Analysis and Accuracy of Mortality Prediction Scores

The Analysis and Accuracy of Mortality Prediction Scores in Burn Patients Admitted to the Intensive Care Burn Unit (ICBU)

Patients admitted to the ICU in a tertiary burn centre in Kuwait were analysed using multiple mortality prediction scores. The accuracy of these scores were compared to each other to ascertain which prediction modality provides the most accurate prognosis.

Study Overview

• Status: Completed
• Conditions: Burns; Morality
• Intervention / Treatment: Other: Mortality scores

Detailed Description

The aim of this study is to determine the accuracy of three established scoring systems used for burn patients admitted to the intensive care unit and to determine the risk factors associated with poor outcomes.

A total of 211 patients with who were admitted to the ICBU in a tertiary care centre in Kuwait from January 2017 to December 2019 were analysed retrospectively. Data were collected using patient medical records. The FLAMES, BOBI and revised Baux scores were calculated, and the survivor and non-survivor scores of patients were analysed to determine the sensitivity, specificity and Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics (AUROC) of the different scoring modalities.

• Study Type: Observational
• Enrollment (Actual): 211

Contacts and Locations

Study Locations

• Kuwait
  • Kuwait City, Kuwait
    • AlBabtain Centre for burns and plastic Surgery

Participation Criteria

Eligibility Criteria

• Ages Eligible for Study: ADULT; OLDER_ADULT; CHILD
• Accepts Healthy Volunteers: No
• Genders Eligible for Study: All

• Sampling Method: Probability Sample

Study Population

All patients admitted to the ICBU between January 2017 to December 2019

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

Pediatric burn patients with partial/full thickness burns>10% TBSA Adult patients with partial/full thickness burns >15% TBSA Patients with electric burns Patients iwth burns involving the voice Any patient with suspected inhalational injury Burn patients with significant comorbidities

Exclusion criteria:

Patients with incomplete data records

Study Plan

How is the study designed?

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure	Time Frame
Area under curve of the 3 aforementioned mortality prediction scores	4 years

Collaborators and Investigators

• Sponsor: Ministry of Health, Kuwait

Study record dates

Study Major Dates

• Study Start (ACTUAL): February 20, 2020
• Primary Completion (ACTUAL): April 15, 2020
• Study Completion (ACTUAL): November 1, 2020

Study Registration Dates

• First Submitted: January 29, 2021
• First Submitted That Met QC Criteria: February 2, 2021
• First Posted (ACTUAL): February 3, 2021

Study Record Updates

• Last Update Posted (ACTUAL): February 3, 2021
• Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria: February 2, 2021
• Last Verified: February 1, 2021

More Information

Terms related to this study

• Additional Relevant MeSH Terms: Wounds and Injuries; Burns
• Other Study ID Numbers: 14422

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

• Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?: NO

Drug and device information, study documents

• Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product: No
• Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product: No