Identification of New Theranostic Biomarkers of Pancreatic Tumor Progression

September 2, 2025 updated by: Carbone Carmine, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS

New Theranostic Biomarkers of Intraductal Mucinous Neoplasm (IPMN) Progression to Pancreatic Cancer for Patients' Outcome Improvement

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) are one of the main precursor lesions of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), a lethal disease predicted to become the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths in Western societies within a decade. The mechanisms underlying IPMN progression are poorly understood. The goal of IPMN management is to reduce the risk of patient death due to progression to PDAC through primary and secondary prevention (namely, early diagnosis and risk-reducing surgery). High-risk IPMNs (i.e., high-grade or main duct IPMNs, which account for 57-90% of cases) are referred for surgical resection, while low-risk IPMNs (6-46%) undergo periodic follow-up aimed at monitoring the acquisition of morphological features associated with malignancy over time. However, the clinical management of IPMN remains a significant challenge because the distinction between high and low-risk progression is based on imaging and histological criteria that are not unequivocally recognized and do not take into account the underlying biology of lesions that appear similar but are associated with different clinical behaviors. Consequently, patient risk stratification is often inaccurate, leading to suboptimal treatment. Approximately 1-11% of low-risk IPMN patients assigned to clinical follow-up have developed PDAC. Therefore, it is of paramount importance to improve the understanding of the biology and malignant potential of IPMN to improve prognosis and clinical management of affected patients and guide them toward personalized therapeutic approaches. The availability of markers capable of stratifying IPMN based on their risk of progression to PDAC could enhance the current malignancy criteria assessed in clinical settings by more accurately identifying patients who strongly need surgical resection.

**Study Objective** The aim of this study is to identify and validate biomarkers capable of distinguishing between low-risk and high-risk IPMN progression to PDAC. These biomarkers would help more accurately identify IPMN patients who could benefit from therapeutic intervention and/or surgical resection in the future. The study will include patients with IPMN followed at Fondazione Policlinico Gemelli IRCCS Roma, Fondazione G. Pascale IRCCS Naples, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata Verona, and Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata Messina.

Study Overview

Detailed Description

**AIM1.**

  1. **Identification** of genes and biological pathways associated with IPMN malignant transformation. The investigators aim to explore the molecular dynamics of tumor progression, focusing on cellular heterogeneity and phenotypic transitions.
  2. **Characterization of the microenvironment** to understand its role in IPMN progression. The investigators will collect archival samples from 240 patients across four centers.
  3. **Identification and validation in plasma** of selected patients of differentially expressed markers in indolent IPMN, invasive IPMN, and PDAC.

**AIM2.** The investigators will develop knowledge-based tools for diagnosing and treating IPMN and at-risk populations.

**AIM3.** The investigators will validate the role of key genes in IPMN carcinogenesis using in vitro study models.

Study Type

Observational

Enrollment (Estimated)

3600

Phase

  • Not Applicable

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Contact

Study Locations

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

  • Adult
  • Older Adult

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sampling Method

Probability Sample

Study Population

Patients >18 years old with Pancreatic IPMN. This cohort will consist of IPMN tissues collected via Formalin-Fixed Paraffin-Embedded from patients who have either developed or have never developed pancreatic cancer associated with IPMN.

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Diagnosis of indolent IPMN under monitoring;
  • Diagnosis of malignant IPMN or resectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma with associated IPMN (previously untreated); Written informed consent; Male and female patients aged 18 years or older;

Exclusion Criteria:

-Inability to provide written informed consent or to trace patients for the retrospective study.

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort
Intervention / Treatment
Patients with IPMN/pancreatic cancer diagnosis
Patients with indolent IPMN, invasive IPMN, and IPMN associated with pancreatic cancer, depending on their clinical course.
Blood will be collected from patients with indolent IPMN, invasive IPMN, and IPMN associated with pancreatic cancer, depending on their clinical course. Patients with indolent IPMN will be monitored by the gastroenterology units of their respective institutions, which will inform the patient. Patients with invasive IPMN and/or associated with cancer will undergo surgical resection as part of their standard clinical care, and blood will be collected after informed consent is obtained by the surgical teams at each institution.

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Association of IPMNs tumorigenic progression with a molecular profile
Time Frame: 2 years

Identification of participants with malignant transformation and at least two-fold expression change of a specific molecular profile respect to indolent IPMN.

All data will be collected and statistics will be done for the correlation between gene expression markers and malignant transformation.

2 years

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Validation of the prognostic molecular profile identified in the primary objective in both archived tissue and plasma samples
Time Frame: 2 years
Retrospective analysis.
2 years

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Investigators

  • Principal Investigator: Carmine Carbone, PhD, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS

Publications and helpful links

The person responsible for entering information about the study voluntarily provides these publications. These may be about anything related to the study.

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

May 29, 2025

Primary Completion (Estimated)

September 30, 2026

Study Completion (Estimated)

December 31, 2026

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

August 26, 2024

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

August 26, 2024

First Posted (Actual)

August 27, 2024

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Estimated)

September 3, 2025

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

September 2, 2025

Last Verified

September 1, 2025

More Information

Terms related to this study

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

NO

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

product manufactured in and exported from the U.S.

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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