitive biases affecting decision making) and health system (e.g. access to an infusion center) factors are the most responsible causes of practice gaps in MS care. The physician's component is the least studied.
Therapeutic inertia (TI) is a common phenomenon in MS care defined as lack of treatment initiation or escalation (e.g. switch interferons or glatiramer to fingolimod /alemtuzumab /natalizumab/ocrelizumab/ etc.) when recommended by guidelines or evidence of disease progression. This phenomenon leads to poorer patient's outcomes, greater disability, and diminished quality of life.
Goals of the study: i) to determine what are the most relevant factors influencing therapeutic decisions among neurologists with expertise in MS care; ii) to asses whether physicians rely on medical information provided in a case scenario versus a quantitative or qualitative estimation of disease progression based on hypothetical models.
Study Type
Study Type
Enrollment (Anticipated)
Enrollment
Phase
Phase
- Not Applicable
Contacts and Locations
Study Contact
Study Contact
- Name: Gustavo Saposnik, MD, MSc,
- Phone Number: 4168645155
- Email: saposnikg@smh.ca
Study Contact Backup
- Name: Roula Raptis, Msc
- Phone Number: 7106 416-864-6060
- Email: RaptisS@smh.ca
Study Locations
-
-
Ontario
-
Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5B 1X2
- Recruiting
- St. Michael's Hospital
-
Contact:
- Gustavo Saposnik, MD, MSc
- Phone Number: 416-864-6060
- Email: saposnikg@smh.ca
-
-
Participation Criteria
Eligibility Criteria
Eligibility Criteria
Ages Eligible for Study
Accepts Healthy Volunteers
Genders Eligible for Study
Description
Inclusion Criteria:
- Actively practicing neurologist
- Expertise in treating patients with multiple sclerosis (at least 12 per year)
- Clinical setting: academic or community institutions, private practice or outpatient clinic
- Certified physicians in their specialty
- Online consent to participate in the study
Study Plan
How is the study designed?
Design Details
- Primary Purpose: Other
- Allocation: Randomized
- Interventional Model: Parallel Assignment
- Masking: Double
Number of Arms
Arms and Interventions
Participant Group / ArmParticipant Group / Arm |
Intervention / TreatmentIntervention / Treatment |
|---|---|
|
Experimental: Quantitative risk estimation
Participants will be exposed to case-scenarios.
Each case scenario provides a description of the current clinical situation (e.g.
patient age, current treatment, number of relapses, current EDSS, MRI findings, etc).
In addition, participants will see a squared box indicating the probability of risk progression (20%, 25%, 85%, 90%).
This information may or may not be accurate to reflect potential errors of risk prediction tools.
|
Participants will be able to see a square box that represent the estimated risk of disease progression.
They will have to elect making a therapeutic decision based on the description of the case-scenario or based on the estimated prediction as represented in the square box.
|
|
Active Comparator: Qualitative risk estimation
Participants will be exposed to the same case-scenarios as the intervention arm.
Each case scenario provides a description of the current clinical situation (e.g.
patient age, current treatment, number of relapses, current EDSS, MRI findings, etc).
In addition, participants will see a squared box indicating a qualitative probability of risk progression (low, high).
This information may or may not be accurate to reflect potential errors of risk prediction tools.
|
Participants will be able to see a square box that represent the estimated risk of disease progression.
They will have to elect making a therapeutic decision based on the description of the case-scenario or based on the estimated prediction as represented in the square box.
|
What is the study measuring?
Primary Outcome Measures
Primary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
|
Therapeutic inertia score
Time Frame: At the completion of the study, an estimated 90 minutes
|
The therapeutic inertia (TI) score is based on our previous work published elsewhere (see references). It is based on the sum number of case-scenarios that required treatment escalation over the total number of presented scenarios (10). Range: 0 (lowest value) to 10 (maximal value). The higher value represents the higher level of therapeutic inertia. There is no subscale. This measurement has been previously reported (Saposnik et al. JAMA Netw Open. 2019 Jul 3;2(7):e197093. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.7093; Saposnik et al. MDM Policy Pract. 2019 Jun 21;4(1):2381468319855642. doi: 10.1177/2381468319855642) |
At the completion of the study, an estimated 90 minutes
|
|
Accuracy of treatment decisions
Time Frame: At the completion of the study, an estimated 90 minutes
|
Comparison of discordant pairs in each arm: Using chi-square (parametric) test, there will be a comparison between groups (intervention vs. control) in the proportion of participants who made accurate therapeutic decisions.
|
At the completion of the study, an estimated 90 minutes
|
Secondary Outcome Measures
Secondary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
|
Therapeutic decisions under fatigue
Time Frame: At the completion of the study, an estimated 90 minutes
|
Given that participants will be exposed to several case-scenarios, a comparison of therapeutic inertia will be conducted between the first half and the second half of case scenarios as previously reported (Saposnik et al.
Front Neurol.
2017 Aug 21;8:430.
doi: 10.3389/fneur.2017.00430.
eCollection 2017).
|
At the completion of the study, an estimated 90 minutes
|
|
Prevalence of therapeutic inertia (TI)
Time Frame: At the completion of the study, an estimated 90 minutes
|
Comparison of treatment decisions using a binary definition of therapeutic inertia (TI).
Lack of treatment escalation in at least one case-scenario (out of the total) will be considered as TI present as previously reported ((Saposnik et al.
JAMA Netw Open.
2019 Jul 3;2(7):e197093.
doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.7093;
Saposnik et al.
MDM Policy Pract.
2019 Jun 21;4(1):2381468319855642.
doi: 10.1177/2381468319855642)
|
At the completion of the study, an estimated 90 minutes
|
|
Factors associated with therapeutic decisions
Time Frame: At the completion of the study, an estimated 90 minutes
|
Participants will be exposed to 12 pairs of case-scenarios as per the discrete choice design. Participants have to choose the ideal case-scenario (e.g. A, B or neither- but they cannot choose both) for escalating treatment. Each pair of case-scenarios represent a comprehensive combination of possible variables. The most common factors associated with treatment escalation will be assessed based on these experimental design. A weighted estimate will be calculated for each collected variable. See details in Discrete Choice Experiment Response Rates: A Meta-analysis.Watson V et al. Health Econ. (2017) and Saposnik et al.Stroke. 2019 Jul 22:STROKEAHA119025631. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.119.025631. [Epub ahead of print] |
At the completion of the study, an estimated 90 minutes
|
Collaborators and Investigators
Sponsor
Sponsor
Collaborators
Collaborators
Publications and helpful links
Study record dates
Study Major Dates
Study Start (Actual)
Study Start
Primary Completion (Anticipated)
Primary Completion
Study Completion (Anticipated)
Study Completion
Study Registration Dates
First Submitted
First Submitted
First Submitted That Met QC Criteria
First Submitted That Met QC Criteria
First Posted (Actual)
First Posted
Study Record Updates
Last Update Posted (Actual)
Last Update Posted
Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria
Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria
Last Verified
Last Verified
More Information
Terms related to this study
Keywords
Additional Relevant MeSH Terms
Other Study ID Numbers
Other Study ID Numbers
- 15-340
Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)
Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?
Drug and device information, study documents
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product
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